Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Feb 11)

Updated: 2026-02-09T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Liberty Flames (20‑3, 12‑0 CUSA) travel to face the New Mexico State Aggies (11‑12, 4‑9 CUSA) as favorites in a pivotal Conference USA matchup where Liberty’s recent success contrasts with NMSU’s struggles. Liberty has won the last several meetings in the series, but the Aggies will look to defend home court and snap a recent skid in front of their fans.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Feb 11, 2026

Start Time: 9:00 PM EST​

Venue: Pan American Center​

Aggies Record: (11-12)

Flames Record: (20-3)

OPENING ODDS

LIB Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON

NMEXST Moneyline: ODDS COMING SOON

LIB Spread: ODDS COMING SOON

NMEXST Spread: ODDS COMING SOON

Over/Under: ODDS COMING SOON

LIB
Betting Trends

  • Liberty’s recent ATS form is solid, going L L W W W over its last five games and often covering as a favorite this season.

NMEXST
Betting Trends

  • The Aggies have struggled to cover recently, with a L W L L L ATS run over their last five overall and mixed results as underdogs.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Historically, Liberty holds an advantage in this series SU and ATS, while the Over/Under on totals in both teams’ games has shown a tendency toward higher scoring, with many of New Mexico State’s games going Over recently.

LIB vs. NMEXST
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

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Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 2/11/26

When the Liberty Flames visit the New Mexico State Aggies on February 11, 2026, it’s a clash between the hottest team in Conference USA and an underdog Aggies squad fighting for respect. Liberty enters this game with an impressive 20‑3 record and undefeated 12‑0 mark in CUSA play, riding a string of five straight wins that underline its status as one of the league’s elite teams. The Flames bring balanced scoring, efficient defense and strong ball control to this matchup; they average close to 79.3 points per game while holding opponents to about 67.6, making them top‑tier on both ends — particularly when they force turnovers and crash the boards effectively. Head coach Ritchie McKay’s squad has been dominant when they shoot well and limit mistakes, and Liberty’s shooting personnel — including leading scorer Brett Decker Jr. and top assist man Zach Cleveland — provide multiple ways to generate offense. Liberty’s continuous stretch of success this season includes consistent group scoring, strong assist‑to‑turnover ratios and tenacious rebounding that gives them extra possessions and late‑game control. New Mexico State enters at 11‑12 and 4‑9 in CUSA play, coming off mixed results in recent games and struggling to build momentum in conference competition. The Aggies have had trouble covering spreads and maintaining consistency, evidenced by their recent ATS record, and although they earned a win at UTEP recently, losses in succession highlight the competitive challenge they face.

NMSU’s offense is middling overall, averaging around 71 points per game, which leaves defensive performance and rebounding as critical areas if the Aggies are to stick around against a team as deep and disciplined as Liberty. New Mexico State’s ability to limit turnovers and defend the perimeter will be tested significantly in this matchup; Liberty’s offense makes plenty of threes and scores efficiently in transition, putting pressure on the Aggies to contain ball movement and avoid giving up easy baskets. In past meetings the Flames have dominated SU — and often ATS — but the Aggies have shown they can keep games competitive in stretches, particularly at home. The potential for a higher total is present, as defenses will need to stay locked in to limit scoring opportunities, and Liberty’s ability to execute in clutch moments could be the deciding factor. Ultimately, this game showcases a top Conference USA team looking to affirm its dominance and a home squad aiming to disrupt the favorite’s rhythm in a high‑stakes midweek matchup.

Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Liberty Flames CBB Preview

The Liberty Flames enter this road test with one of the strongest resumes in Conference USA, boasting a 20‑3 overall record and perfect 12‑0 CUSA mark that reflects dominance in both scoring and defense. Liberty has won their last five games — including recent wins over multiple conference foes — and have been particularly efficient offensively, averaging close to 79.3 points per game, while limiting opponents to around 67.6 points through disciplined defensive execution and strong rebounding. Multiple players contribute offensively, with Brett Decker Jr. leading with around 17.1 points per game, supported by teammates like Kaden Metheny, Zach Cleveland and others who provide balanced scoring. This depth makes Liberty difficult to game‑plan against and allows them to maintain scoring threats even when individual shots aren’t falling. Liberty’s defense is built around forcing turnovers and contesting shots, and their ability to limit opponent three‑point percentages gives them an edge when containing mid‑range and perimeter offenses. The Flames also excel in assist‑to‑turnover ratio, indicating strong ball movement and disciplined play that minimizes wasted possessions and creates higher‑quality scoring chances.

Their success in closing out games — including a tight 79‑76 win over Middle Tennessee and solid road performances — shows that Liberty can execute in late‑game scenarios under pressure, an important trait when facing a scrappy underdog in New Mexico State. The coaching staff has emphasized pace control and efficient shot selection, allowing the Flames to exploit mismatches and find points in transition or half‑court sets. From a betting perspective, Liberty’s recent ATS performance — including wins and covers in most of their last five games — suggests they’ve been outperforming expectations and controlling games relative to point spreads. Their status as favorites in this matchup is justified by statistical advantages in scoring, defense and consistency. On the road, Liberty will need to maintain focus early, control turnovers and limit second‑chance points to discourage the Aggies from building momentum. If Liberty continues to execute their balanced offensive game plan while staying disciplined defensively, they are well‑positioned not only to win but to cover in what promises to be a competitive Conference USA battle on February 11.

The Liberty Flames (20‑3, 12‑0 CUSA) travel to face the New Mexico State Aggies (11‑12, 4‑9 CUSA) as favorites in a pivotal Conference USA matchup where Liberty’s recent success contrasts with NMSU’s struggles. Liberty has won the last several meetings in the series, but the Aggies will look to defend home court and snap a recent skid in front of their fans. Liberty vs New Mexico State AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Feb 11. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

New Mexico State Aggies CBB Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies come into this Conference USA matchup at home with a 11‑12 overall record and a 4‑9 mark in league play, reflecting a season of ups and downs. NMSU has shown flashes of offensive capability — including a recent road win over UTEP — but consistency has eluded them, as indicated by recent ATS trends showing mixed results and difficulties covering spreads. The Aggies average around 71 points per game, which is respectable but less potent than the Flames’ offensive output, and their defensive numbers suggest that limiting higher‑quality offenses — like Liberty’s — will be a key challenge. NMSU’s perimeter shooting efficiency and rebounding will be focal points: if they can hit open looks from three and control the glass, they can create more possessions and reduce the number of second‑chance points for Liberty. Home court is an important advantage for New Mexico State, as teams often perform better in front of their own fans due to familiarity and energy, and that could help keep this contest competitive early. However, defensive lapses and turnover issues have undermined the Aggies’ ability to sustain momentum, particularly against top offensive teams.

To improve their chances, NMSU will need to execute disciplined rotations, contest shots effectively and convert offensive rebounds into high‑percentage scoring opportunities. The psychological edge of hosting such a strong opponent might push the Aggies to play with urgency, but they must avoid early foul trouble and sloppy possessions that could swing the momentum in Liberty’s favor. Ultimately, the Aggies’ path to success in this game lies in maintaining tight defensive structure and finding consistent scoring from key contributors. If they can keep the score close at half and make Liberty work for shots late in possessions, the Aggies could keep this game competitive and potentially cover the spread. But they must stay disciplined on both ends of the floor — especially on transition defense and in limiting easy baskets — if they hope to challenge a top Conference USA squad like Liberty on their home court.

