Duke vs Florida State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Jan 03)

Updated: 2026-01-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

The Duke Blue Devils (12‑1) hit the road to face the Florida State Seminoles (7‑7) on January 3, 2026, as the ACC schedule heats up in Tallahassee. Duke’s elite defense and top‑tier offense clash with a retooling Florida State squad still seeking consistency, setting the stage for a potential mismatch with key narrative implications for both teams.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Jan 03, 2026

Start Time: 4:45 PM EST​

Venue: Donald L. Tucker Center​

Seminoles Record: (7-7)

Blue Devils Record: (12-1)

OPENING ODDS

DUKE Moneyline: -1724

FSU Moneyline: +933

DUKE Spread: -15.5

FSU Spread: +15.5

Over/Under: 161.5

DUKE
Betting Trends

  • Duke has a 6‑7‑0 record against the spread this season, showing that while they’ve dominated opponents, they haven’t always covered as heavy favorites.

FSU
Betting Trends

  • Florida State sits 7‑7‑0 ATS, reflecting their inconsistency and difficulty staying ahead of expectations even when competitive.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • When Duke has been favored by 15.5 points or more, they’ve covered only about 43% of the time, while Florida State has covered every game as a dog of that size — albeit in limited instances — a quirky trend worth noting for betting angles.

DUKE vs. FSU
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. McCray under 27.5 Fantasy Score.

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Duke vs Florida State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 1/3/26

The Duke Blue Devils travel to Tallahassee to face the Florida State Seminoles in an early-season ACC clash with significant implications for both teams. Duke enters the contest with a 12‑1 record, boasting elite efficiency on both ends of the court. The Blue Devils average approximately 87 points per game while allowing just under 64 points, giving them one of the nation’s largest scoring differentials. Anchored by Cameron Boozer, who contributes over 23 points and 10 rebounds per game, Duke combines inside scoring, perimeter shooting, and balanced offensive contributions from the bench. Their rebounding dominance and disciplined defense allow them to control tempo, limit second-chance points, and force opponents into contested shots. Florida State, meanwhile, comes in at 7‑7, having shown flashes offensively but struggling with consistency. The Seminoles average roughly 83.6 points per game but allow about 78.4 points, making defensive execution a concern against elite teams like Duke. Florida State relies on perimeter shooting and ball movement, led by Robert McCray, who averages over seven assists per game, and Martin Somerville, a consistent threat from three-point range.

While the Seminoles have athleticism and scoring talent, they can be vulnerable to teams that dominate the boards and execute efficiently in half-court and transition sets. The matchup will likely hinge on tempo and execution. Duke aims to impose its pace, control rebounds, and convert defensive stops into transition opportunities, while Florida State will need early defensive stops, timely three-point shooting, and efficient scoring to stay competitive. Bench depth, rebounding battles, and late-game execution could determine the final outcome. Duke’s combination of size, depth, and disciplined two-way play gives them a clear edge, but Florida State’s home court and scoring ability could keep the game closer than expected. This contest serves as a key early ACC test, highlighting the contrast between Duke’s elite consistency and Florida State’s talented but inconsistent approach.

Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

Duke Blue Devils CBB Preview

The Duke Blue Devils enter Tallahassee as heavy favorites with a 12‑1 overall record and one of the most efficient rosters in college basketball. Duke averages roughly 87 points per game while allowing just under 64 points, creating a remarkable scoring differential that reflects both offensive firepower and defensive discipline. Anchoring the team is Cameron Boozer, who contributes over 23 points and 10 rebounds per game, providing interior dominance, scoring versatility, and a presence that demands defensive attention. Supporting him are versatile scorers like Isaiah Evans and Patrick Ngongba II, who can contribute both from the perimeter and in transition. This balanced scoring ensures that Duke remains dangerous even when a single player is contained, making their offense difficult to predict and defend. Duke’s defense has been equally impressive, emphasizing disciplined rotations, contesting shots without fouling, and controlling rebounds to limit second-chance opportunities. The Blue Devils average over 39 rebounds per game, giving them a consistent edge on the boards, and their ability to convert defensive stops into fast-break points makes them particularly dangerous against teams that rely on transition scoring.

