New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Jan 15)
Updated: 2026-01-13T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The New Mexico State Aggies (9‑6, 2‑3 CUSA) travel to face the Liberty Flames (13‑3, 5‑0 CUSA) on January 15, 2026 with Liberty installed as a solid favorite at home, where the Flames remain unbeaten and leading Conference USA play. Liberty comes in with high efficiency on both ends and has won each of the last two matchups against the Aggies, while New Mexico State seeks its first road win of the season and to climb back into contention.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 15, 2026
Start Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Liberty Arena
Flames Record: (13-3)
Aggies Record: (9-6)
OPENING ODDS
NMEXST Moneyline: +320
LIB Moneyline: -415
NMEXST Spread: +8.5
LIB Spread: -8.5
Over/Under: 142.5
NMEXST
Betting Trends
- New Mexico State is underdogs but has lost four of its last five games against the spread, reflecting struggles to cover in recent results even when competitive SU, although they are 6‑5 ATS overall this season with stronger home cover numbers.
LIB
Betting Trends
- Liberty has been dominant at home — 8‑0 SU this season at Liberty Arena — and this success has translated to the number: the Flames are 8‑2 ATS at home this year, showing they frequently cover when favored in Lynchburg.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Head‑to‑head history favors Liberty both straight‑up and ATS — in their last ten meetings Liberty is 3‑1 SU and 3‑1 ATS — and totals between these teams have been split fairly evenly recently, indicating this could be a relatively tight, lower‑scoring CUSA contest if defenses control pace.
NMEXST vs. LIB
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 1/15/26
The Jan. 15, 2026 Conference USA matchup between the New Mexico State Aggies and the Liberty Flames at Liberty Arena pits a top‑tier CUSA contender against a resilient but inconsistent NM State squad in what shapes up as a defining midseason battle. Liberty enters with an impressive **13‑3 overall mark and a perfect 5‑0 record in league play, dominating opponents with remarkably efficient offense and stout defense. The Flames’ scoring balance — averaging just over 80 points per game — coupled with elite shooting splits and ball security makes them a top offense in the league. Liberty also thrives in hitting threes and protecting the ball; one of its leaders is second in the nation in three‑point percentage and top six in threes made per game, reflecting a system that generates high‑quality looks and returns value on perimeter possessions. Defensively, Liberty limits opponents inside and controls rebounds, giving them a strong two‑way foundation against most CUSA foes. New Mexico State arrives with a 9‑6 record and a 2‑3 mark in conference play, still searching for consistency. The Aggies have lost three of their last four games overall and have yet to secure a road win this season, which highlights the difficulty of road environments in CUSA play.
NM State’s rotation features a deep bench that ranks among the nation’s best in points per game off reserves — a major strength when trying to sustain energy and mitigate fatigue across long stretches. Their defense sits among the better field‑goal‑percentage‑defending units in the league and nationally, holding opponents under 39 % FG and under 30 % from deep, which can frustrate even efficient offenses when executed well. In head‑to‑head context, Liberty has dominated recent meetings with the Aggies and holds the mental edge, winning both matchups from last season and owning the ATS advantage in the series. Liberty’s home court remains a fortress, reflected in an unbeaten home SU run this year, while the Aggies’ search for an elusive road win adds urgency to their trip. Both teams will emphasize half‑court execution and defensive rotations, but Liberty’s offensive efficiency and home comfort likely give them the edge in this midseason conference test.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Next up! ⏭️#AggieUp pic.twitter.com/Ub2OpY5pJo
— NM State MBB (@NMStateMBB) January 14, 2026
New Mexico State Aggies CBB Preview
The New Mexico State Aggies make the long trip to Lynchburg on January 15 looking to regain footing after a challenging stretch in Conference USA play. NM State enters at 9‑6 overall and 2‑3 in league action, with recent results showing inconsistency; they’ve dropped three of four and are still chasing their first road victory. One of the defining strengths of this Aggies squad is its bench production, ranking high nationally in scoring off the bench and featuring multiple players who can step up when needed. That depth allows coach Jason Hooten to rotate effectively, keeping legs fresh and providing scoring bursts that can change momentum in stretches. Senior guard Elijah Elliott just surpassed the 1,000‑career point mark, highlighting his scoring consistency and leadership role, while the collective bench scoring adds a wrinkle to the Aggies’ half‑court offense. Defensively, New Mexico State has been stout in limiting opponent shooting percentages; they rank among the better teams nationally in field‑goal‑percentage defense and in guarding the three, which is critical against potent shooting teams like Liberty.
This disciplined approach helps keep games within reach, especially when the Aggies hit timely shots and control defensive rebounds. Against early CUSA foes, NMSU has shown it can grind out possessions and limit transition opportunities, though turnovers and lapses in crunch time have cost them key wins. Head‑to‑head history tilts in Liberty’s favor, and New Mexico State’s road struggles — both SU and ATS — add pressure to an already difficult environment. Still, the Aggies’ depth and defensive identity give them a fighting chance to contest shots and stay competitive even against Liberty’s balanced attack. The key for NMSU will be containing Liberty’s perimeter shooters, executing in late‑clock situations, and getting contributions from beyond its starters. If the Aggies can limit second‑chance points and force contested shots on defense while maintaining balanced scoring, they could narrow the margin and potentially challenge Liberty deep into the second half — possibly even cover as underdogs if the Flames falter.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Liberty Flames CBB Preview
The Liberty Flames host the New Mexico State Aggies on January 15, 2026 with momentum firmly in their corner as they enter off a string of conference wins and a commanding 13‑3 overall record. Liberty has been one of the most efficient offensive teams in Conference USA, ranking near the top in scoring and shooting percentages; at home they average exactly 90 points per game and hold opponents to under 62, showing not just firepower but defensive discipline. Senior guard Zach Cleveland leads the charge with a multifaceted game that includes scoring, rebounding, and elite assist production, helping the Flames orchestrate their offense with precision. Another key contributor, Brett Decker Jr., stands out as one of the nation’s best three‑point shooters, knocking down shots with elite efficiency and spacing the floor for others. Liberty’s statistical profile is impressive: they sit near the top in effective field‑goal percentage, assist‑to‑turnover ratio, and turnover avoidance, meaning they score efficiently and limit mistakes that could give opponents extra possessions. These traits are magnified at Liberty Arena, where the Flames are 8‑0 SU at home this season and have built a reputation as a tough out for any visiting team.
Head coach Ritchie McKay’s system emphasizes ball movement and disciplined defense, generating quality scoring opportunities and making life difficult for opponents on both ends. This is a team that doesn’t just win — it wins comfortably when all facets click, often pulling away in the second half with a blend of offensive patience and defensive suffocation. In CUSA play Liberty has been relentless, scoring at a high clip while controlling tempo and limiting opponent runs. Their balanced attack — with multiple players capable of scoring double digits — makes them difficult to scout and defend. Liberty’s home dominance, combined with its flawless conference record and statistical strengths, positions them as favorites in this matchup. If they maintain their pace, discipline, and shot‑making at home, the Flames should control tempo and carry confidence deep into the second half, using home crowd energy and offensive rhythm to tilt this game in their favor.
JJ Harper shares his thoughts on the season on this week's radio show presented by @FreedomFirstCU. Other guests include assistant coach Kyle Rode.
— Liberty Men's Basketball (@LibertyMBB) January 15, 2026
Apple https://t.co/TdHisrTgvb
Spotify https://t.co/HXeSp2fBJo pic.twitter.com/dVLFxazT1A
New Mexico State vs Liberty Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Aggies and Flames play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Liberty Arena in Jan rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
New Mexico State vs Liberty Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Aggies and Flames and using recursive machine learning and cutting-edge AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Liberty’s strength factors between a Aggies team going up against a possibly rested Flames team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line in particular.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI New Mexico State vs Liberty picks, computer picks Aggies vs Flames, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
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| CBB | 2/8 | RICE@UAB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CBB | 2/8 | TXTECH@WVU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | WICHST@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | UCF@CINCY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
| CBB | 2/8 | MD@MINN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | CHARLO@MEMP | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | UCF@CINCY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
New Mexico State Betting Trends
New Mexico State is underdogs but has lost four of its last five games against the spread, reflecting struggles to cover in recent results even when competitive SU, although they are 6‑5 ATS overall this season with stronger home cover numbers.
Liberty Betting Trends
Liberty has been dominant at home — 8‑0 SU this season at Liberty Arena — and this success has translated to the number: the Flames are 8‑2 ATS at home this year, showing they frequently cover when favored in Lynchburg.
Aggies vs. Flames Matchup Trends
Head‑to‑head history favors Liberty both straight‑up and ATS — in their last ten meetings Liberty is 3‑1 SU and 3‑1 ATS — and totals between these teams have been split fairly evenly recently, indicating this could be a relatively tight, lower‑scoring CUSA contest if defenses control pace.
New Mexico State vs. Liberty Game Info
New Mexico State vs Liberty starts on January 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.
Venue: Liberty Arena.