Liberty vs New Mexico State Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Flames and Aggies play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Pan American Center in Feb can often follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

Liberty vs New Mexico State Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over millions of data from every past game between the Flames and Aggies and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

Oddly enough, we’ve seen the AI has been most watching on the trending weight emotional bettors regularly put on player performance factors between a Flames team going up against a possibly improved Aggies team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Liberty vs New Mexico State picks, computer picks Flames vs Aggies, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CBB 3/8 CHARLO@SFLA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CBB 3/8 NIOWA@UIC UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 3/8 NKY@WISCGB UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 3/8 MICHST@MICH UNLOCK THIS PICK 2 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 IDST@PORTST UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 WNTHRP@HIGHPT UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 IOWA@NEB UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 ILL@MD GET FREE PICK NOW 1
CBB 3/8 FAIR@SIENA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 TOWSON@CHARLS UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 MICHST@MICH UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 PACIFC@SNCLRA UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 3/8 ECU@UAB UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

Liberty Betting Trends

Liberty’s recent ATS form is solid, going L L W W W over its last five games and often covering as a favorite this season.

New Mexico State Betting Trends

The Aggies have struggled to cover recently, with a L W L L L ATS run over their last five overall and mixed results as underdogs.

Flames vs. Aggies Matchup Trends

Historically, Liberty holds an advantage in this series SU and ATS, while the Over/Under on totals in both teams’ games has shown a tendency toward higher scoring, with many of New Mexico State’s games going Over recently.

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Game Info

February 11, 2026 • 9:00 PM EST • Pan American Center

Liberty vs. New Mexico State Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of data on each line. In fact, anytime the Liberty vs New Mexico State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude almost always follow normal, predictable patterns.

Liberty vs New Mexico State

Liberty vs New Mexico State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Memphis Tigers
Tulane Green Wave
In Progress
MEMP
TULANE
81
85
+285
-400
-6.5 (-130)
+6.5 (+100)
O 184.5 (-104)
U 184.5 (-128)
In Progress
Queens University Royals
Central Arkansas Bears
In Progress
QUEENS
CNTARK
89
85
-390
+280
-3.5 (-112)
+3.5 (-118)
O 151 (-120)
U 151 (-110)
In Progress
UTSA Roadrunners
Rice Owls
In Progress
UTSA
RICE
50
63
+2000
-9000
+14.5 (-112)
-14.5 (-118)
O 164.5 (-104)
U 164.5 (-128)
In Progress
Temple Owls
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
In Progress
TEMPLE
TULSA
53
50
+142
-184
+2.5 (-108)
-2.5 (-122)
O 153.5 (-122)
U 153.5 (-108)
In Progress
East Carolina Pirates
UAB Blazers
In Progress
ECAR
UAB
62
61
+154
-200
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-130)
O 172.5 (-110)
U 172.5 (-120)
In Progress
Drexel Dragons
Monmouth Hawks
In Progress
DREX
MONMTH
41
41
-150
+118
-2.5 (-102)
+2.5 (-130)
O 133.5 (-125)
U 133.5 (-106)
In Progress
Illinois Fighting Illini
Maryland Terrapins
In Progress
ILL
MD
48
42
-1000
+575
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-118)
O 151.5 (-110)
U 151.5 (-118)
In Progress
Northern Kentucky Norse
Green Bay Phoenix
In Progress
NKTY
GBAY
35
30
-350
+260
-6.5 (-115)
+6.5 (-115)
O 143.5 (-115)
U 143.5 (-115)
In Progress
Western Carolina Catamounts
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
In Progress
WCU
ETENN
17
13
-113
 
pk
pk
O 141.5 (-108)
U 141.5 (-122)
Mar 8, 2026 4:30PM EDT
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan Wolverines
3/8/26 4:30PM
MICHST
MICH
 
-580
 
-10.5 (-105)
O 151.5 (-115)
U 151.5 (-105)
Mar 8, 2026 6:00PM EDT
USM Golden Eagles
Troy Trojans
3/8/26 6PM
USM
TROY
 
