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The James Madison Dukes, ranked as one of the stronger teams in the Sun Belt Conference, will face the Ball State Cardinals from the MAC in a non-conference matchup. James Madison comes into the game with a perfect 3-0 record, riding the momentum of a huge 70-50 victory over North Carolina. Led by quarterback Alonza Barnett, the Dukes’ offense has been nearly unstoppable, averaging over 40 points per game. On the ground, James Madison has found success with their balanced attack, averaging nearly six yards per carry.
Ball State, on the other hand, has struggled this season. They hold a 1-2 record after a close 37-34 loss to Central Michigan, in which their defense allowed over 530 yards. Offensively, quarterback Kadin Semonza has shown flashes of potential, but the team has yet to find a consistent rhythm, particularly on defense, where they’ve allowed over 44 points per game.
The key to this game will be whether Ball State can slow down the high-powered James Madison offense. The Cardinals’ defense, which ranks near the bottom in several statistical categories, will need to step up to keep the game within reach. Expect James Madison to test Ball State’s secondary early, with their dual-threat quarterback capable of making plays both on the ground and through the air. With the Dukes entering as 20.5-point favorites, a blowout could be on the horizon unless Ball State finds answers on both sides of the ball.
On the road again. #1AAT x #WeFly x #Team100 pic.twitter.com/vZiTVCjbS7
— Ball State Football (@BallStateFB) September 23, 2024
The Ball State Cardinals have had a rocky start to the 2024 season, sitting at 1-2, with their most recent loss coming in a close 37-34 defeat to Central Michigan. Ball State’s defense has been porous, allowing an average of 44.3 points per game, one of the worst marks in the country. Against a high-scoring team like James Madison, Ball State’s defense will need a much stronger effort to avoid a blowout. Offensively, quarterback Kadin Semonza has shown promise, throwing for over 500 yards this season. Running back Braedon Sloan has also been a key contributor, but the team’s inability to sustain long drives and capitalize in the red zone has hampered their offensive output. The Cardinals will need to control the clock and limit turnovers to stay competitive against a much stronger James Madison squad. For Ball State to cover the spread, they will need to significantly tighten up their defensive play while relying on Semonza and Sloan to produce some big plays on offense. If they can keep it close early, Ball State might have a shot at making it a competitive game, but based on recent performances, they will be hard-pressed to slow down James Madison’s offensive juggernaut.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The James Madison Dukes are coming off a massive victory, scoring 70 points against North Carolina, and will look to continue their unbeaten run against Ball State. The Dukes’ offense, led by Alonza Barnett, has been incredibly efficient, averaging over 40 points per game. Barnett has been supported by a strong rushing attack, which piled up 223 yards in their last outing. On defense, James Madison has been decent, though inconsistent. After holding Gardner-Webb to 13 points, they gave up 50 to North Carolina in what was a shootout. James Madison’s defensive line will be looking to dominate a Ball State team that has struggled in both the passing and running games. The Dukes’ ability to pressure the quarterback and force turnovers will be key in securing another comfortable victory. Given their potent offense and improved defense, James Madison is favored to cover the 20.5-point spread.
No. 38 🤝 A home cooked meal and some good tunes 🎵
— JMU Football (@JMUFootball) September 25, 2024
It’s time to get to know psychology major and safety, Stephen Hollander! #GoDukes pic.twitter.com/139HvEXrCe
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Cardinals and Dukes play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Showker Field at Bridgeforth Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every facet between the Cardinals and Dukes and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most focused on the linear correlation of weight human bettors regularly put on Ball State’s strength factors between a Cardinals team going up against a possibly strong Dukes team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.
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