SMU vs Vanderbilt Prediction — AI Finds CAN'T MISS CBB Lines & Props (Dec 03)

Updated: 2025-12-01T03:31:50.923562ZBy Remi at Leans.AI — AI picks for ATS, ML, OU & props

SMU Mustangs travel to face Vanderbilt Commodores on December 3, 2025 — two undefeated teams (both 8-0) facing off in the early season’s ACC/SEC Challenge, setting the stage for a high-stakes showdown of contrasting styles and elite scoring potential.

Get key insights, betting trends, and AI-powered predictions to help incorporate into your betting strategies.

AI Sports Betting Algorithm Remi

GAME INFO

Date: Dec 03, 2025

Start Time: 10:15 PM EST​

Venue: Memorial Gym​

Commodores Record: (8-0)

Mustangs Record: (8-4)

OPENING ODDS

SMU Moneyline: +420

VANDY Moneyline: -575

SMU Spread: +10.5

VANDY Spread: -10.5

Over/Under: 167.5

SMU
Betting Trends

  • SMU arrives off an 87-81 overtime win over Mississippi State, improving to 8-0 overall and 1-0 away — but their road ATS track record has shown inconsistency, especially in tough defensive games.

VANDY
Betting Trends

  • Vanderbilt is 4-0 at home this season and boasts one of the nation’s top scoring averages (97.9 points per game), a combination that has translated into relatively stable ATS results when they combine tempo with offensive efficiency.

MATCHUP TRENDS

  • The spread opened near Vanderbilt –10.5 with an over/under around 167–168; this matchup’s outcome will likely come down to pace, turnover margin, and three-point shooting — high-tempo scoring runs favor SMU’s volatility, while controlled half-court execution favors Vanderbilt’s consistency.

SMU vs. VANDY
Best Prop Bet

  • Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

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SMU vs Vanderbilt Prediction & Odds:
Free CBB Betting Insights for 12/3/25

The upcoming December 3 matchup between SMU and Vanderbilt sets the stage for one of the more intriguing early-season showdowns, as both teams arrive undefeated at 8-0 and bring distinctly contrasting identities that promise a chess match of tempo, discipline, and scoring volatility. SMU enters with an aggressive, pace-driven offensive style that thrives on transition opportunities, quick ball movement, and perimeter shooting, while Vanderbilt counters with a high-powered but more structured scoring system that ranks among the nation’s best, averaging nearly 98 points per game and demonstrating the ability to punish opponents with balanced scoring and crisp inside-out execution. The Mustangs’ path to competitiveness begins with controlling pace and forcing Vanderbilt into a faster, less controlled style than they are accustomed to; early outlet passes, decisive push-ahead attacks, and properly spaced secondary break actions create chances to score before Vanderbilt’s defense can settle. In the half court, SMU must rely on drive-and-kick sequences, constant off-ball motion, and clean entry passes that create rhythm threes or controlled mid-range opportunities, while avoiding stagnant possessions that allow Vanderbilt to pack the lane and pressure shooters. Defensively, SMU faces a formidable challenge, as Vanderbilt’s spacing, pick-and-pop advantages, and patient shot creation require disciplined closeouts, tight communication through screens, and a commitment to defending without fouling. The Mustangs must also emphasize rebounding, as limiting Vanderbilt’s second-chance looks is essential to preventing scoring runs that can quickly break a game open. On the other side, Vanderbilt enters with the advantage of home court and a polished offensive system that consistently produces high-percentage shots through structured ball movement, post touches, and forcing defenses into late-clock breakdowns; if they establish interior touches early, their perimeter attack becomes even harder to guard.

