Drake vs Murray State Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Dec 18)
Updated: 2025-12-16T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props
The Drake Bulldogs (6‑5) travel to face the Murray State Racers (8‑3) on Thursday, December 18, 2025 in a Missouri Valley Conference matchup at the CFSB Center in Murray, Kentucky. Murray State enters as one of the stronger teams early in conference play and will look to defend its home court against a Bulldogs squad fighting for consistency.
Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.
GAME INFO
Date: Dec 18, 2025
Start Time: 9:00 PM EST
Venue: CFSB Center
Racers Record: (8-3)
Bulldogs Record: (6-5)
OPENING ODDS
DRAKE Moneyline: +232
MURYST Moneyline: -289
DRAKE Spread: +6.5
MURYST Spread: -6.5
Over/Under: 158.5
DRAKE
Betting Trends
- Drake’s recent form against the spread (ATS) has been mixed — the team’s last stretch shows alternating results with both wins and losses cover-wise, highlighting inconsistency on the road.
MURYST
Betting Trends
- Murray State is favored in this matchup and has been solid in recent action, with recent records showing multiple covers in home games and strong performance as a favorite, reflecting confidence among oddsmakers.
MATCHUP TRENDS
- Early betting lines have the Racers favored by around 7.5 points with an over/under near 159–160, suggesting oddsmakers expect a moderately high‑scoring game with Murray State controlling a two‑possession lead at home.
DRAKE vs. MURYST
Best Prop Bet
- Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS
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Drake vs Murray State Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 12/18/25
The Drake Bulldogs and Murray State Racers square off Thursday night in a pivotal Missouri Valley Conference matchup that could shape the early MVC landscape, as both teams begin league play looking to establish momentum. Drake arrives with a 6‑5 overall record but brings into this contest the confidence of multiple recent offensive performances, including an 81.3 points per game average over its last 10 outings and key contributions from leading scorers like Jalen Quinn (about 18.8 points) and Okku Federiko (just under 13 points and over 6 rebounds per game). The Bulldogs’ balanced scoring has been effective at stretching defenses, and they’ve shown they can compete on the road, owning a 1‑0 mark away from home this season — but they are 0‑2 in games decided by fewer than four points, indicating they’ve had trouble closing tight contests. Meanwhile, Murray State has thrived at the CFSB Center, where it’s been unbeaten in home games — including a four‑game win streak entering this matchup — and is averaging over 90 points per game over its last 10, pace that ranks among the MVC’s best and keeps pressure on opposing defenses. The Racers’ sustained offensive output and rebounding advantages give them a clear edge in controlling tempo and possession, particularly in front of a supportive home crowd. Drake’s offense this season blends perimeter shooting with efficient ball movement that creates open shots and transition opportunities. The Bulldogs have shot around 47 percent from the field as a unit, a mark that slightly surpasses the average defensive field‑goal percentage allowed by Murray State to its opponents. This efficiency, coupled with a respectable assist rate (around 15.9 assists per game), shows Drake can move the ball effectively to generate quality looks. When the Bulldogs find consistent rhythm early — particularly from three‑point range via players like Braden Appelhans — they force opponents to defend the entire floor, opening room for drivers and post players alike. Drake’s defense has also contributed by generating turnovers and transition opportunities, and on nights when that end clicks, the Bulldogs can outpace teams with similar offensive talent.
Nevertheless, maintaining that rhythm on the road will be a key challenge, especially against a Racers lineup that emphasizes offensive rebounding and second‑chance scoring. Murray State’s offensive profile this season has been among the most productive in the MVC, averaging near 91 points per game over its last 10 contests while generating rebounds and assists at strong rates, and shooting nearly 49.6 percent from the field. The Racers spread scoring across multiple options, including Javon Jackson (around 16.5 points per game), Fred King, and Roman Domon, who combine interior efficiency and outside shooting to keep defenses honest. Their ability to crash the offensive glass — with about 11.3 offensive rebounds per game — not only creates extra possessions but also denies opponents like Drake easy transition opportunities, forcing more half‑court sets. At home, that rebounding prowess is amplified by crowd energy and familiarity with the floor, helping Murray State control pace and grind out advantages that become harder to overcome late in games. Strategically, this game may come down to execution in half‑court offense and defensive rebounding. Drake’s ability to push tempo and hit open shots early could keep the game close into the second half, but Murray State’s strength in rebounding and overall offensive efficiency may allow them to methodically build leads and dictate rhythm. If the Racers can sustain high field‑goal percentages and generate second‑chance points, they should be favored at home. Conversely, if Drake can limit turnovers, hit perimeter shots, and control defensive rebounds, they’ll keep this contest competitive and potentially force late drama. Overall, the blend of Murray State’s offensive firepower with home‑court advantage gives them a slight edge, but this matchup promises to be closely contested and shaped by execution in key moments.
Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.
𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐯𝐢𝐞𝐰: 𝐌𝐮𝐫𝐫𝐚𝐲 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐞 & 𝐄𝐯𝐚𝐧𝐬𝐯𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐞#DSMHometownTeam https://t.co/qXgEr7JdLn
— Drake Basketball (@DrakeBulldogsMB) December 17, 2025
Drake Bulldogs CBB Preview
The Drake Bulldogs enter their Missouri Valley Conference road matchup against the Murray State Racers on December 18, 2025 as a team looking to find both consistency and confidence away from home. After a competitive 6‑5 start to the season, Drake’s identity has centered on balanced scoring and opportunistic defense, traits that have kept them in most games and positioned them as dangerous contenders in MVC play. Throughout 2025, the Bulldogs have showcased an ability to generate points through multiple avenues — whether on transition, through perimeter shooting, or via strong ball movement that creates open looks for multiple scorers. What’s unique about Drake’s approach is its emphasis on not relying too heavily on a single star; instead, contributions come from a variety of players on any given night, adding a layer of unpredictability that opposing defenses must account for. This blend of offensive versatility and an opportunistic defensive style — including generating turnovers and converting them into scoring runs — has helped Drake stay competitive, even when road environments or tough opponents have challenged them. However, road games in MVC settings often magnify every strength and expose every weakness, and this duel at Murray State presents just such a test. Drake’s early season road record shows room for improvement, and the Bulldogs have been vulnerable in close contests decided by slim margins. In games decided by three points or fewer, Drake has split results, indicating that they are competitive but have yet to develop a reliable late‑game formula away from home. The Racers’ home court, the CFSB Center, figures to be a lively environment where crowd energy can disrupt rhythm, challenge communication, and swing momentum in favor of the home team. Historically, Murray State has taken advantage of its home court, but Drake does have positive experiences in this matchup as well — including a 55‑45 win in Murray earlier in 2025, where they executed strong defensive rotations and controlled tempo to limit the Racers’ offensive efficiency. That prior success on the road demonstrates Drake’s capability to rise above hostile environments when execution, focus, and discipline align. Defensively, Drake’s philosophy has been to contest every possession and force opponents into contested looks rather than easy baskets.
This approach, while effective in generating turnovers and slowing opposing offenses, requires excellent communication and team coordination — especially when away from home where crowd noise and unfamiliar surroundings can create confusion on switches and rotations. The Bulldogs have shown they can hold teams below expectations, but lapses in focus have also led to scoring runs by opponents, particularly when transition defense slips or glass‑cleaning rebounding fails to secure defensive boards. Against a Racers squad that emphasizes offensive rebounding and high‑efficiency shots near the basket, Drake’s ability to box out, secure defensive rebounds, and convert them into transition opportunities will be essential to staying competitive deep into the second half. On the offensive end, ball security and shot selection will be focal points. Drake’s offense thrives when possessions are clean, decisions are decisive, and shooters attack open looks with confidence. Yet when turnovers occur or shot selection becomes rushed in the face of defensive pressure, the Bulldogs have seen their scoring rhythm collapse, leading to scoring droughts and defensive pressure that accelerates opponent advantage. In away environments like Murray State — where defensive intensity and rebounding prowess are heightened by crowd energy — Drake must prioritize efficient offensive execution and minimize possessions that end in turnovers. If they can control the pace, protect the basketball, and generate quality shot opportunities early in the clock, they’ll be positioned to stay well within striking distance late into the game. History shows that Drake has the talent and tactical versatility to compete on the road; converting that capability into a road victory, however, will require discipline, focus, and strong performance in critical second‑chance situations. In summary, Drake’s balanced offensive approach, opportunistic defense, and prior success in hostile territory are positive indicators for this matchup. But securing consistency away from home — especially against a confident Murray State team — remains a key challenge. If Drake can execute on fundamentals like rebounding, ball security, and defensive rotations, they have the tools to keep this game close and potentially steal an early MVC road victory.
Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN
Murray State Racers CBB Preview
The Murray State Racers enter their Missouri Valley Conference home opener against the Drake Bulldogs on December 18, 2025 with a blend of offensive efficiency, rebounding dominance, and home-court advantage that makes them one of the more formidable teams in the early MVC season. Sitting at 8‑3 overall, the Racers have shown an ability to control tempo, execute in half-court sets, and generate points both inside and from the perimeter. The CFSB Center has become a true advantage for the team, where Murray State is unbeaten this season and has used crowd energy to amplify both their defensive intensity and offensive rhythm. Coach Matt McMahon has emphasized a disciplined, structured approach that relies on smart shot selection, efficient ball movement, and aggressive rebounding — strategies that have allowed the Racers to excel against a variety of opponents while maintaining consistency throughout games. Offensively, Murray State is one of the MVC’s most balanced and productive teams. They average approximately 91 points per game over their last ten contests and spread scoring across multiple contributors, including Javon Jackson, Fred King, and Roman Domon, who each combine scoring ability with playmaking and rebounding contributions. This balance makes the Racers difficult to defend, as opponents cannot simply focus on shutting down a single player without leaving other threats open. The team also thrives on offensive rebounds, generating roughly 11.3 offensive boards per game, which provide second-chance points and help sustain scoring runs. Transition opportunities also feed into the Racers’ offensive engine, as fast-break scoring off defensive stops allows them to build momentum quickly and force opponents into uncomfortable, hurried possessions. Defensively, Murray State relies on communication, rotations, and physicality to limit high-percentage shots and prevent easy baskets. The Racers contest perimeter shots aggressively, protect the paint, and emphasize boxing out to reduce opponents’ second-chance opportunities.
This disciplined approach has kept opposing teams below their scoring averages, allowing Murray State to control tempo and dictate the flow of games. In particular, their ability to convert defensive stops into transition opportunities has been a hallmark of success and has allowed the team to maintain leads, even when opponents attempt late surges. Maintaining defensive intensity at home, coupled with rebounding dominance, will be critical in countering Drake’s balanced offensive attack. Experience and depth further bolster Murray State’s home advantage. The roster includes a mix of veteran leadership and younger contributors, providing flexibility in rotations and allowing the Racers to sustain energy throughout 40 minutes. Late-game execution, composure in high-pressure situations, and effective free-throw shooting have been strengths in early-season contests, particularly in close games. This combination of balance, experience, and tactical discipline has allowed Murray State to excel in home matchups and gives them the confidence to impose their style on visiting teams like Drake. Additionally, prior games against MVC competition indicate that the Racers can adapt to opponent strategies while maintaining their identity, a critical factor when hosting teams capable of fast-paced scoring and efficient ball movement. In summary, the Murray State Racers’ combination of offensive versatility, rebounding strength, defensive discipline, and home-court advantage positions them as favorites against the Drake Bulldogs. Controlling tempo, executing in half-court offense, and sustaining defensive intensity will be keys to success. If Murray State leverages these strengths, they are well-positioned to extend their early-season success, continue their home dominance, and assert themselves as a leading contender in MVC play.
24 hours until the @MVCsports season is back in the MKY ⏳#GoRacers🏇 pic.twitter.com/VNmoMhss4U
— Murray State MBB (@RacersHoops) December 18, 2025
Drake vs Murray State Prop Picks (AI)
Remi is pouring through loads of datapoints on each player. In fact, anytime the Bulldogs and Racers play there’s always several intriguing observations to key in on. Not to mention games played at CFSB Center in Dec rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
Drake vs Murray State Prediction (AI)
Remi, our AI sports genius, has been pouring over millions of data from every simulation between the Bulldogs and Racers and using recursive machine learning and impressive AI to examine the data to a single cover probability.
Remi has been most focused on the growing emphasis knucklehead sportsbettors tend to put on Murray State’s strength factors between a Bulldogs team going up against a possibly healthy Racers team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a strong lean against one Vegas line specifically.
Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.