-255
 
-5.5 (-115)
O 142.5 (-115)
U 142.5 (-105)
Mar 8, 2026 6:00PM EDT
Houston Christian Huskies
New Orleans Privateers
3/8/26 6PM
HOUCHR
NORL
+158
-192
+4.5 (-115)
-4.5 (-105)
O 142.5 (-115)
U 142.5 (-105)
Mar 8, 2026 6:00PM EDT
Marist Red Foxes
Merrimack Warriors
3/8/26 6PM
MARIST
MERRI
+125
-150
+2.5 (-102)
-2.5 (-120)
O 128.5 (-115)
U 128.5 (-105)
Mar 8, 2026 6:00PM EDT
Towson Tigers
Charleston Cougars
3/8/26 6PM
TOWSON
CHARL
+115
-138
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 138.5 (-110)
U 138.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 6:00PM EDT
Iowa Hawkeyes
Nebraska Cornhuskers
3/8/26 6PM
IOWA
NEB
+195
-235
+5.5 (-110)
-5.5 (-110)
O 136.5 (-110)
U 136.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 6:30PM EDT
UNC Greensboro Spartans
Furman Paladins
3/8/26 6:30PM
NCGRN
FURMAN
+235
-295
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 148.5 (-110)
U 148.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 7:30PM EDT
Idaho State Bengals
Portland State Vikings
3/8/26 7:30PM
IDST
PORTST
+198
 
+5.5 (-110)
 
O 140.5 (-110)
U 140.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 8:30PM EDT
William & Mary Tribe
Hofstra Pride
3/8/26 8:30PM
WMARY
HOFSTR
+138
-164
+3.5 (-112)
-3.5 (-108)
O 152.5 (-110)
U 152.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Georgia Southern Eagles
Marshall Thundering Herd
3/8/26 8:30PM
GASO
MARSH
+160
-194
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 167.5 (-115)
U 167.5 (-105)
Mar 8, 2026 8:30PM EDT
San Francisco Dons
Oregon State Beavers
3/8/26 8:30PM
SANFRN
OREGST
-166
 
-3.5 (-110)
 
O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Northwestern State Demons
Nicholls State Colonels
3/8/26 8:30PM
NWST
NICH
 
 
pk
pk
O 139.5 (-110)
U 139.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Fairfield Stags
Siena Saints
3/8/26 8:30PM
FAIR
SIENA
+114
-137
+1.5 (-104)
-1.5 (-118)
O 137.5 (-115)
U 137.5 (-105)
Mar 8, 2026 9:00PM EDT
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
North Dakota State Bison
3/8/26 9PM
NDAK
NDAKST
+450
 
+10.5 (-105)
 
O 144.5 (-110)
U 144.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 10:00PM EDT
Idaho Vandals
Montana State Bobcats
3/8/26 10PM
IDAHO
MONTST
+105
 
+1.5 (-110)
 
O 143.5 (-110)
U 143.5 (-110)
Mar 8, 2026 11:00PM EDT
Pacific Tigers
Santa Clara Broncos
3/8/26 11PM
PACIFC
SNCLRA
+450
-630
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 149.5 (-110)
U 149.5 (-110)
Mar 9, 2026 2:00PM EDT
Alcorn State Braves
Alabama State Hornets
3/9/26 2PM
ALCORN
ALAST
 
 
pk
pk
O 142.5 (-115)
U 142.5 (-105)
Mar 9, 2026 7:30PM EDT
N Colorado Bears
Montana Grizzlies
3/9/26 7:30PM
NOCOLO
MONT
-164
+136
-3.5 (-110)
+3.5 (-110)
O 151.5 (-110)
U 151.5 (-110)
Mar 9, 2026 8:30PM EDT
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Grambling State Tigers
3/9/26 8:30PM
MVSU
GRAMB
 
 
pk
pk
O 134.5 (-110)
U 134.5 (-110)
Mar 9, 2026 9:30PM EDT
Detroit Mercy Titans
Robert Morris Colonials
3/9/26 9:30PM
DETRIOT
ROBERT
+150
-182
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 147.5 (-110)
U 147.5 (-110)
Mar 9, 2026 10:00PM EDT
Weber State Wildcats
Eastern Washington Eagles
3/9/26 10PM
WEBER
EWASH
 