Vanderbilt’s guards must stay composed against SMU’s attempts to speed up the game, selectively pushing pace when advantageous but also returning to their preferred half-court discipline when necessary. Defensively, the Commodores must contain SMU’s transition game, prevent early-clock threes, and close out under control to avoid giving the Mustangs rhythm shots that allow their offense to snowball. If Vanderbilt forces SMU to operate primarily in the half court, the Badgers’ defensive rotations, physicality, and rim protection should tilt the game in their favor. Rebounding and turnover margins stand out as the two swing factors: SMU must avoid live-ball turnovers that Vanderbilt will convert into momentum-building buckets, while Vanderbilt must commit enough bodies to the boards to prevent SMU from generating the second-chance threes and putbacks that have fueled their unbeaten start. Emotionally, SMU must remain composed in a hostile road arena, trusting their system even through stretches of cold shooting or Vanderbilt scoring runs, while the Commodores must avoid complacency and remain locked in defensively despite their offensive firepower. Ultimately, the matchup boils down to whether SMU can disrupt tempo, hit timely perimeter shots, and generate enough chaos to force Vanderbilt into uncomfortable situations, or whether Vanderbilt’s disciplined, efficient scoring and superior structure allow them to control pace, dominate the interior, and capitalize on home-court advantage to remain undefeated.

Get live CBB odds and precise AI CBB picks, predictions, and cover probabilities.

SMU Mustangs CBB Preview

SMU enters this December 3 showdown against Vanderbilt with confidence from an undefeated 8-0 start but also with a clear understanding that their margin for error shrinks significantly on the road against one of the nation’s most explosive scoring teams, demanding a disciplined, energetic, and strategically sharp performance from start to finish. The Mustangs’ blueprint begins with pace—controlled chaos that works only if they push transition intelligently, exploit advantages before Vanderbilt’s defense sets, and avoid the rushed, contested attempts that can transform long rebounds into fuel for Vanderbilt’s own scoring barrage. For SMU to succeed, their guards must dictate tempo without falling into the trap of over-aggression, using push-ahead passes, early dribble penetration, and strong spacing to generate open perimeter looks or create cutting lanes that put pressure on the Commodores’ back line. Perimeter shooting becomes SMU’s lifeline, as timely threes can stretch the defense, force Vanderbilt to guard farther from the basket, and open driving opportunities that help diversify their offensive attack; cold shooting, however, risks allowing Vanderbilt to collapse into the paint and suffocate the Mustangs’ half-court rhythm. Defensively, SMU must deliver their most connected effort of the season, maintaining communication through screens, contesting without fouling, and rotating with urgency to prevent Vanderbilt’s shooters and pick-and-pop threats from finding their customary clean looks. The Mustangs must avoid overhelping, as Vanderbilt thrives when opponents bite on drives and leave shooters free on the wings; disciplined containment and strong individual defense must be prioritized. Rebounding is another pressure point—SMU cannot afford to surrender second-chance points, as extending Vanderbilt possessions often leads to late-clock breakdowns that turn into high-percentage scoring opportunities.

On the offensive glass, selective aggression can help, but SMU must balance crashing with maintaining defensive floor balance to prevent Vanderbilt from igniting transition opportunities. Depth also plays a meaningful role, as SMU’s bench must sustain defensive energy, execute in half-court sets, and avoid turnovers that give Vanderbilt easy runouts. Emotionally, the Mustangs must remain poised through inevitable Vanderbilt scoring runs and avoid the panic possessions that can spiral into double-digit deficits, maintaining trust in their spacing, ball movement, and shooting even if shots don’t fall early. Handling the crowd and maintaining composure under noise and momentum swings are essential, as SMU has historically shown inconsistency on the road in environments like this. The Mustangs also need to recognize moments to slow the game, value possessions, and avoid unnecessary risks that feed Vanderbilt’s strengths. Key performers must embrace their roles—playmakers reading the floor, shooters maintaining readiness off ball reversals, and bigs providing physicality at the rim despite Vanderbilt’s size and aggressiveness. Ultimately, SMU’s chances hinge on their ability to blend pace with patience, generate perimeter efficiency, protect the basketball, and withstand Vanderbilt’s sustained offensive pressure; if they achieve those benchmarks with discipline and tenacity, they can turn this into a competitive, high-variance matchup. But if they falter defensively, lose the rebounding battle, or allow the game to slow into Vanderbilt’s preferred deliberate rhythm, the Mustangs’ path to an upset narrows quickly in a challenging road environment.

