Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Mar 02)
Updated: 2026-02-28T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Iowa State Cyclones travel to face the Arizona Wildcats on March 2, 2026 in a marquee Big 12 Conference showdown between nationally ranked programs that could impact both conference title race and NCAA Tournament seeding. Arizona enters as one of the nation’s elite teams boasting a dominant home record and Big 12 co‑championship relevance, while Iowa State brings strong offensive production and recent momentum into McKale Center.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Mar 02, 2026
Start Time: 10:00 PM EST
Venue: McKale Memorial Center
Wildcats Record: (27-2)
Cyclones Record: (24-5)
OPENING ODDS
IOWAST Moneyline: +268
ARIZ Moneyline: -341
IOWAST Spread: +7.5
ARIZ Spread: -7.5
Over/Under: 147.5
IOWAST
Betting Trends
- Iowa State has been strong against the spread recently, going 9‑4‑1 ATS in its last 14 games and 9‑2‑1 ATS when playing as the underdog, suggesting value for bettors backing the Cyclones to cover in key road scenarios.
ARIZ
Betting Trends
- Arizona has been less reliable against the spread of late, posting an approximate 2‑4 ATS mark in its last six games, even while maintaining an extremely strong overall win–loss record.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Overall betting trends indicate that Iowa State games recently have gone UNDER totals, with the UNDER hitting in several of their last outings, and Arizona’s games at home have also frequently stayed under, suggesting a defensive influence in tempo and game flow for this matchup.
IOWAST vs. ARIZ
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I.Kharchenkov under 19.5 PTS+REB+AST
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Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 3/2/26
The March 2, 2026 clash between the Iowa State Cyclones and the Arizona Wildcats is shaping up as a defining Big 12 battle with national implications, pitting two Top 5 squads with contrasting strengths and recent narratives in one of the season’s most anticipated regular‑season games. Arizona enters the contest with a 27‑2 overall record and 14‑2 conference mark, having already clinched at least a share of the Big 12 regular‑season title, and sits perched near the top of the national polls. The Wildcats’ recent performances include a dominant 84‑61 dismantling of No. 14 Kansas and other efficient wins that showcase their ability to overwhelm both interior and perimeter defenders, and Arizona has shown depth, rebounding prowess, and balanced scoring from stars like Brayden Burries and Jaden Bradley. Their defensive discipline has also been a hallmark — holding opponents to lower field‑goal percentages and controlling pace against rival Big 12 offenses. In contrast, Iowa State comes into Tucson with a strong 24‑5 record and 11‑5 in conference play, carrying one of the league’s most efficient scoring offenses that averages well over 80 points per game. The Cyclones are led by sharpshooting from Milan Momcilovic — one of the nation’s most accurate three‑point shooters — and complemented by Joshua Jefferson and a supporting cast that can exploit mismatches and generate transition opportunities. Recent news surrounding Iowa State includes a signature road win over Utah and a tough loss at home to Texas Tech, illustrating both the Cyclones’ ceiling and areas where consistency has faltered.