Ball movement and offensive efficiency are hallmarks of Duke’s style, allowing them to generate high-quality shots while minimizing turnovers, typically averaging fewer than 12 per game. On the road, Duke’s experience and execution under pressure are key advantages. Tallahassee is a challenging environment, but the Blue Devils’ depth, poise, and strategic versatility allow them to impose their tempo and sustain offensive pressure. Against Florida State, Duke will look to control rebounds, exploit mismatches, and convert defensive stops into points in transition. Their combination of elite scoring, rebounding, and defensive discipline positions them to dictate pace and assert themselves early, giving them a strong chance to secure a convincing road win in a critical ACC matchup.

The Duke Blue Devils (12‑1) hit the road to face the Florida State Seminoles (7‑7) on January 3, 2026, as the ACC schedule heats up in Tallahassee. Duke’s elite defense and top‑tier offense clash with a retooling Florida State squad still seeking consistency, setting the stage for a potential mismatch with key narrative implications for both teams. Duke vs Florida State AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Jan 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Florida State Seminoles CBB Preview

The Florida State Seminoles enter January 3, 2026 with a 7‑7 overall record and a home game at the Donald L. Tucker Civic Center, looking to assert themselves against a nationally ranked Duke Blue Devils squad. Florida State’s offense averages roughly 83.6 points per game, with a focus on perimeter shooting, ball movement, and scoring depth. Robert McCray leads the way as the team’s primary playmaker, averaging over seven assists per game, while also contributing key points in transition and half-court sets. Martin Somerville adds three-point shooting and spacing, helping stretch defenses and create driving lanes. The Seminoles’ ability to score in multiple ways, including fast breaks and catch-and-shoot opportunities, allows them to generate high-possession games that can challenge teams who prefer slower tempos. Defensively, Florida State has shown vulnerability this season, allowing approximately 78.4 points per contest, particularly against elite offenses that dominate the glass and execute efficiently.

The Seminoles average about 34.7 rebounds per game, but against a Duke team that averages over 39 boards per game, controlling second-chance points will be a critical concern. Defensive communication, timely rotations, and boxing out will be key to limiting Duke’s efficiency and transition opportunities. At home, Florida State will rely on crowd energy to fuel momentum and create early-game pressure. To stay competitive, the Seminoles must hit early threes, execute efficiently in half-court offense, and protect the ball to avoid giving Duke easy fast-break points. Defensive stops, rebounding, and forcing contested shots will be critical to disrupt Duke’s rhythm. If Florida State can combine effective perimeter shooting, disciplined defense, and capitalizing on home-court energy, they have a path to challenge the Blue Devils and potentially keep the game close despite Duke’s talent and experience, making this a pivotal early ACC test for the Seminoles.

Duke vs Florida State Prop Picks (AI)

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each team. In fact, anytime the Blue Devils and Seminoles play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Jan seemingly never follow normal, predictable patterns.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: R. McCray under 27.5 Fantasy Score.

Duke vs Florida State Prediction (AI)