Below is our current AI Drake vs Murray State picks, computer picks Bulldogs vs Racers, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.
| DATE | GAME | LEAN | %WIN | UNITS | LEVEL | |
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| CBB | 2/8 | RICE@UAB | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 4 |
EXECUTIVE
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| CBB | 2/8 | TXTECH@WVU | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | WICHST@TULANE | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 10 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | UCF@CINCY | GET FREE PICK NOW | 1 | – | |
| CBB | 2/8 | MD@MINN | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | CHARLO@MEMP | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 0 |
INTEL
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| CBB | 2/8 | UCF@CINCY | UNLOCK THIS PICK | 1 |
INTEL
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These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.
Drake Betting Trends
Drake’s recent form against the spread (ATS) has been mixed — the team’s last stretch shows alternating results with both wins and losses cover-wise, highlighting inconsistency on the road.
Murray State Betting Trends
Murray State is favored in this matchup and has been solid in recent action, with recent records showing multiple covers in home games and strong performance as a favorite, reflecting confidence among oddsmakers.
Bulldogs vs. Racers Matchup Trends
Early betting lines have the Racers favored by around 7.5 points with an over/under near 159–160, suggesting oddsmakers expect a moderately high‑scoring game with Murray State controlling a two‑possession lead at home.
Drake vs. Murray State Game Info
Drake vs Murray State starts on December 18, 2025 at 9:00 PM EST.
Venue: CFSB Center.
Spread: Murray State -6.5
Moneyline: Drake +232, Murray State -289
Over/Under: 158.5
Drake: (6-5) | Murray State: (8-3)
Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS. Prices move—always shop for the best number.
Early betting lines have the Racers favored by around 7.5 points with an over/under near 159–160, suggesting oddsmakers expect a moderately high‑scoring game with Murray State controlling a two‑possession lead at home.
DRAKE trend: Drake’s recent form against the spread (ATS) has been mixed — the team’s last stretch shows alternating results with both wins and losses cover-wise, highlighting inconsistency on the road.
MURYST trend: Murray State is favored in this matchup and has been solid in recent action, with recent records showing multiple covers in home games and strong performance as a favorite, reflecting confidence among oddsmakers.
See our latest CBB picks and odds pages for 2025 to compare prices before you bet.
Drake vs. Murray State Odds
Remi is pouring through tons of stats on each line. In fact, anytime the Drake vs Murray State trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme altitude rarely follow normal, predictable betting trends.
| DRAKE Moneyline | +232 |
|---|---|
| MURYST Moneyline | -289 |
| DRAKE Spread | +6.5 |
| MURYST Spread | -6.5 |
| Over / Under | 158.5 |
Drake vs Murray State Live Odds
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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+114
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U 146.5 (-108)
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U 162.5 (-108)
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–
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pk
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U 158 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
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-465
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-9 (-101)
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O 136 (-108)
U 136 (-108)
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+290
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+8 (-106)
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O 149.5 (-108)
U 149.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
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+108
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O 145.5 (-108)
U 145.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
UIW Cardinals
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-128
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O 139 (-108)
U 139 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
NC State Wolfpack
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LVILLE
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–
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+255
-320
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+7 (-103)
-7 (-109)
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O 161.5 (-108)
U 161.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
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+290
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-8 (-106)
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O 149 (-108)
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-375
+300
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-9 (-106)
+9 (-106)
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O 147.5 (-108)
U 147.5 (-108)
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Feb 9, 2026 7:00PM EST
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Florida A&M Rattlers
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-166
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-3 (-106)
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O 148.5 (-108)
U 148.5 (-108)
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O 143.5 (-108)
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+1400
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+18 (-106)
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O 140.5 (-108)
U 140.5 (-108)
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Grambling State Tigers
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+188
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O 135 (-108)
U 135 (-108)
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-142
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O 145.5 (-108)
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O 155 (-108)
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-120
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O 141.5 (-108)
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O 134 (-108)
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O 142 (-108)
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+215
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U 143 (-108)
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CBB Past Picks
Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.
This preview covers Drake Bulldogs vs. Murray State Racers on December 18, 2025 at CFSB Center.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.
Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.