Statistically, Iowa State’s ability to convert from deep and generate assists helps them sustain scoring runs, while Arizona’s scoring margin and rebounding edges indicate an ability to control possessions and mitigate opponent runs. The historical series between these teams has seen competitive clashes, including an 84‑67 Iowa State victory over Arizona last season, underscoring that momentum swings in this rivalry can be dramatic when keys like perimeter defense or turnovers tilt one way or the other. In terms of betting dynamics, Arizona’s recent ATS struggles despite impressive performance records underscore how tough it can be to temper expectations — the Wildcats often win but don’t always cover large spreads in high‑pressure matchups — while Iowa State’s strong ATS results as an underdog offer qualitative context for bettors viewing this as a potential value cover. The game’s tempo and total scoring could trend UNDER based on recent trend lines — both teams have seen UNDER results in several recent games — but with explosive offenses and elite shooters in the lineup, swing runs and late bursts could still buoy higher totals. Ultimately, the matchup will likely hinge on how effectively Iowa State can test Arizona’s perimeter defense and whether Arizona’s balanced attack can control pace and limit Cyclone transition scoring, making for a captivating contest with stakes high on both conference and national fronts.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Back to It. #Cyclones | #C5C pic.twitter.com/pHdCOKJxnJ
— Iowa State Men’s Basketball (@CycloneMBB) March 2, 2026
Iowa State Cyclones CBB Preview
The Iowa State Cyclones arrive in Tucson on March 2, 2026 as one of the most exciting and efficient offensive teams in the nation, ready to challenge the Arizona Wildcats in a critical Big 12 Conference matchup that could shape both teams’ legacies and tournament trajectories. Iowa State’s 24‑5 record and 11‑5 league mark reflect a season of dynamic scoring, strategic versatility, and resilience against high‑caliber competition. Led by sharpshooting threats like Milan Momcilovic — who has been among the nation’s most accurate three‑point shooters — and supplemented by consistent production from Joshua Jefferson and key rotational contributors, the Cyclones have showcased an offensive profile capable of generating high point totals through perimeter precision, controlled transition play, and well‑executed ball movement. Iowa State’s ability to stretch defenses with effective three‑point shooting can disrupt opponent schemes, create driving lanes, and generate rebounding opportunities, making them a serious threat in high‑tempo clashes. Defensively, the Cyclones employ a proactive approach that emphasizes pressure on the perimeter, opportunistic rotations, and forcing turnovers that lead to high‑value transition buckets. Their rebounding numbers, coupled with defensive discipline, allow them to limit second‑chance points and maintain possession rhythm, which becomes increasingly vital in tight road environments. Recent news surrounding Iowa State includes a commanding road win over Utah that showcased their depth and tempo control, as well as a tough home loss to Texas Tech that highlighted areas for defensive improvement and consistency, especially when opponent scoring runs gain early traction.
This blend of success and adversity has shaped the Cyclones into a team that can adjust tactics mid‑game and thrive under pressure — an attribute that will be tested in McKale Center against Arizona’s balanced attack and defensive acumen. Betting trends show Iowa State has been strong against the spread, particularly as an underdog, hinting at value in backing the Cyclones to remain competitive even if not favored outright. The matchup’s history also includes dramatic results, such as an Iowa State victory last season where they dominated Arizona by a large margin, reminding observers that momentum swings and strategic execution can flip expectations when both teams meet. On the road, Iowa State’s strategy will likely focus on sustaining offensive efficiency early, limiting unforced errors, and controlling rebounding battles to prevent fast‑break opportunities for the Wildcats. Their discipline in executing set plays and converting perimeter shots will be key in establishing tempo and staying close in scoring, while defensive rotations must remain sharp to counter Arizona’s balanced scoring threats and interior presence. If Iowa State can blend its offensive firepower with disciplined defense and effective rebounding, the Cyclones have the tools to not only compete in this high‑stakes environment but also potentially pull off a signature road win that echoes across the conference and national landscape.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Arizona Wildcats CBB Preview
For the Arizona Wildcats, hosting the Iowa State Cyclones on March 2, 2026 represents both a crowning regular‑season moment and a critical piece of their Big 12 and national goals, as they look to secure the outright conference title and build the strongest possible positioning heading into March Madness. Arizona enters this showdown with an outstanding 27‑2 record and 14‑2 mark in league play, reflecting a season of dominant performances, efficient offense, and tenacious defense. The Wildcats have handled a variety of opponent styles — from physical Big 12 battle teams to explosive offensive clubs — demonstrating a capacity to adapt on both ends of the floor. Recent standout performances have included a commanding 84‑61 win over No. 14 Kansas, where they executed a 16‑0 second‑half run to pull away, and an 87‑80 comeback victory over Baylor, highlighting Arizona’s ability to respond under pressure and close out games against quality competition. Their roster depth, with players like Jaden Bradley and Brayden Burries leading the charge, offers both scoring punch and a diversity of offensive weapons that can thrive in transition, in isolation, and off ball screens. Arizona’s defense has been equally impressive; they’ve consistently limited opponent scoring efficiency, controlled rebounding battles, and forced turnovers which translate into high‑value scoring possessions. Coach Tommy Lloyd’s system emphasizes spacing, ball movement, and versatile defensive rotations, allowing the Wildcats to maintain strategic flexibility against various opponent approaches. As home favorites in McKale Center, the Wildcats have also enjoyed strong support from their crowd, which raises the energy level and forces visiting teams to battle through hostile and rhythmic play environments.