Spread: Liberty -8.5
Moneyline: New Mexico State +320, Liberty -415
Over/Under: 142.5
New Mexico State: (9-6) | Liberty: (13-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Head‑to‑head history favors Liberty both straight‑up and ATS — in their last ten meetings Liberty is 3‑1 SU and 3‑1 ATS — and totals between these teams have been split fairly evenly recently, indicating this could be a relatively tight, lower‑scoring CUSA contest if defenses control pace.
NMEXST trend: New Mexico State is underdogs but has lost four of its last five games against the spread, reflecting struggles to cover in recent results even when competitive SU, although they are 6‑5 ATS overall this season with stronger home cover numbers.
LIB trend: Liberty has been dominant at home — 8‑0 SU this season at Liberty Arena — and this success has translated to the number: the Flames are 8‑2 ATS at home this year, showing they frequently cover when favored in Lynchburg.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
New Mexico State vs. Liberty Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data on each player. In fact, anytime the New Mexico State vs Liberty trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| NMEXST Moneyline | +320 |
|---|---|
| LIB Moneyline | -415 |
| NMEXST Spread | +8.5 |
| LIB Spread | -8.5 |
| Over / Under | 142.5 |
New Mexico State vs Liberty Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
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CHIST
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–
–
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+102
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+2 (-106)
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O 146.5 (-108)
U 146.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 6:00PM EST
Navy Midshipmen
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NAVY
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-235
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O 134.5 (-105)
U 134.5 (-115)
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Feb 9, 2026 6:30PM EST
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XAVIER
STJOHN
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–
–
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+775
-1400
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+14.5 (-106)
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O 162.5 (-110)
U 162.5 (-110)
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Feb 9, 2026 6:30PM EST
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Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions
2/9/26 6:30PM
JACKST
ARKPB
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–
–
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pk
pk
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O 157.5 (-115)
U 157.5 (-105)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Northwestern State Demons
Lamar Cardinals
2/9/26 7PM
NWST
LAMAR
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–
–
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-425
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-8.5 (-115)
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O 136.5 (-105)
U 136.5 (-115)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Texas Southern Tigers
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
2/9/26 7PM
TEXSO
BCOOK
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–
–
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+290
-375
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+8 (-106)
-8 (-106)
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O 149.5 (-108)
U 149.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Southern Illinois Salukis
Indiana State Sycamores
2/9/26 7PM
SOILL
INDST
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–
–
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-105
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+1.5 (-118)
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O 145.5 (-110)
U 145.5 (-110)
|
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
UIW Cardinals
SE Louisiana Lions
2/9/26 7PM
UIW
SELOU
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–
–
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-122
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-2 (-111)
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O 139 (-108)
U 139 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
NC State Wolfpack
Louisville Cardinals
2/9/26 7PM
NCST
LVILLE
|
–
–
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+220
-275
|
+6.5 (-105)
-6.5 (-115)
|
O 161.5 (-110)
U 161.5 (-110)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Central Arkansas Bears
North Alabama Lions
2/9/26 7PM
CNTARK
NBAMA
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–
–
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-375
+290
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-8 (-106)
+8 (-106)
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O 149 (-108)
U 149 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Yale Bulldogs
Howard Bison
2/9/26 7PM
YALE
HOWARD
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–
–
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-375
+300
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-8.5 (-118)
+8.5 (-102)
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O 147.5 (-110)
U 147.5 (-110)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Florida A&M Rattlers
2/9/26 7PM
PVAM
FLAAM
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–
–
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-155
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-3 (-106)
|
O 148.5 (-110)
U 148.5 (-110)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
Valparaiso Beacons
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2/9/26 7:30PM
VALPO
DRAKE
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–
–
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+128
-154
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+2.5 (-106)
-2.5 (-106)
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O 143.5 (-108)
U 143.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
Houston Christian Huskies
McNeese State Cowboys
2/9/26 7:30PM
HOUCHR
MCNESE
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–
–
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+1400
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+18 (-106)
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O 140.5 (-108)
U 140.5 (-108)
|
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Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Grambling State Tigers
2/9/26 7:30PM
ALA&M
GRAMB
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–
–
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+165
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+4.5 (-106)
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O 135 (-108)
U 135 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Nicholls State Colonels
2/9/26 7:30PM
UTRGV
NICH
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–
–
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-142
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-2 (-106)
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O 145.5 (-108)
U 145.5 (-108)
|
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Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Belmont Bruins
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2/9/26 8PM
BELMNT
BRAD
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–
–
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-152
+126
