Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Jan 13)
Updated: 2026-01-11T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Indiana Hoosiers (12‑4, 3‑2 Big Ten) travel to the Breslin Center to take on the Michigan State Spartans (14‑2, 4‑1 Big Ten) on Tuesday, January 13, 2026 in a marquee Big Ten matchup featuring two of the league’s most efficient and dynamic programs this season. Indiana seeks redemption and a signature road victory after a tough loss to Nebraska, while Michigan State aims to continue its strong home stretch and build momentum for NCAA Tournament positioning.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Jan 13, 2026
Start Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: Breslin Center
Spartans Record: (16-1)
Hoosiers Record: (11-7)
OPENING ODDS
IND Moneyline: +235
MICHST Moneyline: -293
IND Spread: +6.5
MICHST Spread: -6.5
Over/Under: 141.5
IND
Betting Trends
- The Hoosiers enter this game with a balanced ATS profile at 8‑8, showing they can cover lines in a wide variety of situations but are inconsistent against the spread overall.
MICHST
Betting Trends
- Michigan State’s ATS season mark sits around 6‑8‑2, reflecting that while the Spartans often win outright, they don’t always cover expectations — especially when heavily favored or in tight matchups.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Head‑to‑head trends show Michigan State has traditionally dominated Indiana at the Breslin Center, going 6‑1 ATS vs. Indiana at home and 21‑2 SU in 23 meetings, while totals in those games have often gone OVER, reflecting the teams’ offensive efficiency and pace.
IND vs. MICHST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Kohler over 14.5 PTS+AST.
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Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 1/13/26
Tuesday’s Big Ten showdown between the Indiana Hoosiers and the Michigan State Spartans presents an intriguing contrast of styles and narratives as both teams vie for conference supremacy and NCAA Tournament résumé strength. Indiana arrives in East Lansing at 12‑4 with a dynamic offense that ranks among the Big Ten’s most efficient — averaging 85.0 points per game with impressive shooting splits and strong perimeter scoring led by standout guard Lamar Wilkerson. The Hoosiers have recently won four of five and showed resilience with a road win at Maryland, where Wilkerson’s scoring and clutch second‑half bursts helped secure an 84‑66 victory, though they fell just short in a tough 83‑77 loss to Nebraska after squandering a 16‑point lead. Michigan State enters at 14‑2 and boasts one of the most imposing home records in college basketball, sporting a 9‑1 mark at the Breslin Center and ranking among the nation’s best in both defensive efficiency and rebounding margin. The Spartans limit opponents to roughly 64.5 points per game, contest shots deep and control the glass with nationally elite rebounding figures, forcing opponents into turnover‑laden stretches and low‑efficiency scoring opportunities.
Historically, Michigan State has dominated this series, particularly at home, but Indiana’s balanced scoring and deep shooting arsenal make this matchup more competitive than in most past meetings; Indiana leads the all‑time series 74‑59, including recent landmark wins at East Lansing. Betting trends reflect this nuance: while Michigan State is often favored in head‑to‑head history and home settings, both programs have struggled to consistently cover large spreads this season, and totals have frequently hit OVER in their collective matchups due to offensive pace and defensive risks. Ultimately, this game will hinge on how well Indiana can mitigate Michigan State’s interior dominance and rebounding strengths by controlling pace and converting perimeter shots, while the Spartans will aim to protect the paint, limit transition buckets and force Indiana out of rhythm. Turnovers, free‑throw efficiency and late‑game execution — especially in a hostile Breslin environment — could define which side emerges with the narrow victory.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Lamar for three. You love to see ‼️#IUBB 62, #10 Neb 59 pic.twitter.com/Z850ewrSnI
— Indiana Basketball (@IndianaMBB) January 10, 2026
Indiana Hoosiers CBB Preview
The Indiana Hoosiers come into this road test at Michigan State with confidence in their scoring prowess and a recent stretch that demonstrates their offensive balance and efficiency. Indiana’s 12‑4 record includes a robust attack that averages about 85 points per game, featuring sharpshooting from the perimeter and inside presence that creates space for scoring opportunities. Guards like Lamar Wilkerson and Tucker DeVries provide consistent scoring threats, while the Hoosiers shoot efficiently from beyond the arc and excel at free throws — ranking among the nation’s better teams in that efficiency — giving them an edge in close scoring situations. Despite a tough 83‑77 loss to Nebraska in their last outing, Indiana’s ability to build and maintain leads against quality competition reveals resilience that could serve them well in hostile environments like East Lansing. Their road profile this season includes a key win at Maryland where they controlled tempo and rebounding to secure an 84‑66 decision, showcasing that they can execute both offensively and defensively in pressing circumstances.