However, recent betting trends indicate Arizona has been less consistent against the spread, suggesting that while the team tends to win, the margin of victory does not always exceed expectations — a reflection that competitive Big 12 matchups often stay tight and require closing execution. Facing a high‑octane scoring opponent like Iowa State, the Wildcats will need to balance offensive aggression with disciplined defensive communication to prevent quick scoring runs and tempo exploitation. Arizona’s interior presence and ability to crash the boards will be key if they aim to limit second‑chance points and control possessions; converting on home offensive opportunities early can also silence any opponent momentum swings. Their rebounding numbers and assist totals indicate a team capable of playing controlled, possession‑oriented basketball while still creating electric scoring bursts, making them a formidable unit in high‑stakes games. With Senior Night implications and the chance to solidify Big 12 supremacy, Arizona’s focus will be on disciplined execution across forty minutes — maintaining defensive pressure, finding consistent scoring through variety in playmaking, and leveraging the home crowd to wear down Iowa State’s resolve. Should they succeed on these fronts, the Wildcats will not only defend their court but also make a compelling statement on the national stage as one of college basketball’s elite squads.
Last night was fun pic.twitter.com/1sVfbB0Qwy
— Arizona Basketball (@ArizonaMBB) March 1, 2026
Iowa State vs Arizona Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of datapoints on each team. In fact, anytime the Cyclones and Wildcats play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at McKale Memorial Center in Mar rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Iowa State vs Arizona Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Cyclones and Wildcats and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.
Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most keyed in on the linear correlation of weight knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Arizona’s strength factors between a Cyclones team going up against a possibly improved Wildcats team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Iowa State vs Arizona picks, computer picks Cyclones vs Wildcats, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| CBB | 3/8 | CHARLO@SFLA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 7 |
VAULT v4
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| CBB | 3/8 | NIOWA@UIC | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CBB | 3/8 | NKY@WISCGB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CBB | 3/8 | MICHST@MICH | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 2 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | IDST@PORTST | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | WNTHRP@HIGHPT | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | IOWA@NEB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | ILL@MD | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
| CBB | 3/8 | FAIR@SIENA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | TOWSON@CHARLS | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | MICHST@MICH | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | PACIFC@SNCLRA | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 3/8 | ECU@UAB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
Iowa State Betting Trends
Iowa State has been strong against the spread recently, going 9‑4‑1 ATS in its last 14 games and 9‑2‑1 ATS when playing as the underdog, suggesting value for bettors backing the Cyclones to cover in key road scenarios.
Arizona Betting Trends
Arizona has been less reliable against the spread of late, posting an approximate 2‑4 ATS mark in its last six games, even while maintaining an extremely strong overall win–loss record.
Cyclones vs. Wildcats Matchup Trends
Overall betting trends indicate that Iowa State games recently have gone UNDER totals, with the UNDER hitting in several of their last outings, and Arizona’s games at home have also frequently stayed under, suggesting a defensive influence in tempo and game flow for this matchup.
Iowa State vs. Arizona Game Info
Iowa State vs Arizona starts on March 02, 2026 at 10:00 PM EST.
Venue: McKale Memorial Center.