SMU Mustangs travel to face Vanderbilt Commodores on December 3, 2025 — two undefeated teams (both 8-0) facing off in the early season’s ACC/SEC Challenge, setting the stage for a high-stakes showdown of contrasting styles and elite scoring potential. SMU vs Vanderbilt AI Prediction: Free CBB Betting Insights for Dec 03. Credit USA TODAY/IMAGN

Credit: USA TODAY/IMAGN

Vanderbilt Commodores CBB Preview

Vanderbilt enters this December 3 matchup against SMU carrying a perfect 8-0 record, an elite scoring profile, and the comfort of playing inside Memorial Gym, where their fast-paced but structured offensive identity has flourished behind exceptional spacing, strong guard play, and a frontcourt capable of both stretching the floor and finishing through contact. The Commodores’ formula begins with controlling tempo on their terms—not merely running fast, but selectively accelerating off defensive rebounds, turnovers, and broken-floor situations while maintaining discipline in the half court through patient ball movement, well-timed screens, and inside-out execution that forces defenses to rotate and exposes gaps for both shooters and drivers. Their offensive spacing allows multiple scoring threats to attack mismatches, while their ability to initiate possessions through varied entry points—post touches, high-ball screens, pindowns, and flare actions—keeps defenders guessing and prevents opponents from locking onto a single focal point. Against SMU’s fast-paced style, Vanderbilt’s composure becomes its greatest advantage; by maintaining possession value and avoiding reckless passes, they reduce the Mustangs’ chances to run, which in turn forces SMU to execute in the half court, where Vanderbilt’s physicality, length, and structured rotations can create problems. Defensively, the Commodores must emphasize perimeter containment and disciplined closeouts, understanding that SMU thrives on rhythm threes and early-clock attempts that can swing momentum and ignite scoring bursts. Vanderbilt’s guards must fight through screens, communicate switches cleanly, and avoid late rotations that leave shooters uncovered, while the frontcourt must protect the rim without overhelping, ensuring that SMU cannot simply drive freely and spray the ball out to open wings.

Rebounding is another foundational aspect of Vanderbilt’s game plan; winning the glass not only limits SMU’s second-chance opportunities but also fuels Vanderbilt’s transition game, creating early offense that energizes the crowd and places pressure on the Mustangs to keep pace. The Commodores’ offensive rebounding can also become a weapon, as extending possessions wears down defenses, draws fouls, and eliminates SMU’s chances to accelerate the tempo on the other end. Vanderbilt’s depth further enhances their advantage, as bench players must sustain defensive intensity, ball movement, and physicality, preventing SMU from exploiting fatigue or rotational drop-offs. Emotionally, the Commodores must maintain focus despite their undefeated status, avoiding complacency and understanding that SMU’s volatile shooting and transition potential can create rapid swings if Vanderbilt loses discipline. The home crowd will provide energy, but Vanderbilt must channel that atmosphere into controlled aggression rather than rushed possessions; sticking to their system is what allows them to dominate tempo and dictate the structure of the game. Ultimately, Vanderbilt’s path to victory involves leveraging their superior execution, spacing, rebounding, and scoring balance while remaining committed to high-IQ defensive principles that limit SMU’s strengths. If they control tempo, protect the basketball, and execute their half-court sets with the precision that has defined their 8-0 start, the Commodores position themselves to stay undefeated and deliver another statement performance against an aggressive, high-volatility SMU squad.

SMU vs Vanderbilt Prop Picks (AI)

Remi is pouring through mountains of datapoints on each line. In fact, anytime the Mustangs and Commodores play there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at Memorial Gym in Dec almost always follow normal, predictable betting trends.

Remi's searched hard and found the best prop for this matchup: REMI'S STILL ANALYZING MARKETS

SMU vs Vanderbilt Prediction (AI)

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Remi, our AI sports algorithm, has been pouring over mountains of data from every simulation between the Mustangs and Commodores and using recursive machine learning and kick-ass AI to analyze the data to a single cover probability.

Interestingly enough, the data has been most fixated on the linear correlation of factor emotional bettors tend to put on player performance factors between a Mustangs team going up against a possibly healthy Commodores team. In reality, the true game analytics might reflect a slight lean against one Vegas line in particular.

