Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Dec 20)
Updated: 2025-12-18T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The SE Missouri State Redhawks (5‑7) travel to face the Tennessee State Tigers (7‑4) on December 20, 2025 at the Gentry Center in Nashville, with TSU favored by a small margin in most betting markets. Both teams are looking to establish early Ohio Valley Conference momentum — TSU after a road win in league play and SEMO aiming to snap its OVC opener skid — in a matchup that features several players capable of key contributions.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 20, 2025
Start Time: 5:30 PM EST
Venue: Gentry Center
Tigers Record: (7-4)
Redhawks Record: (5-7)
OPENING ODDS
SEMO Moneyline: +105
TENNST Moneyline: -125
SEMO Spread: +1.5
TENNST Spread: -1.5
Over/Under: 150.5
SEMO
Betting Trends
- SE Missouri State’s recent ATS form has been mixed, posting an L‑W‑L‑L‑W pattern over its last five games against the spread, showing inconsistency as underdogs and favorites alike.
TENNST
Betting Trends
- Tennessee State has fared better against the spread recently, entering the matchup with a W‑W‑L‑W‑W ATS trend in its last five contests, indicating that the Tigers often cover modest spreads at home.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- The current betting consensus lists Tennessee State as about a ‑1.5 favorite, with roughly 53% of spread support for the Tigers and 47% for the Redhawks, illustrating a fairly balanced public lean but slight confidence in TSU’s edge at home; historically, this series has been extremely tight, with the all‑time record essentially even at 31‑31.
SEMO vs. TENNST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 12/20/25
The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks travel to Nashville to take on the Tennessee State Tigers in an early Ohio Valley Conference showdown that could have implications for both teams’ confidence and positioning as league play ramps up. Tennessee State enters the contest with a 7‑4 overall record and a 1‑0 mark in OVC action, having opened league play with a solid 78‑71 victory over UT Martin thanks in large part to Aaron Nkrumah’s 23‑point performance, while SEMO sits at 5‑7 overall and 0‑1 in OVC play following a loss in their conference opener at Tennessee Tech. The all‑time series between these schools is deadlocked at 31‑31, adding historical intrigue to this neutral‑site affair at the Gentry Center, and recent meetings — including two narrow Redhawks road victories last season — suggest this matchup won’t be a blowout. Tennessee State’s balanced scoring and defensive metrics — including leading the league in steals and ranking among the better 3‑point defenses in the conference — contrast with SEMO’s efficient offense that ranks near the top of the OVC in scoring and shooting percentage, setting up an interesting battle between the Tigers’ disruptive guard play and the Redhawks’ disciplined offensive sets. Tennessee State’s success this season has been defined by a balanced, opportunistic offense and improving defensive discipline. Averaging roughly 79.4 points per game, the Tigers have multiple scoring threats, with Nkrumah leading the way at around 17.2 points per game while also contributing on the boards and in creating turnovers. Supporting him, Travis Harper II has provided consistent scoring — averaging about 15 points in his last ten games — and TSU’s guards have shown an ability to distribute the ball effectively and hit timely shots from the perimeter. Tennessee State’s defense has been notable for forcing turnovers and converting those into transition opportunities, an approach that proved effective against UNLV in a recent narrow 63‑60 victory where stifling shooting and opportunistic defense turned the tide late. The Tigers’ rebounding presence, led by Jalen Pitre’s roughly seven boards per game, allows TSU to control possessions and limit second‑chance opportunities, which is particularly important against a Redhawks team that can score in bunches when allowed to establish rhythm. At home, the Tigers are unbeaten this season (3‑0), leveraging crowd energy and familiarity to control tempo and tighten defensive rotations when necessary.