However, Indiana’s ATS record has been inconsistent and reflects that while they win many games outright, they don’t always cover projected margins, especially against tough road opponents. In this matchup, Indiana must balance its high‑octane scoring with disciplined defense to counter Michigan State’s rebounding and interior strength; limiting turnovers will be critical, as will getting quality shots early in transition and in half‑court sets. Indiana’s free‑throw efficiency and three‑point accuracy could keep them competitive late if they remain within striking distance, and their ability to hit key shots in crunch time — something they’ve done in recent tight contests — will be tested by a Spartans squad that thrives on physicality and momentum swings. If Indiana sustains offensive execution, exploits mismatches and manages rebounding battles without giving up easy second‑chance points, the Hoosiers have a legitimate path to stay close or even steal a signature road win, continuing their strong campaign and enhancing their Big Ten standing.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Michigan State Spartans CBB Preview
The Michigan State Spartans enter this Big Ten clash at the Breslin Center with a 14‑2 overall record and one of college basketball’s most intimidating home court advantages. Under veteran coach Tom Izzo, Michigan State has established a defensive identity that limits opponent efficiency — holding teams to under 65 points per game — while imposing its physical presence on the glass, ranking among the NCAA’s best in total and offensive rebounding. At home, the Spartans are a formidable 9‑1, and in the last year plus they’ve gone an astonishing 24‑2 at the Breslin Center, a testament to continuity, preparation and crowd‑energizing environments that make it difficult for visiting teams to get into early rhythm. Offensively, MSU is efficient at 78.9 points per game, sharing the ball and feeding a balanced rotation that includes rebounders like Jaxon Kohler and multifaceted wings in Carson Cooper and Jeremy Fears Jr. Their field‑goal efficiency near 46.5 percent and a defense that forces opponents into turnover and contested shots demonstrate a program that can grind in half‑court sets and capitalize on second‑chance possessions.
While the Spartans have a middling ATS record this season, they’ve covered frequently as home favorites, especially against teams like Indiana historically; recent trend lines show they’re 6‑1 ATS at home against Indiana. The challenge for Michigan State will be limiting Indiana’s perimeter shooting, which has ranked among the league’s best, and controlling pace so that the Hoosiers can’t use quick ball movement to generate open looks. MSU’s defensive rotations and closeouts on the arc will be crucial in the early going, and rebounding dominance could translate into transition buckets that swing momentum. With a chance to bolster its Big Ten standing and NCAA seeding prospects, Michigan State will look to leverage home court, physical play and disciplined execution to grind out a victory in a potentially tight, competitive contest.
Been on 🔥 with the @MotorCityCruise all season long.
— Michigan State Men's Basketball (@MSU_Basketball) January 13, 2026
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Indiana vs Michigan State Prop Picks (AI)
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Hoosiers and Spartans play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Breslin Center in Jan can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
Indiana vs Michigan State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports wizard, has been pouring over tons of data from every simulation between the Hoosiers and Spartans and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
The Algorithm has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis emotional bettors regularly put on Michigan State’s strength factors between a Hoosiers team going up against a possibly improved Spartans team. Trends look to say the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Indiana vs Michigan State picks, computer picks Hoosiers vs Spartans, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
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DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBB | 2/8 | RICE@UAB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CBB | 2/8 | TXTECH@WVU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | WICHST@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | UCF@CINCY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
| CBB | 2/8 | MD@MINN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | CHARLO@MEMP | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | UCF@CINCY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
Indiana Betting Trends
The Hoosiers enter this game with a balanced ATS profile at 8‑8, showing they can cover lines in a wide variety of situations but are inconsistent against the spread overall.
Michigan State Betting Trends
Michigan State’s ATS season mark sits around 6‑8‑2, reflecting that while the Spartans often win outright, they don’t always cover expectations — especially when heavily favored or in tight matchups.
Hoosiers vs. Spartans Matchup Trends
Head‑to‑head trends show Michigan State has traditionally dominated Indiana at the Breslin Center, going 6‑1 ATS vs. Indiana at home and 21‑2 SU in 23 meetings, while totals in those games have often gone OVER, reflecting the teams’ offensive efficiency and pace.
Indiana vs. Michigan State Game Info
Indiana vs Michigan State starts on January 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM EST.
Venue: Breslin Center.
Spread: Michigan State -6.5
Moneyline: Indiana +235, Michigan State -293
Over/Under: 141.5
Indiana: (11-7) | Michigan State: (16-1)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: J. Kohler over 14.5 PTS+AST.. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Head‑to‑head trends show Michigan State has traditionally dominated Indiana at the Breslin Center, going 6‑1 ATS vs. Indiana at home and 21‑2 SU in 23 meetings, while totals in those games have often gone OVER, reflecting the teams’ offensive efficiency and pace.