Spread: Arizona -7.5
Moneyline: Iowa State +268, Arizona -341
Over/Under: 147.5
Iowa State: (24-5) | Arizona: (27-2)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: I.Kharchenkov under 19.5 PTS+REB+AST. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Overall betting trends indicate that Iowa State games recently have gone UNDER totals, with the UNDER hitting in several of their last outings, and Arizona’s games at home have also frequently stayed under, suggesting a defensive influence in tempo and game flow for this matchup.
IOWAST trend: Iowa State has been strong against the spread recently, going 9‑4‑1 ATS in its last 14 games and 9‑2‑1 ATS when playing as the underdog, suggesting value for bettors backing the Cyclones to cover in key road scenarios.
ARIZ trend: Arizona has been less reliable against the spread of late, posting an approximate 2‑4 ATS mark in its last six games, even while maintaining an extremely strong overall win–loss record.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Iowa State vs. Arizona Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each player. In fact, anytime the Iowa State vs Arizona trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| IOWAST Moneyline | +268 |
|---|---|
| ARIZ Moneyline | -341 |
| IOWAST Spread | +7.5 |
| ARIZ Spread | -7.5 |
| Over / Under | 147.5 |
Iowa State vs Arizona Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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In Progress
Georgia Southern Eagles
Marshall Thundering Herd
In Progress
GASO
MARSH
|
74
74
|
-20000
+2500
|
+1.5 (-130)
-1.5 (+100)
|
O 161.5 (-102)
U 161.5 (-130)
|
|
|
In Progress
Idaho Vandals
Montana State Bobcats
In Progress
IDAHO
MONTST
|
36
40
|
+165
|
+3.5 (-115)
|
O 153.5 (-110)
U 153.5 (-120)
|
|
|
In Progress
Pacific Tigers
Santa Clara Broncos
In Progress
PACIFC
SNCLRA
|
0
5
|
+500
-900
|
+12.5 (-125)
-12.5 (-105)
|
O 149.5 (+115)
U 149.5 (-150)
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|
Mar 9, 2026 2:00PM EDT
Alcorn State Braves
Alabama State Hornets
3/9/26 2PM
ALCORN
ALAST
|
–
–
|
|
pk
pk
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O 143 (-110)
U 143 (-110)
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Mar 9, 2026 5:00PM EDT
New Orleans Privateers
Texas A&M-CC Islanders
3/9/26 5PM
NORL
TXCORP
|
–
–
|
-108
-111
|
+1.5 (-118)
-1.5 (-104)
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O 144.5 (-110)
U 144.5 (-110)
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Mar 9, 2026 5:00PM EDT
Campbell Fighting Camels
Monmouth Hawks
3/9/26 5PM
CAMP
MONMTH
|
–
–
|
+100
-120
|
+1 (-110)
-1 (-110)
|
O 152 (-110)
U 152 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 9, 2026 6:00PM EDT
Northern Kentucky Norse
Wright State Raiders
3/9/26 6PM
NKTY
WRIGHT
|
–
–
|
-122
|
-1.5 (-110)
|
O 157.5 (-110)
U 157.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Mar 9, 2026 7:00PM EDT
Furman Paladins
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
3/9/26 7PM
FURMAN
ETENN
|
–
–
|
+114
|
+2.5 (-110)
|
O 139.5 (-110)
U 139.5 (-110)
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Mar 9, 2026 7:30PM EDT
N Colorado Bears
Montana Grizzlies
3/9/26 7:30PM
NOCOLO
MONT
|
–
–
|
-180
+150
|
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
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O 152 (-110)
U 152 (-110)
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Mar 9, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Grambling State Tigers
3/9/26 8:30PM
MVSU
GRAMB
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–
–
|
|
pk
pk
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O 135.5 (-114)
U 135.5 (-109)
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Mar 9, 2026 9:30PM EDT
Detroit Mercy Titans
Robert Morris Colonials
3/9/26 9:30PM
DETRIOT
ROBERT
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–
–
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+165
-200
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+5 (-110)
