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The Iowa State Cyclones will visit the Houston Cougars on September 28, 2024, in what is expected to be a lopsided Big 12 contest. The Cyclones have started the season strong, boasting a 3-0 record behind their well-rounded offense and stout defense. Meanwhile, the Cougars are struggling, sitting at 1-3 and coming off a shutout loss to Cincinnati. Iowa State’s offense has been impressive, averaging 31 points per game. Quarterback Rocco Becht has thrown for 743 yards and six touchdowns, efficiently spreading the ball to his receivers. Their rushing attack, led by Carson Hansen, adds balance to the offense, with Hansen contributing to the team’s 237 rushing yards in their last game.
Defensively, the Cyclones rank among the top teams in the nation, allowing just 9.7 points per game. They’ve been excellent at stopping the pass, holding opponents to a 47.6% completion rate. Houston, on the other hand, has struggled on both sides of the ball. Their offense ranks 129th in the country, averaging a mere 13 points per game. Quarterback Donovan Smith has had trouble finding rhythm, and the offensive line has given up too many sacks. On defense, the Cougars have been unable to stop the run or the pass, allowing over 28 points per game. This mismatch in talent and execution suggests that Iowa State will control the game from the outset, with a likely outcome favoring the Cyclones by double digits.
Game 4
— Iowa State Football (@CycloneFB) September 23, 2024
🌪️🚨🌪️ pic.twitter.com/kiEKaWByKP
The Iowa State Cyclones come into this game riding high with a 3-0 record, and they’ll look to continue their dominance against a struggling Houston team. Iowa State has been efficient on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Rocco Becht has led the Cyclones with a strong passing game, completing 68.4% of his passes for 743 yards and six touchdowns. Becht has shown excellent command of the offense, spreading the ball to multiple receivers and using play-action to create big plays downfield. The Cyclones’ running game has also been effective, with Carson Hansen leading a backfield that has averaged nearly 5 yards per carry. Iowa State’s offense is averaging 31 points per game, and they have been able to score in a variety of ways, including five rushing touchdowns in their last outing against Arkansas State. Defensively, Iowa State has been one of the top units in the country, allowing just 9.7 points per game. Their secondary has been a particular strength, holding opponents to less than 120 passing yards per game. This defensive dominance has allowed the Cyclones to control the tempo of games and suffocate opposing offenses. Against Houston, expect Iowa State to focus on shutting down Donovan Smith and the Cougars’ limited passing attack. With a balanced offense and a lockdown defense, the Cyclones are well-positioned to maintain their perfect start to the season.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Houston Cougars enter this game desperately seeking a turnaround after a rough start to the season. With a 1-3 record, the team has struggled to find consistency on offense, averaging just 13 points per game. Quarterback Donovan Smith has faced immense pressure, with the offensive line allowing 11 sacks through the first four games. Smith’s production has been below expectations, completing only 65.3% of his passes for 610 yards. He has struggled to connect on deep throws, which has limited the Cougars’ ability to stretch the field and make big plays. On the ground, Re’Shaun Sanford II has been a bright spot, averaging 5.2 yards per carry. However, the Cougars’ offensive struggles have prevented them from capitalizing on his explosive potential. Wide receiver Joseph Manjack IV has contributed 146 receiving yards, but the passing attack has lacked consistency. Houston’s defense has also struggled, allowing over 28 points per game. Their secondary has been porous, and their run defense has been unable to stop opposing rushing attacks. The Cougars will need to shore up their defense and find a way to generate more consistent offense if they hope to pull off an upset against Iowa State.
Strong defensive showing from the #NFLCoogs in Week 3.
— Houston Football (@UHCougarFB) September 25, 2024
Read » https://t.co/JGZfzfx7dP @budlight pic.twitter.com/w6Cs6Utna6
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Cyclones and Cougars play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at TDECU Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Cyclones and Cougars and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight emotional bettors tend to put on Houston’s strength factors between a Cyclones team going up against a possibly healthy Cougars team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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