Remi Robot Icon

Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over exorbitant amounts of data from every simulation between the Blue Devils and Seminoles and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to boil down the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most focused on the unproportionally assigned emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Duke’s strength factors between a Blue Devils team going up against a possibly deflated Seminoles team. We’ve found the true game analytics might reflect a moderate lean against one Vegas line specifically.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI Duke vs Florida State picks, computer picks Blue Devils vs Seminoles, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CBB 2/14 COLO@BYU UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v4 Locked VAULT v4
CBB 2/14 FURMAN@VMI UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v3 Locked VAULT v3
CBB 2/14 MERCER@CITADEL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CBB 2/14 HIGHPT@GWEBB UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2
CBB 2/14 HAWAII@CSUN UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 2/14 UCRIV@UCSD UNLOCK THIS PICK 5 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 2/14 ARMY@AMERCN UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 2/14 SC@BAMA UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 2/14 NDAKST@NDAK UNLOCK THIS PICK 4 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 2/14 GTOWN@UCONN UNLOCK THIS PICK 3 EXECUTIVE Locked EXECUTIVE
CBB 2/14 NMEXST@JAXST UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 DUQ@STBONN UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 BUCK@BU UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 GATECH@ND UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 LVILLE@BAYLOR UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 TEXA&M@VANDY UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 UNF@JVILLE UNLOCK THIS PICK 10 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 WYO@COLOST GET FREE PICK NOW 1
CBB 2/14 UK@FLA UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 TXTECH@ARIZ UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 KANSAS@IOWAST UNLOCK THIS PICK 1 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 CLEM@DUKE UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 GC@SJST UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL
CBB 2/14 COLO@BYU UNLOCK THIS PICK 0 INTEL Locked INTEL

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

Duke Betting Trends

Duke has a 6‑7‑0 record against the spread this season, showing that while they’ve dominated opponents, they haven’t always covered as heavy favorites.

Florida State Betting Trends

Florida State sits 7‑7‑0 ATS, reflecting their inconsistency and difficulty staying ahead of expectations even when competitive.

Blue Devils vs. Seminoles Matchup Trends

When Duke has been favored by 15.5 points or more, they’ve covered only about 43% of the time, while Florida State has covered every game as a dog of that size — albeit in limited instances — a quirky trend worth noting for betting angles.

Duke vs. Florida State Game Info

January 03, 2026 • 4:45 PM EST • Donald L. Tucker Center

Duke vs. Florida State Odds

Remi is pouring through tons of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the Duke vs Florida State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Duke vs Florida State

Duke vs Florida State Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
Feb 15, 2026 12:00PM EST
Maryland Terrapins
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
2/15/26 12PM
MD
RUT
+110
-141
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 144.5 (-110)
U 144.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 12:00PM EST
UTSA Roadrunners
Charlotte 49ers
2/15/26 12PM
UTSA
CHARLO
+700
-1667
+14.5 (-110)
-14.5 (-110)
O 147.5 (-110)
U 147.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 12:00PM EST
Utah Utes
Cincinnati Bearcats
2/15/26 12PM
UTAH
CINCY
+450
-715
+11 (-110)
-11 (-110)
O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 1:00PM EST
Manhattan Jaspers
Canisius Golden Griffins
2/15/26 1PM
MANHAT
CAN
-125
+105
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 140.5 (-110)
U 140.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 1:00PM EST
Denver Pioneers
Omaha Mavericks
2/15/26 1PM
DENVR
OMAHA
+125
-155
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 161 (-110)
U 161 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 1:00PM EST
Indiana Hoosiers
Illinois Fighting Illini
2/15/26 1PM
IND
ILL
+440
-670
+10.5 (-110)
-10.5 (-110)
O 152 (-110)
U 152 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 1:00PM EST
Youngstown St Penguins
Detroit Mercy Titans
2/15/26 1PM
YOUNG
DETRIOT
-145
+118
-2.5 (-110)
+2.5 (-110)
O 151.5 (-110)
U 151.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 1:00PM EST
Holy Cross Crusaders
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
2/15/26 1PM
HOLY
LOYMD
+145
 
+3.5 (-110)
 
O 145.5 (-115)
U 145.5 (-105)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Siena Saints
Marist Red Foxes
2/15/26 2PM
SIENA
MARIST
+110
-135
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 133.5 (-110)
U 133.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Merrimack Warriors
Quinnipiac Bobcats
2/15/26 2PM
MERRI
QUINN
+110
-135
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Fairfield Stags
Saint Peter's Peacocks
2/15/26 2PM
FAIR
STPETE
+150
-185
+3.5 (-110)
-3.5 (-110)
O 143 (-110)
U 143 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Wright State Raiders
Cleveland State Vikings
2/15/26 2PM
WRIGHT
CLEVST
 
