New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Jan 15)

Updated: 2026-01-13T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The New Mexico State Aggies (9‑6, 2‑3 CUSA) travel to face the Liberty Flames (13‑3, 5‑0 CUSA) on January 15, 2026 with Liberty installed as a solid favorite at home, where the Flames remain unbeaten and leading Conference USA play. Liberty comes in with high efficiency on both ends and has won each of the last two matchups against the Aggies, while New Mexico State seeks its first road win of the season and to climb back into contention.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 15, 2026

Start Time: 7:00 PM EST​

Venue: Liberty Arena​

Flames Record: (13-3)

Aggies Record: (9-6)

OPENING ODDS

NMEXST Moneyline: +320

LIB Moneyline: -415

NMEXST Spread: +8.5

LIB Spread: -8.5

Over/Under: 142.5

NMEXST
Betting Trends

  • New Mexico State is underdogs but has lost four of its last five games against the spread, reflecting struggles to cover in recent results even when competitive SU, although they are 6‑5 ATS overall this season with stronger home cover numbers.

LIB
Betting Trends

  • Liberty has been dominant at home — 8‑0 SU this season at Liberty Arena — and this success has translated to the number: the Flames are 8‑2 ATS at home this year, showing they frequently cover when favored in Lynchburg.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • Head‑to‑head history favors Liberty both straight‑up and ATS — in their last ten meetings Liberty is 3‑1 SU and 3‑1 ATS — and totals between these teams have been split fairly evenly recently, indicating this could be a relatively tight, lower‑scoring CUSA contest if defenses control pace.

NMEXST vs. LIB
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

LIVE CBB ODDS

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New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 1/15/26

The Jan. 15, 2026 Conference USA matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and the Liberty Flames at Liberty Arena pits a top‑tier CUSA contender against a resilient but inconsistent NM State squad in what shapes up as a defining midseason battle. Liberty enters with an impressive **13‑3 overall mark and a perfect 5‑0 record in league play, dominating opponents with remarkably efficient offense and stout defense. The Flames’ scoring balance — averaging just over 80 points per game — coupled with elite shooting splits and ball security makes them a top offense in the league. Liberty also thrives in hitting threes and protecting the ball; one of its leaders is second in the nation in three‑point percentage and top six in threes made per game, reflecting a system that generates high‑quality looks and returns value on perimeter possessions. Defensively, Liberty limits opponents inside and controls rebounds, giving them a strong two‑way foundation against most CUSA foes. New Mexico State arrives with a 9‑6 record and a 2‑3 mark in conference play, still searching for consistency. The Aggies have lost three of their last four games overall and have yet to secure a road win this season, which highlights the difficulty of road environments in CUSA play.

NM State’s rotation features a deep bench that ranks among the nation’s best in points per game off reserves — a major strength when trying to sustain energy and mitigate fatigue across long stretches. Their defense sits among the better field‑goal‑percentage‑defending units in the league and nationally, holding opponents under 39 % FG and under 30 % from deep, which can frustrate even efficient offenses when executed well. In head‑to‑head context, Liberty has dominated recent meetings with the Aggies and holds the mental edge, winning both matchups from last season and owning the ATS advantage in the series. Liberty’s home court remains a fortress, reflected in an unbeaten home SU run this year, while the Aggies’ search for an elusive road win adds urgency to their trip. Both teams will emphasize half‑court execution and defensive rotations, but Liberty’s offensive efficiency and home comfort likely give them the edge in this midseason conference test.

Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

New Mexico State Aggies CBB Preview

The New Mexico State Aggies make the long trip to Lynchburg on January 15 looking to regain footing after a challenging stretch in Conference USA play. NM State enters at 9‑6 overall and 2‑3 in league action, with recent results showing inconsistency; they’ve dropped three of four and are still chasing their first road victory. One of the defining strengths of this Aggies squad is its bench production, ranking high nationally in scoring off the bench and featuring multiple players who can step up when needed. That depth allows coach Jason Hooten to rotate effectively, keeping legs fresh and providing scoring bursts that can change momentum in stretches. Senior guard Elijah Elliott just surpassed the 1,000‑career point mark, highlighting his scoring consistency and leadership role, while the collective bench scoring adds a wrinkle to the Aggies’ half‑court offense. Defensively, New Mexico State has been stout in limiting opponent shooting percentages; they rank among the better teams nationally in field‑goal‑percentage defense and in guarding the three, which is critical against potent shooting teams like Liberty.

This disciplined approach helps keep games within reach, especially when the Aggies hit timely shots and control defensive rebounds. Against early CUSA foes, NMSU has shown it can grind out possessions and limit transition opportunities, though turnovers and lapses in crunch time have cost them key wins. Head‑to‑head history tilts in Liberty’s favor, and New Mexico State’s road struggles — both SU and ATS — add pressure to an already difficult environment. Still, the Aggies’ depth and defensive identity give them a fighting chance to contest shots and stay competitive even against Liberty’s balanced attack. The key for NMSU will be containing Liberty’s perimeter shooters, executing in late‑clock situations, and getting contributions from beyond its starters. If the Aggies can limit second‑chance points and force contested shots on defense while maintaining balanced scoring, they could narrow the margin and potentially challenge Liberty deep into the second half — possibly even cover as underdogs if the Flames falter.

The New Mexico State Aggies (9‑6, 2‑3 CUSA) travel to face the Liberty Flames (13‑3, 5‑0 CUSA) on January 15, 2026 with Liberty installed as a solid favorite at home, where the Flames remain unbeaten and leading Conference USA play. Liberty comes in with high efficiency on both ends and has won each of the last two matchups against the Aggies, while New Mexico State seeks its first road win of the season and to climb back into contention. New Mexico State vs Liberty AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Jan 15. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Liberty Flames CBB Preview

The Liberty Flames host the New Mexico State Aggies on January 15, 2026 with momentum firmly in their corner as they enter off a string of conference wins and a commanding 13‑3 overall record. Liberty has been one of the most efficient offensive teams in Conference USA, ranking near the top in scoring and shooting percentages; at home they average exactly 90 points per game and hold opponents to under 62, showing not just firepower but defensive discipline. Senior guard Zach Cleveland leads the charge with a multifaceted game that includes scoring, rebounding, and elite assist production, helping the Flames orchestrate their offense with precision. Another key contributor, Brett Decker Jr., stands out as one of the nation’s best three‑point shooters, knocking down shots with elite efficiency and spacing the floor for others. Liberty’s statistical profile is impressive: they sit near the top in effective field‑goal percentage, assist‑to‑turnover ratio, and turnover avoidance, meaning they score efficiently and limit mistakes that could give opponents extra possessions. These traits are magnified at Liberty Arena, where the Flames are 8‑0 SU at home this season and have built a reputation as a tough out for any visiting team.

Head coach Ritchie McKay’s system emphasizes ball movement and disciplined defense, generating quality scoring opportunities and making life difficult for opponents on both ends. This is a team that doesn’t just win — it wins comfortably when all facets click, often pulling away in the second half with a blend of offensive patience and defensive suffocation. In CUSA play Liberty has been relentless, scoring at a high clip while controlling tempo and limiting opponent runs. Their balanced attack — with multiple players capable of scoring double digits — makes them difficult to scout and defend. Liberty’s home dominance, combined with its flawless conference record and statistical strengths, positions them as favorites in this matchup. If they maintain their pace, discipline, and shot‑making at home, the Flames should control tempo and carry confidence deep into the second half, using home crowd energy and offensive rhythm to tilt this game in their favor.

New Mexico State vs Liberty Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Flames play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at Liberty Arena in Jan rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over mountains of data from every facet between the Aggies and Flames and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to crunch the data to a single cover probability.

The Algorithm has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor knucklehead sportsbettors often put on Liberty’s strength factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly healthy Flames team. We’ve found the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI New Mexico State vs Liberty picks, computer picks Aggies vs Flames, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CBB 1/22 EILL@SOIND UNLOCK THIS PICK 8 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CBB 1/22 UCIRV@UCRIV UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CBB 1/22 MERMAK@IONA UNLOCK THIS PICK 7 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CBB 1/22 UNCWILM@WMMARY UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
CBB 1/22 LNGBCH@CSUF UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CBB 1/22 SOBAMA@JMAD UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CBB 1/22 WISCGB@YOUNG UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 1/22 WISC@PENNST UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 1/22 PORTST@EWASH UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

New Mexico State Betting Trends

New Mexico State is underdogs but has lost four of its last five games against the spread, reflecting struggles to cover in recent results even when competitive SU, although they are 6‑5 ATS overall this season with stronger home cover numbers.

Liberty Betting Trends

Liberty has been dominant at home — 8‑0 SU this season at Liberty Arena — and this success has translated to the number: the Flames are 8‑2 ATS at home this year, showing they frequently cover when favored in Lynchburg.

Aggies vs. Flames Matchup Trends

Head‑to‑head history favors Liberty both straight‑up and ATS — in their last ten meetings Liberty is 3‑1 SU and 3‑1 ATS — and totals between these teams have been split fairly evenly recently, indicating this could be a relatively tight, lower‑scoring CUSA contest if defenses control pace.

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Game Info

January 15, 2026 • 7:00 PM EST • Liberty Arena

New Mexico State vs. Liberty Odds

Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the New Mexico State vs Liberty trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme temps seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

New Mexico State vs Liberty

New Mexico State vs Liberty Live Odds

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61
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59
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MARIST
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50
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U 128.5 (-105)
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58
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O 130.5 (-110)
U 130.5 (-120)
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93
74
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+1600
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O 175.5 (-102)
U 175.5 (-125)
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JACKU
72
66
-100000
+4000
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O 147.5 (-125)
U 147.5 (-105)
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SBAMA
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77
68
-50000
+3500
-8.5 (-114)
+8.5 (-130)
O 162.5 (-125)
U 162.5 (-105)
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Wisconsin Badgers
Penn State Nittany Lions
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WISC
PSU
95
64
-10000
+3300
-31.5 (+124)
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O 167.5 (-115)
U 167.5 (-115)
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MONMTH
HAMPT
59
57
-455
+270
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Towson Tigers
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ELON
70
59
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O 131.5 (-106)
U 131.5 (-125)
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South Florida Bulls
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75
64
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+3500
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+10.5 (-141)
O 157.5 (-105)
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56
61
 
 
pk
pk
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60
69
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U 150.5 (-120)
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Western Illinois Leathernecks
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MOREHD
59
55
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O 147.5 (-115)
U 147.5 (-115)
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North Dakota Fighting Hawks
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NDAK
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35
27
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+260
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O 142.5 (-115)
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TNTECH
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11
23
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O 157.5 (-110)
U 157.5 (-120)
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Eastern Illinois Panthers
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6
11
+220
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O 121.5 (-115)
U 121.5 (-115)
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ARKLR
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6
5
 
 
pk
pk
O 139.5 (-110)
U 139.5 (-120)
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FIU Panthers
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1/22/26 9PM
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U 144.5 (-110)
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IDAHO
 
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O 162.5 (-110)
U 162.5 (-110)
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+115
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 152.5 (-110)
U 152.5 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 9:00PM EST
North Dakota State Bison
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1/22/26 9PM
NDAKST
DENVR
 
+163
 
+4.5 (-110)
O 160 (-110)
U 160 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 9:00PM EST
Missouri State Bears
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1/22/26 9PM
MIZZST
NMEXST
 
 
pk
pk
O 144.5 (-110)
U 144.5 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 9:00PM EST
Weber State Wildcats
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1/22/26 9PM
WEBER
MONT
+167
-195
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 157.5 (-110)
U 157.5 (-110)
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South Dakota State Jackrabbits
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STTOM
 
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O 155.5 (-110)
U 155.5 (-110)
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1/22/26 9PM
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EWASH
 
+129
 
+3 (-110)
O 150 (-110)
U 150 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 9:00PM EST
Tennessee State Tigers
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1/22/26 9PM
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O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 9:00PM EST
Cal Poly Mustangs
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CALPLY
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+355
-450
+9 (-110)
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O 159 (-110)
U 159 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 10:00PM EST
UC Irvine Anteaters
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1/22/26 10PM
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-400
+320
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O 142 (-110)
U 142 (-110)
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Long Beach State 49ers
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1/22/26 10PM
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-155
 
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O 160 (-110)
U 160 (-110)
Jan 22, 2026 11:59PM EST
CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners
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1/22/26 11:59PM
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HAWAII
+1050
 
+16.5 (-110)
 
O 144 (-110)
U 144 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 12:00PM EST
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1/23/26 12PM
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APPST
+1000
 
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O 145 (-110)
U 145 (-110)
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1/23/26 1PM
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NOTEX
+440
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O 134 (-110)
U 134 (-110)
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1/23/26 2PM
KENSAW
LATECH
 
-121
pk
pk
O 144 (-110)
U 144 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 3:00PM EST
Furman Paladins
UNC Greensboro Spartans
1/23/26 3PM
FURMAN
NCGRN
-240
+185
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+5.5 (-110)
O 150 (-115)
U 150 (-105)
Jan 23, 2026 5:30PM EST
Saint Louis Billikens
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
1/23/26 5:30PM
STLOU
STBON
-480
+325
-9 (-110)
+9 (-110)
O 157.5 (-110)
U 157.5 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 6:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
1/23/26 6PM
IND
RUT
-400
+300
-7 (-110)
+7 (-110)
O 148 (-110)
U 148 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 7:00PM EST
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
1/23/26 7PM
FDU
CCONN
+255
 
+6.5 (-110)
 
O 143.5 (-110)
U 143.5 (-110)
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Umass Minutemen
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1/23/26 7PM
UMASS
BUFF
 