 
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 157 (-108)
U 157 (-112)

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Liberty Flames vs. New Mexico State Aggies on February 11, 2026 at Pan American Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
LVILLE@MIAMI LVILLE +114 49.2% 1 WIN
TXTECH@BYU BYU -125 55.6% 3 WIN
UNC@DUKE UNDER 147.5 53.3% 2 WIN
VANDY@TENN TENN -3.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
NDAK@STTOM-MN NDAK +12.5 54.3% 4 WIN
GWASH@LOYCHI LOYCHI +10.5 54.3% 4 WIN
ALBANY@UMASSLO UMASSLO -2.5 55.3% 5 WIN
PORT@SANFRAN PORT +7.5 53.6% 3 LOSS
UNC@DUKE DUKE -17 57.3% 7 LOSS
NIOWA@BRAD NIOWA -4.5 56.1% 6 LOSS
QUEENS@PEAY QUEENS +1.5 56.5% 6 WIN
CLMBIA@HARV CLMBIA +4.5 53.3% 3 LOSS
LONGWD@NCASH LONGWD -1 53.2% 3 LOSS
VMI@NCGRN NCGRN -7.5 52.7% 2 WIN
LATECH@LIB LATECH +9.5 54.1% 4 WIN
MVSU@JACKST MVSU +10.5 56.1% 6 WIN
STETSON@EKTY EKTY -4 55.7% 5 LOSS
DUQ@RI RI -2 53.7% 2 WIN
OREG@ILL ILL -18 53.8% 3 WIN
BRYANT@NH BRYANT +1 57.3% 7 LOSS
MISSST@FLA FLA -21.5 53.9% 3 WIN
LAMAR@HOUBP LAMAR -114 55.1% 4 LOSS
IOWAST@ARIZ ARIZ -7 53.1% 1 WIN
RIDER@SIENA SIENA -15.5 53.5% 3 LOSS
CHARLO@FAU CHARLO +7.5 58.6% 8 WIN
NOTEX@UAB UAB -5.5 54.8% 3 LOSS
NIOWA@DRAKE NIOWA -4 54.8% 4 WIN
SCARST@MDESHORE SCARST +7.5 56.2% 6 WIN
YALE@CLMBIA YALE -5.5 55.3% 5 WIN
SFAUSTIN@HOUBP SFAUSTIN -8 54.3% 4 WIN
TXTECH@IOWAST TXTECH +10.5 52.3% 2 WIN
PITT@CAL PITT +8.5 57.3% 7 WIN
KANSAS@ARIZ ARIZ -9.5 53.6% 3 WIN
EILL@SIUE EILL +5.5 55.7% 5 LOSS
UVA@DUKE DUKE -10 53.9% 3 WIN
BUCK@LEHIGH BUCK +5.5 54.6% 4 LOSS
IOWA@PSU IOWA -9.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
ARK@FLA FLA -10.5 54.0% 3 WIN
CALPOLY@UCSD CALPOLY +6.5 56.2% 6 LOSS
NAU@EWASH NAU +9.5 57.3% 7 LOSS
VANDY@UK UK -0.5 53.9% 3 WIN
DEL@KENSAW DEL +11.5 55.2% 5 WIN
BAMA@TENN AMARI ALLEN UNDER 6.5 REB 54.8% 4 WIN
GONZAG@MARYCA PAULIUS MURAUSKAS UNDER 23.5 PTS + REB 55.1% 5 WIN
QUINN@NIAGARA NIAGARA +9 54.3% 4 WIN
MICH@ILL ILL +1 57.7% 7 LOSS
BROWN@CLMBIA BROWN +4.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
COASTAL@JMAD COASTAL +5.5 56.5% 6 WIN
GASOU@MRSHL GASOU +6.5 55.8% 5 WIN
NEAST@WMMARY NEAST +11.5 53.3% 2 WIN
BRYANT@UMBC BRYANT +10.5 56.8% 6 LOSS