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RESULT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SDGST@AF | SDGST -21.5 | 56.5% | 6 | WIN |
| MERIMK@RIDER | MERIMK -8.5 | 57.0% | 6 | WIN |
| PFW@WRIGHT | WRIGHT -7.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| DUKE@UNC | UNDER 152.5 | 52.7% | 1 | WIN |
| ILL@MICHST | MICHST -0.5 | 52.5% | 1 | WIN |
| HOU@BYU | HOU -1 | 53.7% | 2 | WIN |
| MURRAY@SOILL | MURRAY -122 | 56.8% | 5 | WIN |
| UCONN@STJOHN | STJOHN +2 | 52.9% | 1 | WIN |
| ELON@HAMPTON | ELON -120 | 54.8% | 4 | LOSS |
| RIDER@MARIST | RIDER +14.5 | 54.7% | 4 | LOSS |
| UCRIV@CSUF | CSUF -5.5 | 55.9% | 5 | WIN |
| MERCER@CHAT | MERCER -4.5 | 56.5% | 6 | LOSS |
| WOFF@VMI | WOFF -8.5 | 54.3% | 4 | WIN |
| NWEST@ILL | ILL -14.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| UTSA@SFLA | SFLA -25.5 | 56.4% | 6 | LOSS |
| IND@USC | IND -110 | 55.2% | 5 | LOSS |
| UNLV@FRESNO | FRESNO -120 | 56.5% | 4 | WIN |
| RUT@UCLA | UCLA -13.5 | 54.4% | 4 | WIN |
| DRAKE@BELMONT | BELMONT -9.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| PITT@UVA | UVA -13.5 | 56.0% | 6 | WIN |
| XAVIER@UCONN | UCONN -16.5 | 56.1% | 6 | WIN |
| LSALLE@LOYCHI | LSALLE +3.5 | 56.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| KANSAS@TXTECH | KANSAS +4.5 | 52.7% | 1 | WIN |
| SELOU@LAMAR | LAMAR -5.5 | 53.5% | 2 | WIN |
| ILL@NEB | NEB -120 | 54.6% | 1 | LOSS |
| IOWAST@KSTATE | IOWAST -13.5 | 56.8% | 6 | WIN |
| ECU@FAU | FAU -10.5 | 56.9% | 6 | LOSS |
| BAMA@FLA | FLA -8.5 | 53.4% | 2 | WIN |
| TULANE@MEMP | MEMP -8.5 | 56.0% | 5 | LOSS |
| TCU@COLO | TCU -125 | 59.7% | 6 | LOSS |
| PURDUE@MD | PURDUE -14.5 | 55.5% | 5 | WIN |
| AUBURN@TENN | TENN -5 | 54.2% | 3 | WIN |
| DAVID@RICH | DAVID +125 | 45.8% | 2 | WIN |
| UMBC@ALBANY | UMBC -115 | 57.4% | 7 | WIN |
| LIU@CCTST | LIU -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| FRESNO@AF | FRESNO -9.5 | 54.7% | 4 | WIN |
| MONTST@PORTST | PORTST -3.5 | 55.0% | 5 | WIN |
| OLEMISS@VANDY | VANDY -10.5 | 55.5% | 5 | LOSS |
| IND@UCLA | IND +4.5 | 55.7% | 5 | WIN |
| RUT@USC | USC -11.5 | 57.1% | 7 | LOSS |
| UVA@BC | UVA -12.5 | 57.8% | 7 | LOSS |
| MAINE@UMASSLO | MAINE +5.5 | 57.9% | 7 | LOSS |
| WRIGHT@MILW | WRIGHT -2.5 | 53.8% | 3 | WIN |
| DART@YALE | YALE -14.5 | 54.0% | 3 | WIN |
| FAIR@IONA | IONA -2.5 | 54.6% | 4 | LOSS |
| KENTST@AKRON | AKRON -10.5 | 54.6% | 4 | WIN |
| LIB@MTSU | LIB -120 | 55.6% | 5 | WIN |
| HAMPTON@DREXEL | DREXEL -4.5 | 54.1% | 4 | WIN |
| PENNST@NWEST | PENNST +7.5 | 54.2% | 4 | LOSS |
| NIOWA@SOILL | NIOWA +1.5 | 57.6% | 6 | LOSS |
| HOU@TCU | HOU -7.5 | 54.9% | 4 | WIN |