IND trend: The Hoosiers enter this game with a balanced ATS profile at 8‑8, showing they can cover lines in a wide variety of situations but are inconsistent against the spread overall.
MICHST trend: Michigan State’s ATS season mark sits around 6‑8‑2, reflecting that while the Spartans often win outright, they don’t always cover expectations — especially when heavily favored or in tight matchups.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2026 to compare prices before you bet.
Indiana vs. Michigan State Odds
AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of stats on each player. In fact, anytime the Indiana vs Michigan State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme travel distance can often follow normal, predictable patterns.
| IND Moneyline | +235 |
|---|---|
| MICHST Moneyline | -293 |
| IND Spread | +6.5 |
| MICHST Spread | -6.5 |
| Over / Under | 141.5 |
Indiana vs Michigan State Live Odds
| Games | PTS | ML | SPR | O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Feb 9, 2026 4:00PM EST
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash
Chicago State Cougars
2/9/26 4PM
SFRAN
CHIST
|
–
–
|
+114
|
+2 (-106)
|
O 146.5 (-108)
U 146.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 6:00PM EST
Navy Midshipmen
Bucknell Bison
2/9/26 6PM
NAVY
BUCK
|
–
–
|
-295
+235
|
-5.5 (-101)
+5.5 (-111)
|
O 134 (-108)
U 134 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 6:30PM EST
Xavier Musketeers
St. John's Red Storm
2/9/26 6:30PM
XAVIER
STJOHN
|
–
–
|
+980
-2000
|
+14.5 (-106)
-14.5 (-106)
|
O 162.5 (-108)
U 162.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 6:30PM EST
Jackson State Tigers
Arkansas Pine Bluff Golden Lions
2/9/26 6:30PM
JACKST
ARKPB
|
–
–
|
|
pk
pk
|
O 158 (-108)
U 158 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Northwestern State Demons
Lamar Cardinals
2/9/26 7PM
NWST
LAMAR
|
–
–
|
-465
|
-9 (-101)
|
O 136 (-108)
U 136 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Texas Southern Tigers
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats
2/9/26 7PM
TEXSO
BCOOK
|
–
–
|
+290
-375
|
+8 (-106)
-8 (-106)
|
O 149.5 (-108)
U 149.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Southern Illinois Salukis
Indiana State Sycamores
2/9/26 7PM
SOILL
INDST
|
–
–
|
+108
|
+1 (-106)
|
O 145.5 (-108)
U 145.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
UIW Cardinals
SE Louisiana Lions
2/9/26 7PM
UIW
SELOU
|
–
–
|
-128
|
-2 (-111)
|
O 139 (-108)
U 139 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
NC State Wolfpack
Louisville Cardinals
2/9/26 7PM
NCST
LVILLE
|
–
–
|
+255
-320
|
+7 (-103)
-7 (-109)
|
O 161.5 (-108)
U 161.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Central Arkansas Bears
North Alabama Lions
2/9/26 7PM
CNTARK
NBAMA
|
–
–
|
-375
+290
|
-8 (-106)
+8 (-106)
|
O 149 (-108)
U 149 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Yale Bulldogs
Howard Bison
2/9/26 7PM
YALE
HOWARD
|
–
–
|
-375
+300
|
-9 (-106)
+9 (-106)
|
O 147.5 (-108)
U 147.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
Prairie View A&M Panthers
Florida A&M Rattlers
2/9/26 7PM
PVAM
FLAAM
|
–
–
|
-166
|
-3 (-106)
|
O 148.5 (-108)
U 148.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
Valparaiso Beacons
Drake Bulldogs
2/9/26 7:30PM
VALPO
DRAKE
|
–
–
|
+128
-154
|
+2.5 (-106)
-2.5 (-106)
|
O 143.5 (-108)
U 143.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
Houston Christian Huskies
McNeese State Cowboys
2/9/26 7:30PM
HOUCHR
MCNESE
|
–
–
|
+1400
|
+18 (-106)
|
O 140.5 (-108)
U 140.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
Grambling State Tigers
2/9/26 7:30PM
ALA&M
GRAMB
|
–
–
|
+188
|
+4.5 (-106)
|
O 135 (-108)
U 135 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 7:30PM EST
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
Nicholls State Colonels
2/9/26 7:30PM
UTRGV
NICH
|
–
–
|
-142
|
-2 (-106)
|
O 145.5 (-108)
U 145.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Belmont Bruins
Bradley Braves
2/9/26 8PM
BELMNT
BRAD
|
–
–
|
-152
+126
|
-2.5 (-106)
+2.5 (-106)
|
O 155 (-108)
U 155 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Texas A&M-CC Islanders
New Orleans Privateers
2/9/26 8PM
TXCORP
NORL
|
–
–
|
-120
+100
|
pk
pk
|
O 148.5 (-108)
U 148.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Illinois State Redbirds
Evansville Purple Aces
2/9/26 8PM
ILLST
EVAN
|
–
–
|
+420
|
+9.5 (-106)
|
O 138 (-108)
U 138 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Alcorn State Braves
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
2/9/26 8PM
ALCORN
MVSU
|
–
–
|
|
pk
pk
|
O 141.5 (-108)
U 141.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
Charleston Cougars
2/9/26 8PM
NCWILM
CHARL
|
–
–
|
+105
