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Flames vs. Mountaineers
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
The Liberty Flames (4-0) will face the Appalachian State Mountaineers (2-2) on September 28, 2024, at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, NC. Liberty is favored by 3.5 points in this non-conference matchup, and both teams look to secure a crucial victory as Liberty remains undefeated and Appalachian State looks to bounce back from a tough loss.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 3:30 PM ESTโ
Venue: Kidd Brewer Stadiumโ
Mountaineers Record: (2-2)
Flames Record: (4-0)
OPENING ODDS
LIB Moneyline: -164
APLST Moneyline: +136
LIB Spread: -3.5
APLST Spread: +3.5
Over/Under: 62.5
LIB
Betting Trends
- Liberty has been strong this season, going 2-1 against the spread (ATS). Theyโve averaged 33.5 points per game but have shown occasional defensive lapses, allowing 20.5 points per game.
APLST
Betting Trends
- Appalachian State, at 1-2 ATS this season, has struggled defensively, allowing 35.8 points per game. Despite a few impressive offensive performances, the Mountaineers have yet to find consistency.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- While both teams feature potent offenses, their games tend to hit the under more often than not. Liberty has gone under the total in three out of four games, while Appalachian State has hit the under in two out of three games.
LIB vs. APLST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Liberty vs App. State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The Liberty Flames will put their perfect 4-0 record on the line as they visit the Appalachian State Mountaineers, who are 2-2, in what should be a competitive non-conference matchup. Liberty enters the game coming off a solid 35-24 victory over East Carolina, showcasing a balanced attack led by quarterback Kaidon Salter. Salter has passed for 949 yards and 7 touchdowns this season, complemented by running back Quinton Cooley, who has 371 rushing yards and 4 scores.
Libertyโs offense has been dynamic, averaging 464.8 yards per game, including over 216 on the ground. On the other hand, Appalachian State is trying to rebound from a tough 48-14 loss to South Alabama. Quarterback Joey Aguilar has thrown for over 1,200 yards this season, but the Mountaineersโ defense has struggled, especially against the run. Appalachian State is allowing 463.5 total yards per game and has been vulnerable to big plays. For Liberty, the key to victory will be maintaining their offensive balance while exploiting Appalachian Stateโs defensive weaknesses. Appalachian State, meanwhile, needs a more consistent effort from their defense and a mistake-free performance from Aguilar to keep this game close.
not one, not two, but THREE! pic.twitter.com/QtHJhnGOWJ
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) September 24, 2024
Flames AI Preview
Liberty comes into this game with an unblemished 4-0 record, powered by an offense that averages over 33 points per game. Quarterback Kaidon Salter has been the key to their success, combining for over 949 passing yards and 7 touchdowns this season. Salterโs ability to lead a balanced offenseโcomplemented by running back Quinton Cooley, who has 371 rushing yardsโhas made Liberty difficult to stop. Defensively, the Flames have been solid, allowing just 20.5 points per game. However, they will need to sharpen up, particularly against Appalachian Stateโs passing attack, led by Aguilar. Libertyโs ability to limit big plays and control the line of scrimmage will likely determine the outcome of the game. Libertyโs run game has been dominant, and theyโll look to exploit Appalachian Stateโs struggling defense. If they can continue to produce on the ground and play sound defense, Liberty should come away with a win and remain undefeated.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Mountaineers AI Preview
Appalachian State is in a difficult position, having started the season 2-2, with their latest game resulting in a lopsided 48-14 loss to South Alabama. Despite the setbacks, the Mountaineers have some offensive firepower. Joey Aguilar, their quarterback, has passed for over 1,200 yards with six touchdowns, and wide receiver Kaedin Robinson has been a key contributor, with 85 yards in their most recent game. The running game, led by Maquel Haywood, has struggled to get going, averaging just 130.8 rushing yards per game. Appalachian Stateโs defense, allowing over 35 points per game, has been the main concern, as they gave up 318 rushing yards to South Alabama. For the Mountaineers to stay competitive, they will need to tighten up their run defense and prevent Liberty from establishing the ground game early. Playing at Kidd Brewer Stadium gives Appalachian State a home-field advantage, but they will need a significantly better effort than in previous weeks to stop Libertyโs balanced offense. A strong showing on both sides of the ball is crucial if they hope to pull off the upset ๏ฟผ.
๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐ฒ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฎ ๐๏ธ
— App State Football (@AppState_FB) September 23, 2024
Today, Coach Clark conducted his weekly press conference to discuss the upcoming game against Liberty.
๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐: https://t.co/gn7QyytwXB
๐ถ๐๐๐ ๐ฝ๐๐๐๐: https://t.co/f9wP4v9Cmn #GoApp #BeatLiberty pic.twitter.com/OW9inyBcRX
Flames vs. Mountaineers FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Flames and Mountaineers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Liberty vs. App. State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Flames and Mountaineers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the linear correlation of emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Liberty’s strength factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly deflated Mountaineers team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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