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Fighting Illini vs. Nittany Lions
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
The Illinois Fighting Illini (4-0) will face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (3-0) on September 28, 2024, at Beaver Stadium. Penn State is a 17.5-point favorite, and both teams are undefeated in what should be a pivotal Big Ten matchup. Illinois comes in with a balanced attack, while Penn State’s defense has been stifling.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Beaver Stadium
Nittany Lions Record: (3-0)
Fighting Illini Record: (4-0)
OPENING ODDS
ILL Moneyline: +636
PSU Moneyline: -1000
ILL Spread: +17.5
PSU Spread: -17.5
Over/Under: 47.5
ILL
Betting Trends
- Illinois has covered the spread in four of their last six games. However, they are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Penn State.
PSU
Betting Trends
- Penn State is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games. The Nittany Lions have also covered in 10 of their last 11 home games.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Penn State has won 17 of their last 20 games straight up, and the total has gone under in five of the last seven matchups between these two teams, indicating a trend toward lower-scoring affairs.
ILL vs. PSU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Illinois vs Penn State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The Illinois Fighting Illini head to University Park to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions in a clash of undefeated Big Ten teams. Illinois, led by quarterback Luke Altmyer, has been a surprise contender this season, relying on a balanced offense and a tough defense that has allowed just 12.5 points per game. Altmyer has been effective, throwing for 862 yards and 10 touchdowns without an interception this season, while running back Kaden Feagin has added 242 rushing yards.
Penn State, on the other hand, has been dominant on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Drew Allar has thrown for 729 yards and eight touchdowns, showcasing the Lions’ balanced offensive attack. Their defense, anchored by linebacker Abdul Carter and defensive back Jaylen Reed, has been stellar, allowing just 13 points per game while smothering both the run and pass.
Penn State is favored by 17.5 points, but Illinois’ ability to compete in tough games could make this contest more competitive than the spread suggests. Both teams come in with plenty of momentum, but Penn State’s superior depth and talent, particularly on defense, could be the deciding factor. Illinois will need to play a near-perfect game, limiting turnovers and controlling the clock, to keep it close. If Penn State’s offense continues to click, they could cover the spread, but Illinois has shown resilience in covering against tough opponents this season.
The games keep getting bigger and better.#Illini // #HTTO // #famILLy pic.twitter.com/pDxeYMcdfV
— Illinois Football (@IlliniFootball) September 23, 2024
Fighting Illini AI Preview
Illinois comes into this game with an impressive 4-0 record, led by quarterback Luke Altmyer, who has thrown for 862 yards and 10 touchdowns this season. Altmyer has been mistake-free, which will be critical against a Penn State defense that thrives on turnovers and pressuring quarterbacks. Illinois has been effective on the ground as well, with running back Kaden Feagin averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Wide receiver Pat Bryant has emerged as Altmyer’s favorite target, racking up 309 receiving yards and six touchdowns so far this season. Defensively, Illinois has been stout, allowing just 12.5 points per game. Their ability to stop the run, allowing just over 100 rushing yards per game, will be crucial in slowing down Penn State’s dynamic rushing duo of Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen. Illinois will need to focus on containing Penn State’s explosive offense and force them into long third-down situations. Illinois will need to play their best game of the season to upset Penn State on the road. If they can control the clock with their run game and force a few key turnovers, they could keep this game within reach. However, Penn State’s depth and experience at home could ultimately prove too much for Illinois to overcome.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Nittany Lions AI Preview
The Penn State Nittany Lions have started their 2024 campaign in dominating fashion, going 3-0 behind an explosive offense and a top-tier defense. Drew Allar has been the engine behind Penn State’s offense, completing 69% of his passes for 729 yards and eight touchdowns through three games. Allar has been efficient in spreading the ball around, with key contributions from running back Nicholas Singleton, who averages 8.5 yards per carry, and tight end Tyler Warren, who has 226 receiving yards and two touchdowns. Penn State’s defense has been equally impressive, allowing just 13 points per game. The Lions have been excellent in stopping the run, giving up only 84.7 rushing yards per game, and have been solid in pass defense, allowing just 150.7 passing yards per game. Penn State’s home-field advantage at Beaver Stadium is another factor that plays into their favor, where they’ve won 10 of their last 11 games. The key for Penn State will be maintaining balance on offense and applying constant pressure on Illinois quarterback Luke Altmyer. If they can force Illinois into passing situations and limit their rushing attack, Penn State should be able to control the game and potentially cover the 17.5-point spread.
Bring. The. Noise. 🔊 pic.twitter.com/1UklAoQUJq
— Penn State Football (@PennStateFball) September 25, 2024
Fighting Illini vs. Nittany Lions FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Fighting Illini and Nittany Lions play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Beaver Stadium in Sep can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Illinois vs. Penn State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every facet between the Fighting Illini and Nittany Lions and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most fixated on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Fighting Illini team going up against a possibly healthy Nittany Lions team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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