Unlock this in-depth AI prediction and all of our CBB AI picks for FREE now.

Below is our current AI SMU vs Vanderbilt picks, computer picks Mustangs vs Commodores, best bets, model edges, confidence ratings.

DATE GAME LEAN %WIN UNITS LEVEL
CBB 12/8 UIW@NEWORL UNLOCK THIS PICK 6 VAULT v2 Locked VAULT v2

These picks update as information changes—injury reports, and market movement. Each line shows our model’s fair price, the edge versus the market, and a unit confidence rating (1–10). Odds and availability vary by sportsbook and time. Edges are computed against the listed price; value may change after line moves. Always shop for the best number. See the full CBB schedule.

SMU Betting Trends

SMU arrives off an 87-81 overtime win over Mississippi State, improving to 8-0 overall and 1-0 away — but their road ATS track record has shown inconsistency, especially in tough defensive games.

Vanderbilt Betting Trends

Vanderbilt is 4-0 at home this season and boasts one of the nation’s top scoring averages (97.9 points per game), a combination that has translated into relatively stable ATS results when they combine tempo with offensive efficiency.

Mustangs vs. Commodores Matchup Trends

The spread opened near Vanderbilt –10.5 with an over/under around 167–168; this matchup’s outcome will likely come down to pace, turnover margin, and three-point shooting — high-tempo scoring runs favor SMU’s volatility, while controlled half-court execution favors Vanderbilt’s consistency.

SMU vs. Vanderbilt Game Info

December 03, 2025 • 10:15 PM EST • Memorial Gym

SMU vs. Vanderbilt Odds

AI algorithm Remi is pouring through mountains of data points on each team. In fact, anytime the SMU vs Vanderbilt trends are analyzed, there’s always several intriguing trends to key in on. Not to mention games played at extreme hostile environments seemingly never follow normal, predictable betting trends.

SMU vs Vanderbilt

SMU vs Vanderbilt Live Odds

Games PTS ML SPR O/U
In Progress
Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils
Kansas State Wildcats
In Progress
MVSU
KSTATE
38
89
 
 
pk
pk
O 166.5 (-117)
U 166.5 (-130)
In Progress
Grambling State Tigers
USM Golden Eagles
In Progress
GRAMB
USM
48
45
 
 
pk
pk
O 126.5 (-114)
U 126.5 (-134)
In Progress
Southern Jaguars
Texas Longhorns
In Progress
STHRN
TEXAS
49
76
+3300
-10000
+31.5 (-121)
-31.5 (-124)
O 162.5 (-124)
U 162.5 (-121)
In Progress
UIW Cardinals
New Orleans Privateers
In Progress
UIW
NORL
62
64
 
-245
 
-3.5 (-110)
O 163.5 (-127)
U 163.5 (-118)
Dec 9, 2025 5:00PM EST
Buffalo Bulls
UMBC Retrievers
12/9/25 5PM
BUFF
UMBC
-130
+110
-1.5 (-112)
+1.5 (-108)
O 146.5 (-108)
U 146.5 (-112)
Dec 9, 2025 6:00PM EST
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
VMI Keydets
12/9/25 6PM
LOYMD
VMI
 
-118
 
-1.5 (-102)
O 150.5 (-110)
U 150.5 (-110)
Dec 9, 2025 6:30PM EST
Clemson Tigers
BYU Cougars
12/9/25 6:30PM
CLEM
BYU
+250
-345
+7.5 (-113)
-7.5 (-113)
O 152.5 (-113)
U 152.5 (-113)
Dec 9, 2025 6:30PM EST
Villanova Wildcats
Michigan Wolverines
12/9/25 6:30PM
NOVA
MICH
+850
-2500
+16.5 (-117)
-16.5 (-109)
O 149.5 (-109)
U 149.5 (-117)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
North Carolina Central Eagles
Kentucky Wildcats
12/9/25 7PM
NCCENT
UK
 
 
+38.5 (-112)
-38.5 (-108)
O 146.5 (-110)
U 146.5 (-110)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
McNeese State Cowboys
Rhode Island Rams
12/9/25 7PM
MCNESE
RI
 
+110
 
+1.5 (-108)
O 141.5 (-112)
U 141.5 (-108)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
Coppin State Eagles
Saint Joseph's Hawks
12/9/25 7PM
COPPIN
STJOE
 
-3000
 
-21.5 (-102)
O 146.5 (-115)
U 146.5 (-105)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks
Virginia Cavaliers
12/9/25 7PM
UMES
UVA
 
 
 
-35.5 (-110)
O 135.5 (-110)
U 135.5 (-110)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
Bucknell Bison
Rider Broncs
12/9/25 7PM
BUCK
RIDER
-118
-102
-1.5 (-102)
+1.5 (-118)
O 139.5 (-110)
U 139.5 (-110)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
Columbia Lions
Stony Brook Seawolves
12/9/25 7PM
CLMBIA
STONY
-210
+160
-4.5 (-112)
+4.5 (-114)
O 147.5 (-113)
U 147.5 (-113)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
Arkansas Little Rock Trojans
West Virginia Mountaineers
12/9/25 7PM
ARKLR
WVU
 
-10000
 
-24.5 (-109)
O 130.5 (-112)
U 130.5 (-114)
Dec 9, 2025 7:00PM EST
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
Ball State Cardinals
12/9/25 7PM
SDAKST
BALLST
 
+215
 
+6.5 (-117)
O 138.5 (-112)
U 138.5 (-114)
Dec 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Brown Bears
Providence Friars
12/9/25 7:30PM
BROWN
PROV
+1000
-3335
+16.5 (-110)
-16.5 (-115)
O 150.5 (-113)
U 150.5 (-113)
Dec 9, 2025 7:30PM EST
Illinois Fighting Illini
Ohio State Buckeyes
12/9/25 7:30PM
ILL
OHIOST
-177
+138
-3.5 (-113)
+3.5 (-113)
O 157.5 (-112)
U 157.5 (-114)
Dec 9, 2025 8:00PM EST
Morgan State Bears
DePaul Blue Demons
12/9/25 8PM
MORGAN
DEPAUL
 
-4000
 
-22.5 (-105)
O 152.5 (-105)
U 152.5 (-115)
Dec 9, 2025 8:30PM EST
Penn State Nittany Lions
Indiana Hoosiers
12/9/25 8:30PM
PSU
IND
+650
-1430
+13.5 (-108)
-13.5 (-118)
O 153.5 (-115)
U 153.5 (-110)
Dec 9, 2025 8:30PM EST
South Dakota Coyotes
Wyoming Cowboys
12/9/25 8:30PM
SDAK
WYO
+600
-1115
+13.5 (-121)
-13.5 (-106)
O 159.5 (-117)
U 159.5 (-109)
Dec 9, 2025 9:00PM EST
USC Trojans
San Diego Toreros
12/9/25 9PM
USC
USD
-2500
+950
-16.5 (-113)
+16.5 (-113)
O 161.5 (-117)
U 161.5 (-109)
Dec 9, 2025 9:00PM EST
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
Arizona State Sun Devils
12/9/25 9PM
NAU
ARIZST
+1100
 
+17.5 (-115)
 
O 151.5 (-110)
U 151.5 (-115)
Dec 9, 2025 9:00PM EST
Dartmouth Big Green
Colorado State Rams
12/9/25 9PM
DART
COLOST
+1100
 
+19.5 (-113)
 
O 155.5 (-113)
U 155.5 (-113)
Dec 9, 2025 9:00PM EST
Florida Gators
UConn Huskies
12/9/25 9PM
FLA
UCONN
+170
-225
+4.5 (-109)
-4.5 (-117)
O 146.5 (-109)
U 146.5 (-117)
Dec 9, 2025 10:00PM EST
Long Beach State 49ers
San Jose State Spartans
12/9/25 10PM
LBEACH
SJST
 
 
pk
pk
O 140.5 (-114)
U 140.5 (-112)

CBB Past Picks

Remi—our in-house AI—prices every game and prop using multi-season priors, tempo/efficiency, injury/usage signals, and market movement.
We publish fair prices, recommended “buy-to” numbers, and confidence so you can bet prices, not teams.