-5 (-110)
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O 147.5 (-110)
U 147.5 (-110)
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|
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Mar 9, 2026 10:00PM EDT
Weber State Wildcats
Eastern Washington Eagles
3/9/26 10PM
WEBER
EWASH
|
–
–
|
+125
-150
|
+3 (-110)
-3 (-110)
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O 155 (-110)
U 155 (-110)
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CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats on March 02, 2026 at McKale Memorial Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVILLE@MIAMI | LVILLE +114 | 49.2% | 1 | WIN |
| TXTECH@BYU | BYU -125 | 55.6% | 3 | WIN |
| UNC@DUKE | UNDER 147.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| VANDY@TENN | TENN -3.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| NDAK@STTOM-MN | NDAK +12.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| GWASH@LOYCHI | LOYCHI +10.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| ALBANY@UMASSLO | UMASSLO -2.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| PORT@SANFRAN | PORT +7.5 | 53.6% | 3 | LOSS |
| UNC@DUKE | DUKE -17 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@BRAD | NIOWA -4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| QUEENS@PEAY | QUEENS +1.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| CLMBIA@HARV | CLMBIA +4.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| LONGWD@NCASH | LONGWD -1 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| VMI@NCGRN | NCGRN -7.5 | 52.7% | 2 | WIN |
| LATECH@LIB | LATECH +9.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| MVSU@JACKST | MVSU +10.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| STETSON@EKTY | EKTY -4 | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| DUQ@RI | RI -2 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| OREG@ILL | ILL -18 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| BRYANT@NH | BRYANT +1 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| MISSST@FLA | FLA -21.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| LAMAR@HOUBP | LAMAR -114 | 55.1% | 4 | LOSS |
| IOWAST@ARIZ | ARIZ -7 | 53.1% | 1 | WIN |
| RIDER@SIENA | SIENA -15.5 | 53.5% | 3 | LOSS |
| CHARLO@FAU | CHARLO +7.5 | 58.6% | 8 | WIN |
| NOTEX@UAB | UAB -5.5 | 54.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@DRAKE | NIOWA -4 | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| SCARST@MDESHORE | SCARST +7.5 | 56.2% | 6 | WIN |
| YALE@CLMBIA | YALE -5.5 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| SFAUSTIN@HOUBP | SFAUSTIN -8 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| TXTECH@IOWAST | TXTECH +10.5 | 52.3% | 2 | WIN |
| PITT@CAL | PITT +8.5 | 57.3% | 7 | WIN |
| KANSAS@ARIZ | ARIZ -9.5 | 53.6% | 3 | WIN |
| EILL@SIUE | EILL +5.5 | 55.7% | 5 | LOSS |
| UVA@DUKE | DUKE -10 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| BUCK@LEHIGH | BUCK +5.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| IOWA@PSU | IOWA -9.5 | 54.5% | 4 | LOSS |
| ARK@FLA | FLA -10.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| CALPOLY@UCSD | CALPOLY +6.5 | 56.2% | 6 | LOSS |
| NAU@EWASH | NAU +9.5 | 57.3% | 7 | LOSS |
| VANDY@UK | UK -0.5 | 53.9% | 3 | WIN |
| DEL@KENSAW | DEL +11.5 | 55.2% | 5 | WIN |
| BAMA@TENN | AMARI ALLEN UNDER 6.5 REB | 54.8% | 4 | WIN |
| GONZAG@MARYCA | PAULIUS MURAUSKAS UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB | 55.1% | 5 | WIN |
| QUINN@NIAGARA | NIAGARA +9 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| MICH@ILL | ILL +1 | 57.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| BROWN@CLMBIA | BROWN +4.5 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| COASTAL@JMAD | COASTAL +5.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| GASOU@MRSHL | GASOU +6.5 | 55.8% | 5 | WIN |
| NEAST@WMMARY | NEAST +11.5 | 53.3% | 2 | WIN |
| BRYANT@UMBC | BRYANT +10.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |