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Seminoles vs. Mustangs
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 28, 2024
The Florida State Seminoles (1-3) will travel to face the SMU Mustangs (3-1) at Gerald J. Ford Stadium on September 28, 2024. SMU is favored by 5.5 points as they look to extend their strong start, while Florida State aims to recover from early-season struggles.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 28, 2024
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Mustangs Record: (3-1)
Seminoles Record: (1-3)
OPENING ODDS
FSU Moneyline: +177
SMU Moneyline: -217
FSU Spread: +5.5
SMU Spread: -5.5
Over/Under: 47.5
FSU
Betting Trends
- Florida State has struggled ATS, going 1-2 so far this season. They have also gone under the total in all four games, reflecting a struggling offense.
SMU
Betting Trends
- SMU has been better against the spread, posting a 2-2 ATS record this season. Their high-powered offense has contributed to their success, but they’ve also allowed a significant number of points.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- SMU’s games have gone over the total in three of their last four matchups at home, driven by their potent offense. Florida State, however, has failed to cover in three of their last four games.
FSU vs. SMU
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
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Florida State vs SMU AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/28/24
The Florida State Seminoles are looking to turn around a disappointing season as they face the SMU Mustangs in an important Week 5 matchup. Florida State comes in with a 1-3 record and has struggled to find offensive rhythm, averaging just 15 points per game.
Their victory over California was narrow, with a final score of 14-9, showing their defense can step up, but their offense has been inconsistent, particularly in the passing game. SMU, on the other hand, is coming off a thrilling 66-42 win against TCU, showing the offensive firepower that has carried them to a 3-1 start. Quarterback Preston Stone has been sharp, and the Mustangs are averaging over 42 points per game. SMU’s ability to stretch the field with their passing game and mix in a strong ground attack makes them a formidable opponent. However, their defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in stopping the pass. The key for Florida State will be whether their defense, which has allowed just over 20 points per game, can slow down SMU’s offense. Florida State has struggled to create explosive plays, and they will need a much more efficient offensive performance to compete with SMU’s high-scoring attack. On the flip side, SMU’s defensive lapses could give Florida State an opportunity to make this a closer contest than expected.
Congratulations to our Campbell Trophy semifinalist, @robertscottOL!
— FSU Football (@FSUFootball) September 25, 2024
🔗: https://t.co/WO9GR430fK#NoleFamily | #KeepCLIMBing pic.twitter.com/gFG4XhWGYo
Seminoles AI Preview
Florida State enters this game desperate for a win after a slow start to the 2024 season. Sitting at 1-3, the Seminoles have struggled on offense, managing just 15 points per game. Quarterback DJ Uiagalelei has shown flashes of potential but has been inconsistent. The offensive line has also been an issue, limiting the Seminoles’ ability to establish a strong running game. Against SMU’s high-powered offense, Florida State will need to put together their most complete offensive performance of the season to keep pace. On the defensive side, Florida State has been relatively solid, allowing just 20 points per game. Their pass defense, in particular, has been effective, but they have yet to face an offense as dynamic as SMU’s. The Seminoles will need to generate pressure on SMU’s quarterback and force turnovers to have a chance of pulling off the upset. If they can disrupt SMU’s rhythm, Florida State could make this a competitive contest, but their offensive inefficiencies could prove to be their downfall. Florida State’s key to success will be finding balance on offense and avoiding the mistakes that have plagued them so far this season. If they can keep the game within reach into the second half, they may have a chance to cover the 5.5-point spread. However, with SMU playing at home and clicking on offense, this will be a tough matchup for the Seminoles.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Mustangs AI Preview
The SMU Mustangs have been one of the most exciting offensive teams in college football this season, averaging over 42 points per game and building a 3-1 record. Led by quarterback Preston Stone, the Mustangs have shown their ability to score from anywhere on the field, with a balanced attack that includes a strong running game led by key playmakers. SMU’s recent victory over TCU, where they racked up 66 points, showcased their explosive potential, particularly when they find rhythm early in the game. However, SMU’s defense has been a mixed bag. While they’ve managed to keep opposing offenses in check during certain stretches, they allowed over 400 passing yards against TCU. Their secondary has been vulnerable to big plays, which could open the door for Florida State if the Seminoles can find consistency in their passing game. SMU will need to tighten up defensively to avoid letting Florida State hang around too long. Playing at home gives the Mustangs a significant advantage. SMU has thrived at Gerald J. Ford Stadium, and their crowd will be behind them as they look to improve to 4-1. If SMU can execute on offense and clean up their defensive issues, they are in prime position to cover the 5.5-point spread and continue their strong start.
ACC opener week.#PonyUpDallas | @CocaCola pic.twitter.com/rbpSNf4ezB
— SMU Football (@SMUFB) September 23, 2024
Seminoles vs. Mustangs FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Seminoles and Mustangs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Florida State vs. SMU CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Seminoles and Mustangs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the trending factor knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on coaching factors between a Seminoles team going up against a possibly tired Mustangs team. It appears the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.