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Avalanche

Flames vs. Aggies
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 07, 2024

The Liberty Flames will face the New Mexico State Aggies on September 7, 2024, at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Liberty enters the game as a heavy favorite with a 22-point spread. Both teams are coming off season-opening wins, but the Flames are expected to have the upper hand in this Conference USA clash.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Sep 07, 2024

Start Time: 10:15 PM ESTโ€‹

Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadiumโ€‹

Aggies Record: (1-0)

Flames Record: (1-0)

OPENING ODDS

LIB Moneyline: -2174

NMEXST Moneyline: +1043

LIB Spread: -22.5

NMEXST Spread: +22.5

Over/Under: 58.5

LIB
Betting Trends

  • Liberty is 0-1 against the spread (ATS) this season after a 41-24 win over Campbell. Despite the win, the Flames failed to cover a large spread, indicating some defensive gaps that they will need to address against New Mexico State.

NMEXST
Betting Trends

  • New Mexico State is also 0-1 ATS this season, following a close 23-16 win over Southeast Missouri State. The Aggies struggled to put away their opponent, covering the spread only late in the game, which suggests potential weaknesses on both sides of the ball.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • New Mexico State has covered the spread in three of their last five home games as underdogs. This suggests that they perform well when underestimated at home, which could be an interesting factor against a heavily favored Liberty team.

LIB vs. NMEXST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. Liberty Team Total Over 21.5 Points

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NET UNITS
AFTER VIGORISH
+367.3
RECORD
VS. SPREAD
2055-1846
NET PROFIT
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$36,732

Liberty vs New Mexico State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/7/24

The Liberty Flames are set to face the New Mexico State Aggies on September 7, 2024, at Aggie Memorial Stadium in a key Conference USA matchup. Liberty comes into this game after a strong showing last season, finishing 13-1 overall and dominating their conference. In their 2024 opener, Liberty secured a 41-24 victory over Campbell, with quarterback Kaidon Salter throwing for 242 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Quinton Cooley added 110 yards and a touchdown on the ground. However, the Flames showed some defensive inconsistencies, giving up points in every quarter. Head coach Jamey Chadwell will be looking to tighten up the defense and reduce penalties, as they committed 11 in the last game, which could be a vulnerability against more competitive teams.

New Mexico State, under head coach Tony Sanchez, is coming off a 10-5 season and aims to build on that success. The Aggies narrowly defeated Southeast Missouri State 23-16 in their season opener, relying heavily on their running game led by Seth McGowan, who rushed for 87 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Parker Awad struggled, throwing for just 37 yards and an interception, indicating potential issues in their passing attack. The Aggiesโ€™ defense held strong in the end but will need a more balanced effort against a high-powered Liberty offense. For New Mexico State to stay competitive, they will need to limit mistakes, control the clock, and create opportunities on defense

Flames AI Preview

The Liberty Flames come into this game with confidence following their dominant performance last season and a solid start to the 2024 campaign. Head coach Jamey Chadwellโ€™s squad defeated Campbell 41-24 in their opener, demonstrating a balanced offensive approach with quarterback Kaidon Salter and running back Quinton Cooley leading the charge. Salterโ€™s efficient passing and Cooleyโ€™s powerful running provide Liberty with multiple ways to attack defenses, making them a difficult team to prepare for. Defensively, Liberty has room for improvement after allowing points in each quarter against Campbell. The Flames must focus on reducing penalties and tightening up coverage to avoid giving New Mexico State any momentum. The defensive line, led by standout defensive end Durrell Johnson, will be key in pressuring New Mexico Stateโ€™s struggling passing game. If Liberty can control the tempo and minimize mistakes, they should be able to cover the spread and secure a comfortable win on the road.

The Liberty Flames will face the New Mexico State Aggies on September 7, 2024, at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Liberty enters the game as a heavy favorite with a 22-point spread. Both teams are coming off season-opening wins, but the Flames are expected to have the upper hand in this Conference USA clash. Liberty vs New Mexico State AI Prediction: Free CFB Betting Insights for Sep 07. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Aggies AI Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies look to upset the favored Liberty Flames in this early-season showdown. Coming off a 10-5 season that ended with a loss in the New Mexico Bowl, the Aggies have shown they can compete but need to be more consistent, particularly on offense. Head coach Tony Sanchez will likely emphasize a run-heavy approach, as quarterback Parker Awad struggled to find his rhythm in their opener. With only 37 passing yards and an interception, the Aggies need to find more balance offensively to challenge a well-rounded Liberty defense. Defensively, New Mexico State held Southeast Missouri State to just 16 points, but the challenge will be much greater against Libertyโ€™s versatile attack. Key players like linebacker Trevor Brohard will need to step up to limit Libertyโ€™s rushing and passing threats. If the Aggies can force turnovers and keep the game close, they have a chance to cover the spread, especially given their recent history of performing well as home underdogs.

Flames vs. Aggies FREE Prop Pick

Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Flames and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Sep seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. Liberty Team Total Over 21.5 Points

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Liberty vs. New Mexico State CFB AI Pick

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every angle between the Flames and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing emphasis human bettors often put on player performance factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly unhealthy Aggies team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.

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