The Redhawks, under head coach Brad Korn, present a contrasting but equally intriguing profile: an offense that emphasizes efficiency, ball movement, and balanced scoring that stems from solid shooting percentages and assist rates. SEMO’s 78.1 points per game reflect a team capable of putting up points in a hurry, particularly when its guards find traction on drives and kick‑outs to open shooters. Braxton Stacker and Luke Almodovar have been central to the Redhawks’ offense, combining inside presence with perimeter scoring ability, and SEMO’s disciplined shot selection often forces opponents into tough, contested looks. While the Redhawks stumbled in their OVC opener, they’ve shown they can hang close with quality opponents and have enjoyed success against Tennessee State in recent seasons — they won both meetings last year by narrow margins, including one in Nashville, demonstrating their toughness in hostile environments. SEMO’s ability to defend the three has historically been strong, forcing opponents into lower percentages from deep, and when the Redhawks defend the arc well and control the glass, they can thrive against more athletic lineups. Strategically, this game could hinge on which team dictates tempo early. Tennessee State benefits when it can generate steals and push the ball in transition, forcing SEMO into quick decisions; the Redhawks, however, thrive in half‑court sets where they can patiently probe defenses for high‑quality shots. Turnovers, rebounding battles, and late‑game execution will loom large, as both teams are comfortable scoring in the 70s but can struggle to extend leads when shots aren’t falling. If Tennessee State’s defense remains disruptive and its guards continue to hit open looks, they could control the pace and exploit SEMO’s transitions. Conversely, if the Redhawks land early perimeter shots and protect the basketball, they’ve shown the resilience to grind out tight victories even on the road. With the series historically tight and recent matchups decided by slim margins, this December showdown promises a competitive, detail‑rich contest between two OVC programs headed in different directions but equally eager to assert themselves in league play.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
Southeast Missouri fell to Tennessee Tech by a score of 85-74 Thursday night in its Ohio Valley Conference opener at the Ellen Center.
— SEMO Men’s Basketball (@SEMOMBB) December 19, 2025
Story: https://t.co/t3mCAGbZti pic.twitter.com/LsrpPLkyad
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks CBB Preview
The Southeast Missouri State Redhawks enter their December 20, 2025 Ohio Valley Conference road matchup against the Tennessee State Tigers as a resilient but inconsistent squad seeking to bounce back after a rough start in league play. With a 5‑7 overall record and 0‑1 in OVC action, SEMO has displayed flashes of offensive efficiency, relying on a disciplined approach that emphasizes ball movement, spacing, and smart shot selection. Head coach Brad Korn has built a system that seeks to balance scoring across multiple positions, creating opportunities for both inside and perimeter players while leveraging the team’s size advantage and athleticism in key moments. On the road, the Redhawks face the additional challenge of competing in hostile environments, and Tennessee State’s Gentry Center presents one of the more challenging OVC arenas, given the Tigers’ energy and solid home record. Nevertheless, SEMO’s ability to execute structured offensive sets, protect the basketball, and maintain focus on defense has allowed them to remain competitive even in hostile conditions, particularly in close games where disciplined execution is paramount. Offensively, SEMO relies heavily on a balanced scoring attack that minimizes reliance on a single player while maximizing efficiency from multiple contributors. Braxton Stacker has emerged as a leader in scoring and rebounding, combining physicality in the paint with the ability to stretch defenses with midrange and three-point shooting. Complementing him, Luke Almodovar provides perimeter scoring and playmaking, helping the Redhawks generate open looks for teammates and maintain offensive rhythm. SEMO’s guards focus on initiating offense, reading defenses, and attacking gaps while facilitating ball movement, which often results in higher assist totals and better shot selection. The Redhawks’ offensive sets emphasize spacing, screening, and cutting, making it difficult for opponents to fully clog passing lanes or force low-percentage shots. One potential vulnerability lies in scoring consistency; SEMO has had stretches where shooting lapses and turnovers allowed opponents to gain separation, particularly against aggressive, high-pressure defenses like Tennessee State’s.