-126
|
+1 (-106)
-1 (-106)
|
O 149.5 (-108)
U 149.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:00PM EST
Delaware State Hornets
North Carolina Central Eagles
2/9/26 8PM
DELST
NCCENT
|
–
–
|
-350
|
-7 (-105)
|
O 134 (-108)
U 134 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 8:30PM EST
Oregon Ducks
Indiana Hoosiers
2/9/26 8:30PM
OREG
IND
|
–
–
|
+520
-720
|
+11.5 (-111)
-11.5 (-101)
|
O 142 (-108)
U 142 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 9:00PM EST
Arizona Wildcats
Kansas Jayhawks
2/9/26 9PM
ARIZ
KANSAS
|
–
–
|
-150
+130
|
-2.5 (-109)
+2.5 (-103)
|
O 151.5 (-108)
U 151.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 9:00PM EST
Alabama State Hornets
Southern Jaguars
2/9/26 9PM
ALAST
STHRN
|
–
–
|
-350
|
-7 (-106)
|
O 151.5 (-108)
U 151.5 (-108)
|
|
|
Feb 9, 2026 10:00PM EST
Northern Iowa Panthers
Murray State Racers
2/9/26 10PM
NIOWA
MURRAY
|
–
–
|
+215
|
+5 (-108)
|
O 143 (-108)
U 143 (-108)
|
CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan State Spartans on January 13, 2026 at Breslin Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
|
CBB |
LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDGST@AF | SDGST -21.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| MERIMK@RIDER | MERIMK -8.5 | 57.0% | 6 | WIN |
| PFW@WRIGHT | WRIGHT -7.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| DUKE@UNC | UNDER 152.5 | 52.7% | 1 | WIN |
| ILL@MICHST | MICHST -0.5 | 52.5% | 1 | WIN |
| HOU@BYU | HOU -1 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| MURRAY@SOILL | MURRAY -122 | 56.8% | 5 | WIN |
| UCONN@STJOHN | STJOHN +2 | 52.9% | 1 | WIN |
| ELON@HAMPTON | ELON -120 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| RIDER@MARIST | RIDER +14.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UCRIV@CSUF | CSUF -5.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| MERCER@CHAT | MERCER -4.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WOFF@VMI | WOFF -8.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NWEST@ILL | ILL -14.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| UTSA@SFLA | SFLA -25.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@USC | IND -110 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| UNLV@FRESNO | FRESNO -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
| RUT@UCLA | UCLA -13.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| DRAKE@BELMONT | BELMONT -9.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| PITT@UVA | UVA -13.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| XAVIER@UCONN | UCONN -16.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| LSALLE@LOYCHI | LSALLE +3.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| KANSAS@TXTECH | KANSAS +4.5 | 52.7% | 1 | WIN |
| SELOU@LAMAR | LAMAR -5.5 | 53.5% | 2 | WIN |
| ILL@NEB | NEB -120 | 54.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| IOWAST@KSTATE | IOWAST -13.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU -10.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| BAMA@FLA | FLA -8.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| TULANE@MEMP | MEMP -8.5 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| TCU@COLO | TCU -125 | 59.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PURDUE@MD | PURDUE -14.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| AUBURN@TENN | TENN -5 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| DAVID@RICH | DAVID +125 | 45.8% | 2 | WIN |
| UMBC@ALBANY | UMBC -115 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| LIU@CCTST | LIU -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| FRESNO@AF | FRESNO -9.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MONTST@PORTST | PORTST -3.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@VANDY | VANDY -10.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@UCLA | IND +4.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| RUT@USC | USC -11.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| UVA@BC | UVA -12.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| MAINE@UMASSLO | MAINE +5.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| WRIGHT@MILW | WRIGHT -2.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DART@YALE | YALE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| FAIR@IONA | IONA -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LIB@MTSU | LIB -120 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| HAMPTON@DREXEL | DREXEL -4.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PENNST@NWEST | PENNST +7.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@SOILL | NIOWA +1.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@TCU | HOU -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