+110
 
+1.5 (-110)
O 159.5 (-110)
U 159.5 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 7:00PM EST
Citadel Bulldogs
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1/23/26 7PM
CIT
ETENN
 
 
pk
pk
O 140 (-110)
U 140 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 7:30PM EST
Tulane Green Wave
Charlotte 49ers
1/23/26 7:30PM
TULANE
CHARLO
+145
-182
+4 (-110)
-4 (-110)
O 143 (-110)
U 143 (-110)
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Akron Zips
Ohio Bobcats
1/23/26 8PM
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OHIO
-420
+295
-9.5 (-110)
+9.5 (-110)
O 169 (-110)
U 169 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 8:00PM EST
Ohio State Buckeyes
Michigan Wolverines
1/23/26 8PM
OHIOST
MICH
+900
-2000
+15 (-110)
-15 (-110)
O 163 (-110)
U 163 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 8:00PM EST
Marquette Golden Eagles
Butler Bulldogs
1/23/26 8PM
MARQ
BUTLER
+255
-345
+7.5 (-115)
-7.5 (-105)
O 160 (-110)
U 160 (-110)
Jan 23, 2026 10:00PM EST
Utah State Aggies
Colorado State Rams
1/23/26 10PM
UTAHST
COLOST
-195
 
-4 (-110)
 
O 148.5 (-110)
U 148.5 (-110)

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames on January 15, 2026 at Liberty Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
TXTECH@BAYLOR TXTECH -125 60.7% 6 WIN
BALLST@CMICH BALLST +1.5 55.1% 5 WIN
STLOU@DUQ STLOU -9.5 57.0% 6 LOSS
PROV@MARQET PROV +1.5 54.4% 4 WIN
MONTST@NOCOLO MONTST +2.5 56.2% 6 WIN
NOTEX@TULANE TULANE -125 58.6% 7 LOSS
TULSA@UAB TULSA +115 48.8% 1 WIN
OAK@WISCGB WISCGB +3 56.3% 6 LOSS
CHARLO@ECU ECU +1.5 54.1% 3 LOSS
EWASH@IDST EWASH +5.5 53.5% 2 WIN
IOWAST@CINCY CINCY +7.5 54.4% 4 WIN
MERCER@NCGRN NCGRN +6.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
PENN@DART PENN +1.5 55.4% 5 WIN
DUQ@FORD DUQ -0.5 56.6% 6 WIN
UK@TENN TENN -6 56.8% 6 LOSS
NMEX@SDGST SDGST -3.5 57.0% 7 LOSS
MOUNT@CAN MOUNT -2.5 57.5% 7 WIN
CREIGH@PROV PROV +1.5 55.8% 4 WIN
NOCOLO@PORTST PORTST -2.5 54.4% 4 WIN
ELON@NEAST ELON -2.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
UMBC@BRYANT BRYANT +1.5 54.5% 4 WIN
SAMHOU@JAXST JAXST -115 56.2% 6 LOSS
CHAT@WOFF WOFF -5.5 53.2% 3 LOSS
NIAGARA@CAN CAN -2 54.7% 4 LOSS
USM@TROY USM +9.5 55.4% 5 LOSS
ECU@SFLA SFLA -18.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
TCU@BYU TCU +13.5 56.6% 6 WIN
ILLST@INDST INDST +6.5 57.1% 7 WIN
TULSA@CHARLO TULSA -3.5 57.8% 7 WIN
UVA@LVILLE UVA +3.5 53.7% 2 WIN
NEWORL@SELOU SELOU -2.5 54.8% 3 LOSS
SIENA@MOUNT SIENA -2.5 56.6% 6 WIN
ILL@IOWA IOWA +1.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
MEMP@FAU MEMP +2.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
DENVER@SDAK DENVER -110 56.3% 6 LOSS
SAMFORD@CHAT CHAT +0.5 54.9% 2 WIN
HOWARD@MDESHORE HOWARD -2.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
LSU@VANDY VANDY -15 55.2% 5 LOSS
STNFRD@UVA STNFRD +12 55.4% 5 LOSS
CHIST@STONEH STONEH -4.5 55.9% 5 LOSS
UCSD@UCRIV UCSD -9.5 56.0% 6 LOSS
HOU@BAYLOR HOU -2.5 56.9% 6 WIN
LOYMD@BUCK LOYMD +6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
LIB@LATECH LATECH +4.5 53.7% 3 LOSS
WEBER@NAU NAU +2 53.8% 3 LOSS
STLOU@VCU VCU -135 59.9% 6 LOSS
VMI@ETNST VMI +17.5 56.4% 6 WIN
HOLY@LEHIGH HOLY +125 44.6% 1 WIN
MIAMI@WAKE MIAMI +100 54.3% 4 WIN
CHARLO@UTSA CHARLO -4.5 54.0% 3 WIN
ARK@OLEMISS MISS +4 54.3% 4 LOSS