To stay competitive, the Redhawks will need to establish early rhythm and protect the ball while attacking defensive gaps efficiently. Defensively, SEMO emphasizes contesting shots, limiting three-point attempts, and controlling the defensive glass. The Redhawks’ strategy is to communicate effectively, rotate to cover gaps, and minimize fouls while preventing second-chance opportunities. Against Tennessee State, whose offensive attack balances inside scoring and perimeter shooting, SEMO’s defensive discipline will be critical. Containing post players, securing rebounds, and closing out shooters will define their ability to prevent runs and keep the game close. The Redhawks’ defensive success often hinges on their ability to execute rotations, stay disciplined in pick-and-roll situations, and contest shots without overcommitting. Additionally, forcing turnovers and capitalizing on transition opportunities will be essential to gain momentum, particularly in a challenging road environment where momentum can swing quickly. Mentally, SEMO must remain composed and focused throughout the 40 minutes. Facing an opponent like Tennessee State, which boasts balanced scoring, rebounding strength, and a supportive home crowd, requires sustained intensity and poise under pressure. Executing offensive sets efficiently, rebounding, and minimizing turnovers are all necessary for the Redhawks to remain competitive. While road games are inherently difficult, SEMO’s prior success against the Tigers in Nashville suggests that disciplined preparation and execution can keep the game within reach. If SEMO protects the basketball, hits timely perimeter shots, and matches the Tigers’ energy on defense, they have the potential not only to cover the spread but to challenge Tennessee State in a tight, competitive matchup that could go down to the final minutes, emphasizing skill, strategy, and mental toughness on the road.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Tennessee State Tigers CBB Preview
The Tennessee State Tigers enter their December 20, 2025, Ohio Valley Conference matchup against the SE Missouri State Redhawks with confidence stemming from a 7‑4 overall record and 1‑0 in OVC play, bolstered by a strong home record of 3‑0 at the Gentry Center. Under head coach Brian Collins, the Tigers have combined balanced scoring, defensive discipline, and rebounding strength to become one of the more formidable OVC teams early this season. Tennessee State’s offensive identity revolves around Aaron Nkrumah, who leads the team in scoring, averaging roughly 17 points per game, and provides versatility both inside the paint and on perimeter drives. Complemented by Travis Harper II and other backcourt contributors, TSU has multiple scoring options, allowing the Tigers to maintain offensive consistency and reduce the risk of over-reliance on a single player. The Tigers’ ability to move the ball effectively, generate open shots, and convert transition opportunities has made them a difficult opponent for teams unprepared for their balanced attack. Defensively, Tennessee State has excelled by emphasizing pressure, communication, and control of the paint. The Tigers average about 42 rebounds per game, giving them an edge in limiting opponents’ second-chance points and creating offensive opportunities off defensive boards. Guard play has been particularly disruptive, with the backcourt forcing turnovers and converting them into fast-break points, a key factor in recent wins, including their 78‑71 victory over UT Martin in conference play. Tennessee State’s ability to contest shots on the perimeter while securing interior rebounds ensures they can neutralize both outside and inside scoring threats. Discipline on defense has allowed TSU to maintain leads in tight games and minimize momentum swings, an important factor against a Redhawks team that relies on efficient shooting and balanced scoring.
Strategically, the Tigers benefit from familiarity with their home floor and the energy provided by a supportive crowd. This home advantage allows them to set the tempo and execute defensive rotations effectively, forcing opponents into contested shots and mistakes. The Tigers’ depth enables effective rotations, maintaining intensity across all four quarters and giving coach Collins the flexibility to adjust matchups based on opponent tendencies. Tennessee State’s approach also includes patient offensive sets designed to exploit gaps in defensive coverage and maximize scoring efficiency, particularly from high-percentage looks inside the paint. Complementing this, perimeter shooting is strategically leveraged to stretch defenses, open driving lanes, and provide secondary scoring options. The balance between inside and outside scoring, coupled with disciplined defense, has enabled the Tigers to secure comfortable margins in multiple home games this season. For the matchup against SEMO, Tennessee State’s strengths in rebounding, defensive pressure, and home-court familiarity could be decisive. Maintaining focus, minimizing turnovers, and controlling the pace of play will be key in countering the Redhawks’ efficient offensive approach. TSU’s ability to dictate tempo early and sustain pressure defensively can force SEMO into contested looks and disrupt their rhythm. If the Tigers continue executing their disciplined, balanced style — blending scoring threats, strong rebounding, and defensive intensity — they have the potential not only to win at home but to assert themselves as a team capable of challenging for the upper echelons of the OVC. Tennessee State’s home preview underscores a confident, well-rounded squad ready to leverage talent, strategy, and environment to maintain early-season momentum and secure a significant league victory.
