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Aggies vs. Bulldogs
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 14, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 14, 2024
Start Time: 10:30 PM EST
Venue: Valley Children's Stadium
Bulldogs Record: (1-1)
Aggies Record: (1-1)
OPENING ODDS
NMEXST Moneyline: +803
FRESNO Moneyline: -1449
NMEXST Spread: +20
FRESNO Spread: -20.0
Over/Under: 48.5
NMEXST
Betting Trends
- New Mexico State is 1-2 against the spread (ATS) this season after covering in a win against Western Illinois but failing to cover in losses to Texas A&M and Liberty. The Aggies have struggled on the road, going 2-6 ATS in their last eight away games.
FRESNO
Betting Trends
- Fresno State is 2-0 ATS this season following wins against Eastern Washington and Arizona State. The Bulldogs have been strong at home, holding a 6-2 ATS record in their last eight games at Bulldog Stadium.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Fresno State has covered the spread in five of their last six games when favored by 10 or more points at home, demonstrating their ability to dominate as heavy favorites. Meanwhile, New Mexico State has failed to cover the spread in four of their last five road games against teams with a winning record, showing their struggles against stronger opponents.
NMEXST vs. FRESNO
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and will be uploading a CFB Prop Bet soon
LIVE CFB ODDS
CFB ODDS COMPARISON
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AFTER VIGORISH
+372.13
VS. SPREAD
1521-1342
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$37,213
New Mexico State vs Fresno State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/14/24
The Fresno State Bulldogs are set to host the New Mexico State Aggies in a non-conference matchup on September 14, 2024, at Bulldog Stadium in Fresno, California. Fresno State, under head coach Jeff Tedford, is off to a solid start with a 2-0 record, showcasing a balanced offense and a stingy defense. The Bulldogs’ offense, led by quarterback Mikey Keene, has been efficient, throwing for 589 yards and six touchdowns with just one interception in the first two games. Running back Malik Sherrod has also been a key contributor, rushing for 210 yards and three touchdowns, providing a balanced attack that keeps defenses on their heels.
On the other hand, New Mexico State, under head coach Jerry Kill, comes into the game with a 1-2 record. The Aggies have shown some promise but have been inconsistent, particularly on defense, where they have allowed an average of 33 points per game. Quarterback Diego Pavia has thrown for 492 yards and four touchdowns but has also been intercepted three times. Running back Star Thomas leads the ground attack with 186 rushing yards and two touchdowns, but the Aggies will need more from their defense to keep Fresno State’s offense in check. The key to this game will be whether New Mexico State’s defense can slow down Fresno State’s high-powered offense and whether their offense can find ways to be more efficient and capitalize on scoring opportunities. For Fresno State, maintaining their strong play on both sides of the ball will be crucial to covering the spread and securing another convincing win at home.
Heads high. On to next week.#AggieUp x #RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/Al9dPQcKYm
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) September 8, 2024
Aggies AI Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies face a significant challenge as they travel to Fresno to take on a high-powered Fresno State team. Head coach Jerry Kill is looking for his team to show more consistency, particularly on offense, where quarterback Diego Pavia needs to step up. Pavia has thrown for 492 yards and four touchdowns but has also been intercepted three times, underscoring his need for better decision-making under pressure. Wide receiver Jonathan Brady has been a bright spot, with 221 receiving yards and two touchdowns, but he will need more support from his fellow receivers and the running game to challenge Fresno State’s defense. The ground game, led by Star Thomas, will be crucial in controlling the clock and keeping Fresno State’s offense off the field. Thomas has rushed for 186 yards and two touchdowns, providing a reliable option to move the chains. Defensively, New Mexico State must focus on limiting Fresno State’s big plays and creating turnovers. Linebackers Trevor Brohard and Chris Ojoh will need to be active in stopping the run and pressuring Mikey Keene to disrupt Fresno State’s rhythm. For New Mexico State to keep this game competitive, they must play mistake-free football, win the turnover battle, and capitalize on any scoring opportunities that come their way. If the Aggies can stay disciplined and make big plays on both sides of the ball, they might cover the spread, but a victory will be a tall order against a well-rounded Fresno State team.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Bulldogs AI Preview
The Fresno State Bulldogs are looking to continue their strong start to the 2024 season with a dominant performance against New Mexico State. Head coach Jeff Tedford has built a team that excels in both physicality and explosiveness. Quarterback Mikey Keene has been a standout performer, passing for 589 yards and six touchdowns with just one interception in the first two games. Keene’s ability to read defenses and make quick decisions has been key to the Bulldogs’ offensive success. His connection with wide receivers Nikko Remigio and Jalen Cropper, who have combined for over 400 receiving yards and four touchdowns, has been a significant factor in Fresno State’s early form. The ground game, led by Malik Sherrod, has also been productive, providing a balanced offensive attack that keeps defenses guessing. Sherrod’s 210 rushing yards and three touchdowns have been instrumental in controlling the clock and setting up play-action opportunities. Defensively, Fresno State has been solid, especially in their front seven, where they have limited opposing rushing attacks to an average of 105 yards per game. If Fresno State can continue to execute their game plan effectively and limit New Mexico State’s big plays, they should have no trouble handling the Aggies and covering the spread at home.
𝘽𝙄𝙂 𝙋𝙇𝘼𝙔𝙀𝙍. 𝘽𝙄𝙂 𝙋𝙇𝘼𝙔𝙎.@jalen_moss is the Mountain West Special Teams Player of the Week 🫡 pic.twitter.com/gi6w6BFBMy
— Fresno State Football (@FresnoStateFB) September 9, 2024
Aggies vs. Bulldogs FREE Prop Pick
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Bulldogs play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Valley Children's Stadium in Sep rarely follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi's searched hard and crunched the numbers and will be uploading a CFB Prop Bet soon
New Mexico State vs. Fresno State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Aggies and Bulldogs and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing emphasis emotional bettors often put on coaching factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly deflated Bulldogs team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.