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The Air Force Falcons will travel to face the Wyoming Cowboys in what is shaping up to be a critical early-season game for both programs. Air Force, with a 1-2 record, is favored by 4.5 points heading into the contest. The Falcons are looking to bounce back from a tough loss to Baylor, where their offense managed just 218 total yards in a 31-3 defeat. While Air Force has excelled on the ground, averaging 167.3 rushing yards per game, they have struggled to move the ball through the air and convert on key third downs.
Wyoming, on the other hand, is still seeking their first win of the season after a disappointing 0-4 start. The Cowboys are coming off a 44-17 loss to North Texas, in which their defense was gashed for over 500 total yards, including 216 on the ground. Despite their poor record, Wyoming has shown flashes of competitiveness in their passing game behind quarterback Evan Svoboda, but their inability to sustain drives and stop the run has been a major concern. This game is expected to be a physical contest, with both teams relying heavily on their running attacks. Air Force’s option offense will challenge Wyoming’s struggling run defense, which is allowing 6.8 yards per rush this season. On the flip side, Wyoming will need to improve their offensive consistency if they want to keep pace with the Falcons. Given both teams’ struggles against the spread, the game could be closer than expected, especially if Wyoming can exploit Air Force’s weaknesses on defense.
Defense has been showing out 😤 pic.twitter.com/Az5UtkSzBM
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 24, 2024
The Air Force Falcons are looking to get their season back on track after a 1-2 start. Known for their run-heavy option offense, the Falcons have been effective on the ground, averaging 167.3 rushing yards per game. However, their lack of a consistent passing game has limited their offensive output, as they are averaging just 10.3 points per game, one of the lowest in the nation. Defensively, Air Force has been solid, allowing 335.7 total yards per game, but their struggles in recent weeks have highlighted some vulnerabilities. In their last game against Baylor, they allowed over 230 rushing yards and 248 passing yards, which contributed to their inability to keep the game competitive. If Air Force is to beat Wyoming, they will need to clean up their defense, especially against the run, and capitalize on Wyoming’s offensive inconsistencies. The key for Air Force will be to control time of possession and limit turnovers. If they can establish their running game early and force Wyoming into passing situations, they should be able to secure their second win of the season and cover the 4.5-point spread. However, if they allow Wyoming to get into a rhythm offensively, this game could be more competitive than anticipated.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Wyoming Cowboys enter this matchup in dire need of a win, sitting at 0-4 on the season. Head coach Craig Bohl has seen his team struggle on both sides of the ball, particularly on defense, where they are allowing 36 points per game. Wyoming’s run defense has been particularly porous, giving up 216 rushing yards in their most recent game against North Texas. This will be a key concern as they prepare to face Air Force’s run-heavy option attack, which could dominate time of possession if not contained. Offensively, Wyoming has struggled to generate much consistency. Quarterback Evan Svoboda has flashed potential but has been unable to carry the offense due to poor pass protection and an ineffective running game that averages just 69 rushing yards per game. If the Cowboys are to have any chance in this contest, they will need to win the battle at the line of scrimmage and prevent Air Force from controlling the clock with their ground game. Wyoming’s best path to victory will be to force turnovers and limit big plays from the Air Force offense. If the Cowboys’ defense can step up and create short-field opportunities for their offense, they could keep the game within reach. However, given their struggles against the spread, they will need a near-perfect performance to cover the 4.5-point spread and avoid falling to 0-5 on the season.
Final from North Texas.
— Wyoming Cowboy Football (@wyo_football) September 22, 2024
Cowboys 17 | Mean Green 44 pic.twitter.com/QUvbVkON9G
Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Falcons and Cowboys play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at War Memorial Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and is crunching tons of data, but hasn't found a good Prop Bet yet for this game.
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Falcons and Cowboys and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most watching on the growing weight emotional bettors often put on Air Force’s strength factors between a Falcons team going up against a possibly improved Cowboys team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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