Men's Basketball Defeats UT Martin 78-71 in OVC Openerhttps://t.co/bUVB4fqwV1
— Tennessee State Men's Basketball (@TSUTigersMBB) December 19, 2025
Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through tons of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Redhawks and Tigers play there’s always several intriguing angles to key in on. Not to mention games played at Gentry Center in Dec almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over millions of data from every angle between the Redhawks and Tigers and using recursive machine learning and industry leading AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.
Interestingly enough, the data has been most keyed in on the unproportionally assigned weight human bettors tend to put on Southeast Missouri State’s strength factors between a Redhawks team going up against a possibly strong Tigers team. It appears the true game analytics appear to reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State picks, computer picks Redhawks vs Tigers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBB | 1/12 | NEWORL@SELOU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 3 |
EXECUTIVE
|
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
Southeast Missouri State Betting Trends
SE Missouri State’s recent ATS form has been mixed, posting an L‑W‑L‑L‑W pattern over its last five games against the spread, showing inconsistency as underdogs and favorites alike.
Tennessee State Betting Trends
Tennessee State has fared better against the spread recently, entering the matchup with a W‑W‑L‑W‑W ATS trend in its last five contests, indicating that the Tigers often cover modest spreads at home.
Redhawks vs. Tigers Matchup Trends
The current betting consensus lists Tennessee State as about a ‑1.5 favorite, with roughly 53% of spread support for the Tigers and 47% for the Redhawks, illustrating a fairly balanced public lean but slight confidence in TSU’s edge at home; historically, this series has been extremely tight, with the all‑time record essentially even at 31‑31.
Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State Game Info
Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State starts on December 20, 2025 at 5:30 PM EST.
Venue: Gentry Center.
Spread: Tennessee State -1.5
Moneyline: Southeast Missouri State +105, Tennessee State -125
Over/Under: 150.5
Southeast Missouri State: (5-7) | Tennessee State: (7-4)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
The current betting consensus lists Tennessee State as about a ‑1.5 favorite, with roughly 53% of spread support for the Tigers and 47% for the Redhawks, illustrating a fairly balanced public lean but slight confidence in TSU’s edge at home; historically, this series has been extremely tight, with the all‑time record essentially even at 31‑31.
SEMO trend: SE Missouri State’s recent ATS form has been mixed, posting an L‑W‑L‑L‑W pattern over its last five games against the spread, showing inconsistency as underdogs and favorites alike.
TENNST trend: Tennessee State has fared better against the spread recently, entering the matchup with a W‑W‑L‑W‑W ATS trend in its last five contests, indicating that the Tigers often cover modest spreads at home.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State Odds
Remi is pouring through loads of data on each player. In fact, anytime the Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| SEMO Moneyline | +105 |
|---|---|
| TENNST Moneyline | -125 |
| SEMO Spread | +1.5 |
| TENNST Spread | -1.5 |
| Over / Under | 150.5 |
Southeast Missouri State vs Tennessee State Live Odds
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U 158.5 (-108)
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IND
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+240
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O 142.5 (-110)
U 142.5 (-110)
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-132
+110
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+2 (-101)
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O 144.5 (-108)
U 144.5 (-108)
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-195
+148
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+4.5 (-121)
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O 144.5 (-115)
U 144.5 (-105)
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1/13/26 7PM
UVA
LVILLE
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+158
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O 155 (-103)
U 155 (-113)
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-520
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O 140.5 (-108)
