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The San Jose State Spartans are set to face the Air Force Falcons in a key Mountain West Conference matchup on September 7, 2024, at Falcon Stadium. Both teams are coming off season-opening wins, but each has shown different strengths and weaknesses that will shape this game. San Jose State, under head coach Brent Brennan, comes into the game after a 42-24 victory over Sacramento State. The Spartans overcame a slow start, exploding for 21 points in the fourth quarter to secure the win. Quarterback Emmett Brown led the offense with 298 passing yards and three touchdowns, while Floyd Chalk added 87 rushing yards and two scores. San Jose State’s offense has proven capable of big plays, but they must improve their consistency, especially in converting on third downs.
Air Force, on the other hand, defeated Merrimack 21-6 in a game that showcased their disciplined defensive approach but also exposed some offensive limitations. Quarterback John Busha managed only 71 passing yards on 6-of-14 attempts, while the rushing attack, a staple of Air Force’s offense, produced 166 yards. Air Force’s defense was solid, limiting Merrimack to 217 yards, but the Falcons’ offensive struggles suggest they may need to rely on their defense and special teams to control the game. Head coach Troy Calhoun will aim to build on his team’s strong home record, especially in Mountain West openers. The key to this game will be whether San Jose State can exploit Air Force’s slower-paced offense and create turnovers. If the Spartans can score early and force the Falcons to abandon their methodical ground game, they could cover the spread or even win outright. For Air Force, establishing the run game and controlling the clock will be essential to keep San Jose State’s high-tempo offense off the field.
Welcome to the Comma Club @nick3nash #ThisIsSparta | #AllSpartans pic.twitter.com/taU87PNsXJ
— San José State Football (@SanJoseStateFB) September 2, 2024
The San Jose State Spartans head into their first conference game of the season with momentum after a 42-24 win over Sacramento State. Head coach Brent Brennan has his team focused on a balanced attack, combining a potent passing game with a capable ground game. Quarterback Emmett Brown was stellar in the opener, throwing for 298 yards and three touchdowns. His ability to stretch the field will be critical against an Air Force defense that is disciplined but could be vulnerable to big plays. Running back Floyd Chalk also contributed significantly, and a repeat performance will be necessary to keep Air Force’s defense honest. Defensively, the Spartans will need to step up their game. While they forced five turnovers against Sacramento State, they also allowed 24 points and struggled at times to get off the field on third downs. The key for San Jose State will be to slow down Air Force’s triple-option offense, which thrives on ball control and clock management. If the Spartans can force Air Force into third-and-long situations and capitalize on their own offensive opportunities, they could pull off a road upset or at least cover the spread. Both teams have clear strengths and weaknesses, and this game will likely come down to who can better execute their game plan while minimizing mistakes.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
The Air Force Falcons are looking to defend their home turf at Falcon Stadium, where they have an impressive record under head coach Troy Calhoun. The Falcons are known for their ground-and-pound offense, and in their opening game, they leaned heavily on this strategy, rushing for 166 yards against Merrimack. Fullback Owen Allen led the way with 63 rushing yards, and the Falcons scored all their points on the ground. However, Air Force’s passing game was almost non-existent, with just 71 passing yards and a completion rate below 50%. For Air Force to be successful against San Jose State, they need to find more balance and efficiency in their offensive approach. Defensively, the Falcons were solid against Merrimack, holding them to only six points and 217 total yards. The unit was particularly effective in the red zone, preventing Merrimack from turning scoring opportunities into points. Key players like Grant Uyl and David Santiago will need to lead the defense once again, particularly in containing San Jose State’s explosive passing game led by Emmett Brown. If Air Force can keep the Spartans’ offense in check and dominate time of possession, they have a good chance of extending their strong home record and starting 1-0 in conference play.
📈📈📈 pic.twitter.com/IiUAO54Ioo
— Air Force Football (@AF_Football) September 2, 2024
Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Spartans and Falcons play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Falcon Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's San Jose State vs. Air Force matchup. Air Force -4.5 1H ATS
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Spartans and Falcons and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most keyed in on the trending factor human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Spartans team going up against a possibly healthy Falcons team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
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