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-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-106)
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O 155 (-108)
U 155 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Texas A&M-CC Islanders
New Orleans Privateers
2/9/26 8PM
TXCORP
NORL
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–
–
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-128
+106
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pk
pk
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O 148.5 (-108)
U 148.5 (-108)
|
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Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Illinois State Redbirds
Evansville Purple Aces
2/9/26 8PM
ILLST
EVAN
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–
–
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+420
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+9.5 (-106)
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O 138 (-108)
U 138 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Alcorn State Braves
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
2/9/26 8PM
ALCORN
MVSU
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–
–
|
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pk
pk
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O 141.5 (-108)
U 141.5 (-108)
|
|
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Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Charleston Cougars
2/9/26 8PM
NCWILM
CHARL
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–
–
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+105
-126
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pk
pk
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O 149.5 (-108)
U 149.5 (-108)
|
|
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Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Delaware State Hornets
North Carolina Central Eagles
2/9/26 8PM
DELST
NCCENT
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–
–
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-400
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-7 (-105)
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O 134 (-108)
U 134 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 8:30PM EST
Oregon Ducks
Indiana Hoosiers
2/9/26 8:30PM
OREG
IND
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–
–
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+500
-700
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+11.5 (-115)
-11.5 (-105)
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O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
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Feb 9, 2026 9:00PM EST
Arizona Wildcats
Kansas Jayhawks
2/9/26 9PM
ARIZ
KANSAS
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–
–
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-150
+125
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-2.5 (-115)
+2.5 (-105)
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O 152.5 (-110)
U 152.5 (-110)
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Feb 9, 2026 9:00PM EST
Alabama State Hornets
Southern Jaguars
2/9/26 9PM
ALAST
STHRN
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–
–
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-385
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-7 (-106)
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O 151.5 (-108)
U 151.5 (-108)
|
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Feb 9, 2026 10:00PM EST
Northern Iowa Panthers
Murray State Racers
2/9/26 10PM
NIOWA
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–
–
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+175
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+5 (-108)
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O 143 (-108)
U 143 (-108)
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CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers New Mexico State Aggies vs. Liberty Flames on January 15, 2026 at Liberty Arena.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
CBB |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDGST@AF | SDGST -21.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| MERIMK@RIDER | MERIMK -8.5 | 57.0% | 6 | WIN |
| PFW@WRIGHT | WRIGHT -7.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| DUKE@UNC | UNDER 152.5 | 52.7% | 1 | WIN |
| ILL@MICHST | MICHST -0.5 | 52.5% | 1 | WIN |
| HOU@BYU | HOU -1 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| MURRAY@SOILL | MURRAY -122 | 56.8% | 5 | WIN |
| UCONN@STJOHN | STJOHN +2 | 52.9% | 1 | WIN |
| ELON@HAMPTON | ELON -120 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| RIDER@MARIST | RIDER +14.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UCRIV@CSUF | CSUF -5.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| MERCER@CHAT | MERCER -4.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WOFF@VMI | WOFF -8.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NWEST@ILL | ILL -14.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| UTSA@SFLA | SFLA -25.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@USC | IND -110 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| UNLV@FRESNO | FRESNO -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
| RUT@UCLA | UCLA -13.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| DRAKE@BELMONT | BELMONT -9.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| PITT@UVA | UVA -13.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| XAVIER@UCONN | UCONN -16.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| LSALLE@LOYCHI | LSALLE +3.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| KANSAS@TXTECH | KANSAS +4.5 | 52.7% | 1 | WIN |
| SELOU@LAMAR | LAMAR -5.5 | 53.5% | 2 | WIN |
| ILL@NEB | NEB -120 | 54.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| IOWAST@KSTATE | IOWAST -13.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU -10.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| BAMA@FLA | FLA -8.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| TULANE@MEMP | MEMP -8.5 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| TCU@COLO | TCU -125 | 59.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PURDUE@MD | PURDUE -14.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| AUBURN@TENN | TENN -5 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| DAVID@RICH | DAVID +125 | 45.8% | 2 | WIN |
| UMBC@ALBANY | UMBC -115 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| LIU@CCTST | LIU -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| FRESNO@AF | FRESNO -9.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MONTST@PORTST | PORTST -3.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@VANDY | VANDY -10.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@UCLA | IND +4.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| RUT@USC | USC -11.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| UVA@BC | UVA -12.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| MAINE@UMASSLO | MAINE +5.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| WRIGHT@MILW | WRIGHT -2.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DART@YALE | YALE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| FAIR@IONA | IONA -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LIB@MTSU | LIB -120 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| HAMPTON@DREXEL | DREXEL -4.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PENNST@NWEST | PENNST +7.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@SOILL | NIOWA +1.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@TCU | HOU -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