U 140.5 (-108)
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BC
CLEM
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+1200
-3000
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U 134.5 (-110)
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+750
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O 155 (-108)
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+390
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O 159 (-103)
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O 161 (-113)
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-210
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O 153 (-108)
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O 160.5 (-103)
U 160.5 (-113)
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+2000
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O 156 (-108)
U 156 (-108)
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+300
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-490
|
+9.5 (-106)
-9.5 (-106)
|
O 149 (-113)
U 149 (-103)
|
|
|
Jan 13, 2026 11:00PM EST
Boise State Broncos
UNLV Rebels
1/13/26 11PM
BOISE
UNLV
|
–
–
|
-205
+168
|
-4.5 (-101)
+4.5 (-111)
|
O 147.5 (-113)
U 147.5 (-103)
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|
|
Jan 13, 2026 11:00PM EST
Saint Mary's Gaels
San Francisco Dons
1/13/26 11PM
STMARY
SANFRN
|
–
–
|
-345
+270
|
-7 (-101)
+7 (-111)
|
O 141.5 (-108)
U 141.5 (-108)
|
CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Tennessee State Tigers on December 20, 2025 at Gentry Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU@BAYLOR | HOU -2.5 | 56.9% | 6 | WIN |
| LOYMD@BUCK | LOYMD +6.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| LIB@LATECH | LATECH +4.5 | 53.7% | 3 | LOSS |
| WEBER@NAU | NAU +2 | 53.8% | 3 | LOSS |
| STLOU@VCU | VCU -135 | 59.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| VMI@ETNST | VMI +17.5 | 56.4% | 6 | WIN |
| HOLY@LEHIGH | HOLY +125 | 44.6% | 1 | WIN |
| MIAMI@WAKE | MIAMI +100 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| CHARLO@UTSA | CHARLO -4.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| ARK@OLEMISS | MISS +4 | 54.3% | 4 | LOSS |
| SOILL@UIC | SOILL -1.5 | 56.8% | 6 | LOSS |
| BGREEN@KENTST | KENTST -1.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| EMICH@BALLST | BALLST -118 | 56.6% | 5 | LOSS |
| FRESNO@SJST | SJST -1 | 55.0% | 4 | LOSS |
| DUKE@LVILLE | LVILLE -110 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| BAMAST@ARKPB | BAMAST -102 | 53.2% | 3 | LOSS |
| NWESTST@NICHOLLS | NWESTST +8.5 | 54.1% | 3 | WIN |
| LIU@CHIST | LIU -7.5 | 53.2% | 1 | WIN |
| STONEH@WAGNER | STONEH +8.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| MOUNT@QUINN | MOUNT +9 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| LATECH@WKY | WKY -9 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| DUKE@FSU | FSU +16 | 54.1% | 2 | WIN |
| BC@GATECH | BC +7 | 54.9% | 4 | LOSS |
| KANSAS@UCF | UCF +5.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |
| BRYANT@MAINE | BRYANT -1 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| MISSST@TEXAS | TEXAS -8.5 | 56.3% | 6 | LOSS |
| UNC@SMU | SMU +1.5 | 56.6% | 6 | WIN |
| WCU@FURMAN | WCU +9.5 | 57.2% | 7 | WIN |
| LONGWD@HIGHPT | LONGWD +17 | 57.7% | 7 | WIN |
| TEXSOU@SOUTHERN | TEXSOU +6.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| SJST@UTAHST | UTAHST -20.5 | 58.2% | 8 | LOSS |
| OREGST@PACIFIC | OREGST +4.5 | 56.1% | 6 | LOSS |
| ND@CAL | CAL -4 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| OREG@MD | OREG -1 | 52.6% | 1 | WIN |
| GASOU@COASTAL | GASOU +1.5 | 57.0% | 6 | WIN |
| TNTECH@ARKLR | ARKLR -109 | 55.3% | 5 | WIN |
| SDAK@NDAKST | SDAK +11.5 | 53.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| BUCK@HOLY | HOLY +3 | 53.0% | 3 | WIN |
| RICE@TULSA | TULSA -12.5 | 53.4% | 3 | WIN |
| DEPAUL@NOVA | DEPAUL +12.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| NEVADA@COLOST | COLOST -125 | 58.7% | 7 | LOSS |
| FSU@UNC | UNC -14.5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| BUTLER@CREIGH | BUTLER +6 | 53.3% | 3 | WIN |
| SANFRAN@OREGST | SANFRAN -4.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| NEAST@ELON | NEAST +5 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| STPETE@FAIR | FAIR -2 | 55.3% | 5 | LOSS |
| DETROIT@YOUNG | DETROIT +10 | 55.4% | 5 | WIN |
| SUTAH@UTTECH | SUTAH +8.5 | 55.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| BELMONT@INDST | BELMONT -7 | 55.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| NORFLK@UL | NORFLK +2.5 | 54.3% | 3 | LOSS |
| NOVA@SETON | SETON +1.5 | 54.4% | 4 | LOSS |