 
pk
pk
O 158.5 (-110)
U 158.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
North Texas Mean Green
Temple Owls
2/15/26 2PM
NOTEX
TEMPLE
+125
-150
+2.5 (-110)
-2.5 (-110)
O 137.5 (-110)
U 137.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Rider Broncs
Sacred Heart Pioneers
2/15/26 2PM
RIDER
SACRED
+350
-450
+9 (-110)
-9 (-110)
O 149 (-110)
U 149 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Tulane Green Wave
UAB Blazers
2/15/26 2PM
TULANE
UAB
+225
-275
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 152.5 (-110)
U 152.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
IUPUI Jaguars
Fort Wayne Mastodons
2/15/26 2PM
IUPUI
IPFW
+240
-300
+6.5 (-110)
-6.5 (-110)
O 161 (-110)
U 161 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
South Florida Bulls
Florida Atlantic Owls
2/15/26 2PM
SFLA
FAU
-210
+155
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 166 (-110)
U 166 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
Robert Morris Colonials
2/15/26 2PM
OAKLND
ROBERT
+100
-120
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 156 (-110)
U 156 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Bradley Braves
Southern Illinois Salukis
2/15/26 2PM
BRAD
SOILL
+125
-150
+3 (-115)
-3 (-105)
O 144.5 (-110)
U 144.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Iona Gaels
Niagara Purple Eagles
2/15/26 2PM
IONA
NIAGRA
-235
+195
-5.5 (-110)
+5.5 (-110)
O 133.5 (-110)
U 133.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 2:00PM EST
Indiana State Sycamores
Valparaiso Beacons
2/15/26 2PM
INDST
VALPO
 
-210
 
-5 (-110)
O 143 (-110)
U 143 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 3:00PM EST
Green Bay Phoenix
Milwaukee Panthers
2/15/26 3PM
GBAY
MILW
+115
-140
+2 (-110)
-2 (-110)
O 145.5 (-110)
U 145.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 3:00PM EST
Illinois State Redbirds
UIC Flames
2/15/26 3PM
ILLST
UIC
 
-125
 
-1 (-105)
O 139 (-105)
U 139 (-115)
Feb 15, 2026 3:00PM EST
Drake Bulldogs
Northern Iowa Panthers
2/15/26 3PM
DRAKE
NIOWA
+400
-550
+9.5 (-110)
-9.5 (-110)
O 137.5 (-110)
U 137.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 4:00PM EST
Davidson Wildcats
Dayton Flyers
2/15/26 4PM
DAVID
DAYTON
+155
-200
+4.5 (-110)
-4.5 (-110)
O 139.5 (-110)
U 139.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 4:00PM EST
Eastern Kentucky Colonels
North Alabama Lions
2/15/26 4PM
EKTY
NBAMA
-190
+154
-4.5 (-105)
+4.5 (-115)
O 149.5 (-110)
U 149.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 5:00PM EST
Charleston Cougars
Campbell Fighting Camels
2/15/26 5PM
CHARL
CAMP
+110
-135
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 157.5 (-110)
U 157.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 6:00PM EST
San Francisco Dons
San Diego Toreros
2/15/26 6PM
SANFRN
USD
-190
+155
-4.5 (-110)
+4.5 (-110)
O 148.5 (-110)
U 148.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 6:00PM EST
Seton Hall Pirates
Butler Bulldogs
2/15/26 6PM
SETON
BUTLER
-136
+106
-1.5 (-110)
+1.5 (-110)
O 142 (-110)
U 142 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 6:00PM EST
Belmont Bruins
Murray State Racers
2/15/26 6PM
BELMNT
MURRAY
+100
 
+1 (-110)
 
O 167.5 (-110)
U 167.5 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 7:00PM EST
Towson Tigers
Monmouth Hawks
2/15/26 7PM
TOWSON
MONMTH
+110
-135
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 136 (-110)
U 136 (-110)
Feb 15, 2026 8:00PM EST
Oregon State Beavers
Seattle Redhawks
2/15/26 8PM
OREGST
SEATTLE
 