This preview covers SMU Mustangs vs. Vanderbilt Commodores on December 03, 2025 at Memorial Gym.
Odds shown reflect widely available numbers and may update closer to kickoff.

Want more? Check live edges, player props, and line moves on our CBB odds pages, and compare prices before you place a bet.

LEAN %WIN UNITS RESULT
NCGRN@ECU NCGRN +7 54.5% 4 WIN
ILL@TENN ILL +2.5 55.6% 5 WIN
NMEXST@ABIL NMEXST -2.5 56.9% 6 LOSS
BRYANT@BROWN BROWN -6.5 55.2% 5 LOSS
UTAHST@SFLA SFLA +1.5 54.0% 3 WIN
EWASH@DENVER DENVER -130 58.4% 4 WIN
LVILLE@ARK LVILLE -2 53.8% 3 LOSS
BALLST@EVAN BALLST +6.5 55.6% 5 LOSS
NWEST@WISC NWEST +10.5 57.0% 6 LOSS
SOBAMA@NMEXST NMEXST +2.5 56.3% 6 WIN
VATECH@SC SC -118 54.7% 4 LOSS
OKLA@WAKE WAKE -4 56.0% 6 LOSS
UNC@UK UNC +6.5 53.5% 2 WIN
GEORGIA@FSU GEORGIA +1.5 54.8% 5 WIN
TENN@CUSE CUSE +7.5 53.3% 3 WIN
UAB@MTSU UAB -125 56.7% 4 LOSS
PORT@STNFRD PORT +18.5 54.9% 4 LOSS
NH@FAIR NH +11 55.0% 5 WIN
UCSB@LEHIGH LEHIGH +10.5 54.9% 4 WIN
BYU@DAYTON DAYTON +10.5 55.1% 5 WIN
WKY@WICHST WKY +6.5 55.4% 5 WIN
WISC@TCU TCU +6.5 54.3% 4 WIN
GTOWN@DAYTON GTOWN +1.5 56.4% 6 LOSS
STLOU@SNCLRA STLOU -125 57.5% 4 WIN
TCU@FLA TCU +12 54.7% 4 WIN
UNLV@RUT RUT +4.5 55.0% 5 WIN
WKY@SFLA WKY +8.5 56.1% 7 WIN
NOCOLO@AF NOCOLO -4.5 54.8% 4 WIN
HARV@BC HARV +7.5 53.8% 3 LOSS
COLOST@VATECH UNDER 155.5 56.7% 6 WIN
OLEMISS@IOWA IOWA -125 61.3% 6 WIN
HOU@TENN HOU -2.5 54.5% 4 LOSS
UCSD@BRAD UCSD -110 54.5% 4 WIN
MICH@AUBURN MICH -4.5 53.4% 2 WIN
MTSU@MCNSE MTSU +7.5 56.5% 6 LOSS
LAMAR@MONTANA LAMAR +6.5 55.9% 5 WIN
NWEST@SC SC +6.5 57.5% 6 WIN
SANFRAN@MINN SANFRAN -115 56.9% 6 WIN
ARKLR@TEXST TEXST -6.5 56.9% 6 WIN
GEORGIA@XAVIER XAVIER +10.5 53.1% 2 WIN
MORGAN@OLDDOM MORGAN +14.5 55.1% 5 LOSS
NEWORL@FRESNO NEWORL +7 53.4% 3 LOSS
ARMY@MARIST ARMY +14 55.5% 5 WIN
MISSST@KSTATE MISSST -130 58.6% 5 LOSS
MAINE@MERMAK MERMAK -6.5 56.2% 6 WIN
ARIZ@UCONN ARIZ +6.5 53.3% 2 WIN
BAMA@ILL ILL -2.5 53.5% 2 LOSS
SFLA@OKLAST OKLAST -4 54.0% 2 WIN
ABIL@TEXST TEXST -125 58.0% 6 WIN
VERMONT@BUFF VERMONT -2.5 55.3% 5 LOSS
RADFRD@SC SC -9.5 57.2% 7 WIN