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Flames vs. Aggies
FREE CFB AI Predictions
September 07, 2024
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Sep 07, 2024
Start Time: 10:15 PM EST
Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium
Aggies Record: (1-0)
Flames Record: (1-0)
OPENING ODDS
LIB Moneyline: -2174
NMEXST Moneyline: +1043
LIB Spread: -22.5
NMEXST Spread: +22.5
Over/Under: 58.5
LIB
Betting Trends
- Liberty is 0-1 against the spread (ATS) this season after a 41-24 win over Campbell. Despite the win, the Flames failed to cover a large spread, indicating some defensive gaps that they will need to address against New Mexico State.
NMEXST
Betting Trends
- New Mexico State is also 0-1 ATS this season, following a close 23-16 win over Southeast Missouri State. The Aggies struggled to put away their opponent, covering the spread only late in the game, which suggests potential weaknesses on both sides of the ball.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- New Mexico State has covered the spread in three of their last five home games as underdogs. This suggests that they perform well when underestimated at home, which could be an interesting factor against a heavily favored Liberty team.
LIB vs. NMEXST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. Liberty Team Total Over 21.5 Points
LIVE CFB ODDS
CFB ODDS COMPARISON
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AFTER VIGORISH
+316.2
VS. SPREAD
1705-1527
AFTER VIGORISH
$100/UNIT
$31,624
Liberty vs New Mexico State AI Prediction:
Free CFB Betting Insights for 9/7/24
The Liberty Flames are set to face the New Mexico State Aggies on September 7, 2024, at Aggie Memorial Stadium in a key Conference USA matchup. Liberty comes into this game after a strong showing last season, finishing 13-1 overall and dominating their conference. In their 2024 opener, Liberty secured a 41-24 victory over Campbell, with quarterback Kaidon Salter throwing for 242 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Quinton Cooley added 110 yards and a touchdown on the ground. However, the Flames showed some defensive inconsistencies, giving up points in every quarter. Head coach Jamey Chadwell will be looking to tighten up the defense and reduce penalties, as they committed 11 in the last game, which could be a vulnerability against more competitive teams.
New Mexico State, under head coach Tony Sanchez, is coming off a 10-5 season and aims to build on that success. The Aggies narrowly defeated Southeast Missouri State 23-16 in their season opener, relying heavily on their running game led by Seth McGowan, who rushed for 87 yards and two touchdowns. Quarterback Parker Awad struggled, throwing for just 37 yards and an interception, indicating potential issues in their passing attack. The Aggies’ defense held strong in the end but will need a more balanced effort against a high-powered Liberty offense. For New Mexico State to stay competitive, they will need to limit mistakes, control the clock, and create opportunities on defense
that's a whole lotta yards pic.twitter.com/p2FOOAq6eU
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) September 3, 2024
Flames AI Preview
The Liberty Flames come into this game with confidence following their dominant performance last season and a solid start to the 2024 campaign. Head coach Jamey Chadwell’s squad defeated Campbell 41-24 in their opener, demonstrating a balanced offensive approach with quarterback Kaidon Salter and running back Quinton Cooley leading the charge. Salter’s efficient passing and Cooley’s powerful running provide Liberty with multiple ways to attack defenses, making them a difficult team to prepare for. Defensively, Liberty has room for improvement after allowing points in each quarter against Campbell. The Flames must focus on reducing penalties and tightening up coverage to avoid giving New Mexico State any momentum. The defensive line, led by standout defensive end Durrell Johnson, will be key in pressuring New Mexico State’s struggling passing game. If Liberty can control the tempo and minimize mistakes, they should be able to cover the spread and secure a comfortable win on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Aggies AI Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies look to upset the favored Liberty Flames in this early-season showdown. Coming off a 10-5 season that ended with a loss in the New Mexico Bowl, the Aggies have shown they can compete but need to be more consistent, particularly on offense. Head coach Tony Sanchez will likely emphasize a run-heavy approach, as quarterback Parker Awad struggled to find his rhythm in their opener. With only 37 passing yards and an interception, the Aggies need to find more balance offensively to challenge a well-rounded Liberty defense. Defensively, New Mexico State held Southeast Missouri State to just 16 points, but the challenge will be much greater against Liberty’s versatile attack. Key players like linebacker Trevor Brohard will need to step up to limit Liberty’s rushing and passing threats. If the Aggies can force turnovers and keep the game close, they have a chance to cover the spread, especially given their recent history of performing well as home underdogs.
𝑾𝑬𝑬𝑲 𝑻𝑾𝑶 𝑼𝑵𝑫𝑬𝑹 𝑻𝑯𝑬 𝑳𝑰𝑮𝑯𝑻𝑺 🏟️
— New Mexico State Football (@NMStateFootball) September 2, 2024
🆚 Liberty
📆 Sept. 7
⏰ 8:15 pm
📺 ESPN2
🎟️ https://t.co/hi4YBQiZ6P#AggieUp x #RideForTheBrand pic.twitter.com/ACmnUag2bt
Flames vs. Aggies FREE Prop Pick
Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each team. In fact, anytime the Flames and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Sep almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.
Remi searched and crunched the numbers and found a prop for this week's Liberty vs New Mexico State matchup. Liberty Team Total Over 21.5 Points
Liberty vs. New Mexico State CFB AI Pick
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every past game between the Flames and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the growing factor human bettors regularly put on coaching factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly unhealthy Aggies team. In reality, the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CFB AI picks for FREE now.