-275
 
-6.5 (-110)
O 137.5 (-110)
U 137.5 (-110)
Feb 16, 2026 9:00PM EST
Houston Cougars
Iowa State Cyclones
2/16/26 9PM
HOU
IOWAST
+105
-125
+1.5 (-110)
-1.5 (-110)
O 133.5 (-110)
U 133.5 (-110)

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers Duke Blue Devils vs. Florida State Seminoles on January 03, 2026 at Donald L. Tucker Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
GMASON@GWASH GWASH -2 54.2% 4 WIN
MICHST@WISC WISC +2.5 53.3% 2 WIN
BROWN@HARV HARV -7.5 55.0% 4 LOSS
CLMBIA@PENN PENN -2 54.7% 4 WIN
PRESBY@CHARLSO CHARLSO -1 54.7% 4 WIN
MNMTH@DREX DREX -1.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
HAWAII@CSBAK CSBAK +13 56.6% 6 LOSS
VALPO@ILLST ILLST -8.5 53.8% 3 WIN
WNTHRP@GWEBB GWEBB +20.5 56.8% 6 WIN
UCDAV@UCSD UCSD -4.5 53.6% 1 WIN
IOWA@MD MD +11 54.7% 4 WIN
BUFF@BALLST BALLST +1.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
VCU@LSALLE LSALLE +12.5 54.0% 3 WIN
MICH@NWEST NWEST +15.5 56.5% 6 WIN
VATECH@CLEM VATECH +8 57.8% 7 WIN
IOWAST@TCU IOWAST -7 56.8% 6 LOSS
UNC@MIAMI MIAMI +1.5 53.8% 2 WIN
COLOST@AF COLOST -16 54.9% 4 WIN
UVA@FSU UVA -7.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
MARQET@NOVA NOVA -9.5 56.6% 6 LOSS
EILL@WESTILL EILL -3.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
BELMONT@BRAD BELMONT -1 56.1% 6 LOSS
TXAMCC@NEWORL TXAMCC -102 53.8% 3 LOSS
UIW@SELOU UIW -105 55.5% 5 LOSS
ARIZ@KANSAS KANSAS +1.5 53.3% 2 WIN
RICE@UAB UAB -8 54.8% 4 LOSS
BAYLOR@IOWAST IOWAST -14.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
MILW@NKY NKY -6.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
TARL@SUTAH TARL +1.5 55.2% 5 WIN
VATECH@NCST NCST -9.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
TENN@UK TENN +2 55.9% 5 LOSS
UTAH@KANSAS KANSAS -18.5 55.9% 6 LOSS
SDGST@AF SDGST -21.5 56.5% 6 WIN
MERIMK@RIDER MERIMK -8.5 57.0% 6 WIN
PFW@WRIGHT WRIGHT -7.5 57.1% 7 LOSS
DUKE@UNC UNDER 152.5 52.7% 1 WIN
ILL@MICHST MICHST -0.5 52.5% 1 WIN
HOU@BYU HOU -1 53.7% 2 WIN
MURRAY@SOILL MURRAY -122 56.8% 5 WIN
UCONN@STJOHN STJOHN +2 52.9% 1 WIN
ELON@HAMPTON ELON -120 54.8% 4 LOSS
RIDER@MARIST RIDER +14.5 54.7% 4 LOSS
UCRIV@CSUF CSUF -5.5 55.9% 5 WIN
MERCER@CHAT MERCER -4.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
WOFF@VMI WOFF -8.5 54.3% 4 WIN
NWEST@ILL ILL -14.5 54.4% 4 WIN
UTSA@SFLA SFLA -25.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
IND@USC IND -110 55.2% 5 LOSS
UNLV@FRESNO FRESNO -120 56.5% 4 WIN
RUT@UCLA UCLA -13.5 54.4% 4 WIN
DRAKE@BELMONT BELMONT -9.5 54.6% 4 WIN